ep31 diss大王說局勢.mp3-字幕.srt

1
00:00:00,130 --> 00:00:00,830
SoundOn

2
00:00:01,550 --> 00:00:04,380
疫苗不會賺錢

3
00:00:04,390 --> 00:00:07,310
你集全世界力量10億美金百億

4
00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:08,810
美金做出這支疫苗

5
00:00:08,820 --> 00:00:10,170
請問這疫苗一支多少錢

6
00:00:10,180 --> 00:00:12,110
一支5萬你打不打

7
00:00:12,120 --> 00:00:14,700
然後說你們這些商人歛財坑錢了

8
00:00:14,710 --> 00:00:17,090
不花100億美金做的

9
00:00:17,390 --> 00:00:18,210
怎麼辦

10
00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:20,590
科技創新

11
00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:25,230
娛樂各種新奇有趣都在寶博朋友

12
00:00:26,250 --> 00:00:29,410
被已經寶博朋友說了嗎

13
00:00:29,470 --> 00:00:29,910
Hello

14
00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:30,780
歡迎來到寶博

15
00:00:30,790 --> 00:00:31,270
朋友說

16
00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:32,990
我是葛如鈞寶博士

17
00:00:33,230 --> 00:00:34,700
百業蕭條

18
00:00:34,710 --> 00:00:36,310
疫情延燒至今

19
00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:39,580
大家除了每天關心確診人數以外

20
00:00:39,590 --> 00:00:42,440
還有很多人開始在關注政府可能

21
00:00:42,450 --> 00:00:46,180
即將會用各種形式會或不會推出

22
00:00:46,190 --> 00:00:47,600
的紓困方案

23
00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:50,410
從酷碰券到碰酷券

24
00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:52,050
不知道會不會發了

25
00:00:52,060 --> 00:00:54,790
然後可能還有一些正心倦

26
00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:57,340
但是可能因為一些政治或各方

27
00:00:57,350 --> 00:00:57,820
因素

28
00:00:57,920 --> 00:01:00,640
也不一定會發從契約到個人補助

29
00:01:00,650 --> 00:01:02,260
的預算不停往上開高

30
00:01:02,270 --> 00:01:03,860
不管是台灣

31
00:01:03,870 --> 00:01:06,900
美國或區塊鏈的世界和我們的

32
00:01:06,910 --> 00:01:07,710
真實世界

33
00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:09,470
面臨危機的時候

34
00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:12,070
自由市場裡總有某一些看不見或

35
00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:13,010
看得見的手

36
00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:15,070
究竟我們應該抱持著怎麼樣的

37
00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:17,150
觀點去看待這樣的市場

38
00:01:17,290 --> 00:01:20,400
到底我們要跟隨它一起自由波動

39
00:01:20,500 --> 00:01:22,130
還是要忍耐住性子

40
00:01:22,140 --> 00:01:24,640
不要躺這波渾水

41
00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:27,660
今天我們來賓算是破了寶博朋友

42
00:01:27,670 --> 00:01:28,240
說的記錄

43
00:01:28,250 --> 00:01:28,820
好不好

44
00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:30,150
第1次

45
00:01:30,310 --> 00:01:32,030
請到第2度來的

46
00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:34,330
你是對第1次

47
00:01:34,340 --> 00:01:34,490
好

48
00:01:34,490 --> 00:01:35,260
