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关于发现有潜力项目的一点思考 #437

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zhingoll opened this issue Dec 17, 2024 · 0 comments
Open

关于发现有潜力项目的一点思考 #437

zhingoll opened this issue Dec 17, 2024 · 0 comments

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@zhingoll
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zhingoll commented Dec 17, 2024

王老师分享的关于追踪投毒的文章中,作者的项目似乎只是根据仓库近两天的star数去预测仓库未来的潜力,这个可能并不足以反应项目的长期趋势和真实受欢迎程度。原因有下:

  1. 因为短期内的star数增加可能是因为某个特定事件的影响,不一定能代表项目的持久价值。
  2. star背后的原因会比较复杂,可能与项目本身质量是无关的。例如跟风、投毒、刷榜等行为。

所以我觉得star可能并不适合用于衡量一个项目的潜力(star应该是潜力的‘果’,而潜力是star的‘因’,如果用star去预测潜力有点本末倒置的感觉)。

至于如何发现有潜力的项目,我想可能需要考虑当前市场需求发展趋势,再结合项目本身的活跃度、openrank等衡量仓库健康程度的指标,综合去评估项目的潜力可能会比较实际点~

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