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SOBacktester.py
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141 lines (115 loc) · 5.01 KB
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import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from scipy.optimize import brute
plt.style.use("seaborn")
class SOBacktester():
''' Class for the vectorized backtesting of SO-based trading strategies.
Attributes
==========
symbol: str
ticker symbol with which to work with
periods: int
time window in days for rolling low/high
D_mw: int
time window in days for %D line
start: str
start date for data retrieval
end: str
end date for data retrieval
tc: float
proportional transaction costs per trade
Methods
=======
get_data:
retrieves and prepares the data
set_parameters:
sets one or two new SO parameters
test_strategy:
runs the backtest for the SO-based strategy
plot_results:
plots the performance of the strategy compared to buy and hold
update_and_run:
updates SO parameters and returns the negative absolute performance (for minimization algorithm)
optimize_parameters:
implements a brute force optimization for the two SO parameters
'''
def __init__(self, symbol, periods, D_mw, start, end, tc):
self.symbol = symbol
self.periods = periods
self.D_mw = D_mw
self.start = start
self.end = end
self.tc = tc
self.results = None
self.get_data()
def __repr__(self):
return "SOBacktester(symbol = {}, periods = {}, D_mw = {}, start = {}, end = {})".format(self.symbol, self.periods, self.D_mw, self.start, self.end)
def get_data(self):
''' Retrieves and prepares the data.
'''
raw = pd.read_csv("{}_ohlc.csv".format(self.symbol), parse_dates = [0], index_col = 0)
raw = raw.dropna()
raw = raw.loc[self.start:self.end]
raw["returns"] = np.log(raw.Close / raw.Close.shift(1))
raw["roll_low"] = raw.Low.rolling(self.periods).min()
raw["roll_high"] = raw.High.rolling(self.periods).max()
raw["K"] = (raw.Close - raw.roll_low) / (raw.roll_high - raw.roll_low) * 100
raw["D"] = raw.K.rolling(self.D_mw).mean()
self.data = raw
def set_parameters(self, periods = None, D_mw = None):
''' Updates SO parameters and resp. time series.
'''
if periods is not None:
self.periods = periods
self.data["roll_low"] = self.data.Low.rolling(self.periods).min()
self.data["roll_high"] = self.data.High.rolling(self.periods).max()
self.data["K"] = (self.data.Close - self.data.roll_low) / (self.data.roll_high - self.data.roll_low) * 100
self.data["D"] = self.data.K.rolling(self.D_mw).mean()
if D_mw is not None:
self.D_mw = D_mw
self.data["D"] = self.data.K.rolling(self.D_mw).mean()
def test_strategy(self):
''' Backtests the trading strategy.
'''
data = self.data.copy().dropna()
data["position"] = np.where(data["K"] > data["D"], 1, -1)
data["strategy"] = data["position"].shift(1) * data["returns"]
data.dropna(inplace=True)
# determine when a trade takes place
data["trades"] = data.position.diff().fillna(0).abs()
# subtract transaction costs from return when trade takes place
data.strategy = data.strategy - data.trades * self.tc
data["creturns"] = data["returns"].cumsum().apply(np.exp)
data["cstrategy"] = data["strategy"].cumsum().apply(np.exp)
self.results = data
perf = data["cstrategy"].iloc[-1] # absolute performance of the strategy
outperf = perf - data["creturns"].iloc[-1] # out-/underperformance of strategy
return round(perf, 6), round(outperf, 6)
def plot_results(self):
''' Plots the cumulative performance of the trading strategy
compared to buy and hold.
'''
if self.results is None:
print("No results to plot yet. Run a strategy.")
else:
title = "{} | periods = {}, D_mw = {} | TC = {}".format(self.symbol, self.periods, self.D_mw, self.tc)
self.results[["creturns", "cstrategy"]].plot(title=title, figsize=(12, 8))
def update_and_run(self, SO):
''' Updates SO parameters and returns the negative absolute performance (for minimization algorithm).
Parameters
==========
SO: tuple
SO parameter tuple
'''
self.set_parameters(int(SO[0]), int(SO[1]))
return -self.test_strategy()[0]
def optimize_parameters(self, periods_range, D_mw_range):
''' Finds global maximum given the SO parameter ranges.
Parameters
==========
periods_range, D_mw_range: tuple
tuples of the form (start, end, step size)
'''
opt = brute(self.update_and_run, (periods_range, D_mw_range), finish=None)
return opt, -self.update_and_run(opt)