沒問題

49
00:01:35,270 --> 00:01:38,510
我們二度邀請到曾經來過寶博

50
00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:39,090
朋友說

51
00:01:39,100 --> 00:01:40,330
在50分鐘內

52
00:01:40,340 --> 00:01:43,990
第十最多次這個世界的男人也是

53
00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:45,770
跟kobe Bryant合影

54
00:01:45,780 --> 00:01:45,990
過

55
00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,160
男人好奇的請回去聽寶博朋友說

56
00:01:48,170 --> 00:01:48,650
第26集

57
00:01:48,660 --> 00:01:49,640
我們今天來賓就是

58
00:01:49,650 --> 00:01:50,740
Fenix

59
00:01:50,750 --> 00:01:51,460
大家好

60
00:01:51,470 --> 00:01:52,420
我是Fenix

61
00:01:52,430 --> 00:01:54,170
很高興來到寶博朋友說

62
00:01:54,340 --> 00:01:54,590
對

63
00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:56,180
我剛剛有暗示

64
00:01:56,190 --> 00:01:58,630
他說我們希望有一天或許可以把

65
00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:00,320
它當做常態性來賓

66
00:02:00,330 --> 00:02:02,240
請他偶爾來幫我們定時一下這個

67
00:02:02,250 --> 00:02:02,640
世界

68
00:02:02,650 --> 00:02:05,000
然後有點太多了

69
00:02:05,010 --> 00:02:06,150
講太多了

70
00:02:06,160 --> 00:02:06,260
寶

71
00:02:06,270 --> 00:02:07,850
我朋友說這個節目有一個特別的

72
00:02:07,860 --> 00:02:08,130
點

73
00:02:08,140 --> 00:02:09,630
我不瞞大家說

74
00:02:09,640 --> 00:02:12,400
我花了蠻多時間在觀察這個世界

75
00:02:12,410 --> 00:02:13,210
觀察我自己

76
00:02:13,220 --> 00:02:13,480
然後也

77
00:02:13,490 --> 00:02:14,560
觀察我的朋友

78
00:02:14,570 --> 00:02:15,910
還有觀察我的朋友

79
00:02:15,920 --> 00:02:16,990
如何觀察這個世界

80
00:02:16,990 --> 00:02:20,080
Fenix是一個我經常觀察的

81
00:02:20,090 --> 00:02:20,400
對象

82
00:02:20,410 --> 00:02:20,720
為什麼

83
00:02:20,730 --> 00:02:24,510
因為大概從1月底還是2月開始

84
00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:27,290
他的臉書上經常出現一個字

85
00:02:27,530 --> 00:02:30,220
叫做空好

86
00:02:30,530 --> 00:02:31,990
大家知不知道空是什麼

87
00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:34,300
我們經常叫做空或做多

88
00:02:34,310 --> 00:02:35,140
你看好市場

89
00:02:35,150 --> 00:02:36,820
然後你會因此而賺到錢

90
00:02:36,830 --> 00:02:40,060
這樣做空就是你礦壞市場

91
00:02:40,070 --> 00:02:41,290
然後你因此而賺到錢

92
00:02:41,650 --> 00:02:43,620
這件事情我不是專家

93
00:02:43,630 --> 00:02:45,600
在這一段時間之內

94
00:02:45,610 --> 00:02:47,580
 Fenix有一群朋友

95
00:02:48,530 --> 00:02:50,760
他們簡稱空軍好嗎

96
00:02:50,770 --> 00:02:52,460
Fenix他快樂的夥伴

97
00:02:53,370 --> 00:02:54,220
跟他快樂

98
00:02:54,230 --> 00:02:57,340
空軍小夥伴跟海軍沒有關係

99
00:02:57,350 --> 00:02:57,920
好吧

100
00:02:58,220 --> 00:02:59,170
我們不要討論政治

101
00:02:59,170 --> 00:03:00,490
空軍朋友們

102
00:03:00,500 --> 00:03:02,410
我其實非常respect

103
00:03:02,420 --> 00:03:04,330
他們一路空到現在

104
00:03:04,340 --> 00:03:05,930
你跟這有沒有講一下

105
00:03:05,940 --> 00:03:07,210
你的空軍小夥伴

106
00:03:07,220 --> 00:03:09,560
你們的這段時間的理念

107
00:03:09,570 --> 00:03:12,450
最近市場開始出現一些新的資訊

108
00:03:12,460 --> 00:03:12,600
了

109
00:03:12,610 --> 00:03:15,100
包含石油負價格

110
00:03:15,110 --> 00:03:18,610
或者是又再發了多少億美金

111
00:03:18,620 --> 00:03:20,270
要來輸困什麼銀行

112
00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:21,840
我們新的東西先不講

113
00:03:21,850 --> 00:03:23,770
我們先講你們一開始在什麼樣的

114
00:03:23,780 --> 00:03:25,790
情況之下成立的空軍

115
00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:27,630
在 coffee19的時期

116
00:03:27,640 --> 00:03:27,810
好

117
00:03:27,820 --> 00:03:29,850
首先還是要先

118
00:03:29,860 --> 00:03:30,630
discipline一下

119
00:03:30,640 --> 00:03:32,030
我不是什麼專家

120
00:03:32,100 --> 00:03:34,820
應該說現在的環境沒有人可以說

121
00:03:34,830 --> 00:03:35,900
自己是專家

122
00:03:35,910 --> 00:03:37,700
現在人跳出來說我是專家

123
00:03:37,710 --> 00:03:39,320
我覺得怎麼樣那種我都不信

124
00:03:39,460 --> 00:03:40,970
這是空間的概念

125
00:03:40,980 --> 00:03:42,520
就是你基本上做空股市

126
00:03:42,530 --> 00:03:44,910
然後因為你覺得這一波疫情一定

127
00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:46,670
會影響到一些經濟的層面

128
00:03:46,670 --> 00:03:49,320
為什麼會開始這件事情

129
00:03:49,330 --> 00:03:50,650
是在一2月的時候

130
00:03:50,660 --> 00:03:53,600
可能歐美還沒有知道這一切會變

131
00:03:53,610 --> 00:03:54,530
得這麼嚴重

132
00:03:54,620 --> 00:03:55,920
他們還是一切樂觀的

133
00:03:55,930 --> 00:03:57,950
像今年1月的時候

134
00:03:57,960 --> 00:03:59,450
我們那時候道瓊好像還是

135
00:03:59,460 --> 00:04:00,700
29000多點

136
00:04:00,710 --> 00:04:02,450
那個時候我們當然都持有股票

137
00:04:02,460 --> 00:04:05,360
是18~19年這一段時間

138
00:04:05,370 --> 00:04:07,250
你怎麼買怎麼賺錢的時候

139
00:04:07,630 --> 00:04:09,280
可能那個時候我們就看到說

140
00:04:09,290 --> 00:04:09,940
好

141
00:04:10,010 --> 00:04:11,910
我覺得這一波疫情一定會影響到

142
00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:14,180
一些經濟的狀況

143
00:04:14,190 --> 00:04:15,400
事實證明也是

144
00:04:15,570 --> 00:04:16,930
所以我們那個時候跳起來說

145
00:04:16,940 --> 00:04:18,340
我覺得29000已經差不多了

146
00:04:18,350 --> 00:04:20,300
我們應該要就跳進去空

147
00:04:20,310 --> 00:04:21,830
那個時候疫情開始沒

148
00:04:21,830 --> 00:04:24,110
那時候美國疫情還沒那時候還在

149
00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:24,290
有

150
00:04:24,300 --> 00:04:27,500
在中國舞台中武漢排在肺炎時期

151
00:04:27,510 --> 00:04:28,520
封塵了嗎

152
00:04:28,530 --> 00:04:31,730
風才好像也只是還差來說有這麼

153
00:04:31,740 --> 00:04:32,750
一回事那樣子

154
00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:33,840
對

155
00:04:33,840 --> 00:04:36,030
我在好像一二月的時候跳起來的

156
00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:36,190
時候

157
00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:38,260
我覺得我會看到道瓊一字頭跟你

158
00:04:38,270 --> 00:04:39,470
的空軍朋友們

159
00:04:39,530 --> 00:04:39,800
對

160
00:04:39,810 --> 00:04:41,250
潛在的兄弟

161
00:04:41,260 --> 00:04:41,650
對

162
00:04:41,660 --> 00:04:43,300
就29000調到19000

163
00:04:43,310 --> 00:04:44,170
這種感覺

164
00:04:44,180 --> 00:04:46,170
所以我們就跳進去先去那樣子

165
00:04:46,180 --> 00:04:47,270
已經調到19000了

166
00:04:47,280 --> 00:04:49,030
還沒冒出兩還在29000

167
00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:49,790
 20080

168
00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:51,700
所以你們空軍佈局很早

169
00:04:51,710 --> 00:04:51,850
對

170
00:04:51,860 --> 00:04:54,220
因為很早這件事情就在武漢發生

171
00:04:54,230 --> 00:04:55,330
但是美國還沒發生

172
00:04:55,340 --> 00:04:58,140
但是我們那個時候一開始是先不

173
00:04:58,150 --> 00:04:58,820
空美國

174
00:04:58,830 --> 00:05:01,190
因為我們太怕 q1這件事情

175
00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:02,250
就怕印鈔票

176
00:05:02,260 --> 00:05:03,460
就市場對印鈔票

177
00:05:03,470 --> 00:05:04,090
就市場太可怕

178
00:05:04,100 --> 00:05:05,090
所以我們先空日本

179
00:05:05,370 --> 00:05:07,430
因為日本已經沒有辦法再q1了

180
00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:08,810
它的利息已經領了

181
00:05:08,820 --> 00:05:09,960
然後就已經極限了

182
00:05:09,970 --> 00:05:11,800
你說q1就是降息了

183
00:05:11,810 --> 00:05:12,490
降息然後寬松

184
00:05:12,500 --> 00:05:13,640
然後或者什麼有的沒有

185
00:05:13,650 --> 00:05:15,710
我們覺得日本這件事情已經被

186
00:05:15,720 --> 00:05:15,940
做完了

187
00:05:15,950 --> 00:05:16,630
所以看空日本

188
00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:17,780
然後再跟著空美國

189
00:05:18,050 --> 00:05:19,660
然後就一路到1萬多

190
00:05:19,670 --> 00:05:24,180
都覺得自己真是對現代末日博士

191
00:05:24,190 --> 00:05:25,130
這種感覺這樣子

192
00:05:25,140 --> 00:05:25,630
對

193
00:05:25,630 --> 00:05:27,490
好神對

194
00:05:27,500 --> 00:05:29,680
走在路上都覺得怎麼會這樣

195
00:05:29,690 --> 00:05:31,130
風吹過來都是香的

196
00:05:31,140 --> 00:05:32,990
然後但是那時候就會被贊說你是

197
00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:35,370
在發那種國難財嗎

198
00:05:35,780 --> 00:05:38,580
你怎麼會在大家疊的時候你很

199
00:05:38,590 --> 00:05:40,660
開心這種感覺

200
00:05:40,670 --> 00:05:43,090
可那種我感覺你去賭場壓報紙

201
00:05:43,100 --> 00:05:44,910
然後就開始只有你大家都賠

202
00:05:44,970 --> 00:05:46,110
然後你一個人在那邊開心

203
00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:47,850
但大家覺得你這個人怎麼這樣

204
00:05:47,860 --> 00:05:49,000
這種感覺對不對

205
00:05:49,010 --> 00:05:50,760
關於這一點我最近有一個反省

206
00:05:50,770 --> 00:05:53,510
其實我以前也很羨慕這種不管是

207
00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:55,270
空軍還是多軍

208
00:05:55,280 --> 00:05:57,400
然後嘮叨一筆人

209
00:05:57,410 --> 00:05:59,080
我覺得很酷很厲害

210
00:05:59,090 --> 00:06:00,520
然後有金錢帝國

211
00:06:00,530 --> 00:06:01,720
美國影集叫billions

212
00:06:02,020 --> 00:06:04,040
主角我就每次都很帥

213
00:06:04,050 --> 00:06:05,480
當然他是被營造成壞人

214
00:06:05,490 --> 00:06:08,000
但大家不是大家就嗆他

215
00:06:08,010 --> 00:06:10,480
整部劇大概有80的時間大家都

216
00:06:10,490 --> 00:06:10,800
在嗆

217
00:06:10,810 --> 00:06:10,960
他

218
00:06:10,970 --> 00:06:13,110
說你在九一一事件的時候

219
00:06:13,180 --> 00:06:14,830
然後就大樓快倒塌

220
00:06:14,840 --> 00:06:16,880
然後你拼命打電話在做空市場

221
00:06:16,890 --> 00:06:18,760
然後你就靠那一波撈到錢

222
00:06:18,770 --> 00:06:21,220
然後所以整部劇常常他很帥

223
00:06:21,230 --> 00:06:24,120
然後金庫裡很多金條這樣好像就

224
00:06:24,130 --> 00:06:24,780
從那裡來

225
00:06:24,850 --> 00:06:27,100
可是我在這一整個疫情事件的

226
00:06:27,110 --> 00:06:27,330
時候

227
00:06:27,340 --> 00:06:29,660
我其實突然發現到你要做一個

228
00:06:29,670 --> 00:06:31,210
這種大樓要塌了

229
00:06:31,220 --> 00:06:32,620
你要趕快打電話做空

230
00:06:32,630 --> 00:06:34,700
而且要做很多空這樣

231
00:06:34,700 --> 00:06:36,640
其實風險也很高

232
00:06:36,650 --> 00:06:38,760
就是漲對吧

233
00:06:38,770 --> 00:06:40,520
其實做空還有分

234
00:06:40,530 --> 00:06:41,440
你要空多久

235
00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:42,190
對吧

236
00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:43,660
你什麼時候要獲利了結

237
00:06:43,670 --> 00:06:45,700
你會不會空到別人根本沒人進來

238
00:06:45,710 --> 00:06:46,050
買

239
00:06:46,060 --> 00:06:47,310
我覺得好像有一種叫空

240
00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:49,720
到底沒有人接沒有空到沒有理虧

241
00:06:49,730 --> 00:06:50,480
的問題

242
00:06:50,490 --> 00:06:53,270
比如說你空瑞幸他現在修了修士

243
00:06:53,280 --> 00:06:54,550
你就這卡在那邊

244
00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:55,940
你不知道這個錢到底怎麼樣

245
00:06:55,940 --> 00:06:57,980
中國大陸有一個叫瑞幸咖啡

246
00:06:57,990 --> 00:07:00,320
然後之前好像爆漲

247
00:07:00,330 --> 00:07:02,970
然後後來被爆料說財務有問題

248
00:07:02,980 --> 00:07:04,690
然後一路跌八十幾顆剩

249
00:07:04,700 --> 00:07:06,140
然後像瑞幸咖啡這個案子

250
00:07:06,150 --> 00:07:08,540
就是每一個什麼NBA客都在講

251
00:07:08,550 --> 00:07:09,880
說他們都會做生意

252
00:07:09,890 --> 00:07:10,340
多棒

253
00:07:10,410 --> 00:07:12,860
上閃電擴張什麼之類

254
00:07:12,870 --> 00:07:14,950
現在一疊成這樣起來還是財務坐

255
00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:15,180
腳

256
00:07:15,190 --> 00:07:16,810
就不知道念MBA課要怎麼上

257
00:07:16,820 --> 00:07:17,660
剛才改課本

258
00:07:17,670 --> 00:07:18,000
對

259
00:07:18,010 --> 00:07:19,800
所以我只是在講說

260
00:07:19,950 --> 00:07:21,930
剛剛大家聽他說走在路上就有風

261
00:07:21,940 --> 00:07:22,590
很香

262
00:07:22,600 --> 00:07:25,010
然後有人可能也會旁邊攻擊它

263
00:07:25,020 --> 00:07:25,740
或者講壞話

264
00:07:25,750 --> 00:07:27,370
說你們這些發國難財

265
00:07:27,490 --> 00:07:29,580
可是這畢竟是一種金融工具跟

266
00:07:29,590 --> 00:07:29,990
手段

267
00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:32,530
大家不要只看到她那一段時間賺

268
00:07:32,540 --> 00:07:34,890
到錢的時候得好地感受

269
00:07:34,900 --> 00:07:36,410
其實壓力也是存在的

270
00:07:36,420 --> 00:07:38,880
明天突然間市場又走回溫

271
00:07:38,890 --> 00:07:40,260
然後他到底要不要拖手

272
00:07:40,270 --> 00:07:40,500
要不要

273
00:07:40,500 --> 00:07:41,910
因為你不知道怎麼能夠回補嗎

274
00:07:42,010 --> 00:07:43,240
因為你一定要有時間回復

275
00:07:43,250 --> 00:07:44,330
但你不知道什麼時候回

276
00:07:44,340 --> 00:07:45,950
像我不知道什麼時候回補

277
00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:47,690
然後現在世界末日好

278
00:07:47,700 --> 00:07:49,270
我們現在進入第二階段

279
00:07:49,280 --> 00:07:51,030
你稍微跟大家講一下

280
00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:52,280
剛剛我們知道做空

281
00:07:52,290 --> 00:07:53,070
就是說看壞

282
00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:54,510
然後你就衝進去買

283
00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:55,680
到底要買什麼

284
00:07:55,780 --> 00:07:57,500
你看我們看好台機電

285
00:07:57,510 --> 00:07:58,730
我們就買台機電股票

286
00:07:58,740 --> 00:08:00,460
看好泰斯拉

287
00:08:00,470 --> 00:08:01,860
我們就買泰斯拉股票

288
00:08:01,870 --> 00:08:03,080
像我這種小白

289
00:08:03,090 --> 00:08:05,090
我就知道看空看壞

290
00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:06,820
我是要去買什麼

291
00:08:06,830 --> 00:08:08,500
這樣是現在股票市場非常發達

292
00:08:08,510 --> 00:08:10,810
你現在有很多機制可以去看多

293
00:08:10,820 --> 00:08:11,650
或者看空這些東西

294
00:08:11,660 --> 00:08:14,590
尤其是像史蒂福和戴夫就已經幫

295
00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:15,220
你設計的很好

296
00:08:15,230 --> 00:08:17,320
一偷我就已經我不知道你們應該

297
00:08:17,330 --> 00:08:18,580
去找他們做下廣告

298
00:08:18,590 --> 00:08:18,790
對

299
00:08:19,860 --> 00:08:21,000
一平台他已經做好

300
00:08:21,010 --> 00:08:21,920
說什麼東西進去

301
00:08:21,930 --> 00:08:23,990
他是可以買證或買付的

302
00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:26,060
他已經不管說對買到什麼東西去

303
00:08:26,070 --> 00:08:27,440
買證或買付的

304
00:08:27,450 --> 00:08:29,970
你就說我今天要買他什麼都可以

305
00:08:29,980 --> 00:08:31,120
他只要有開的

306
00:08:31,130 --> 00:08:32,960
你天使還可以台積電也可以

307
00:08:32,970 --> 00:08:35,110
然後美國道瓊你根本不用管你

308
00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:35,850
到底買到什麼

309
00:08:35,860 --> 00:08:37,210
總之你就是看壞它

310
00:08:37,220 --> 00:08:39,180
然後就掙付前成幾倍

311
00:08:39,190 --> 00:08:39,750
你就是職業

312
00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:41,760
因為他們已經做到說他們的系統

313
00:08:41,770 --> 00:08:42,700
已經是cfd了

314
00:08:42,710 --> 00:08:43,860
就康帥佛蒂芬斯

315
00:08:43,950 --> 00:08:46,490
你沒有真的持有這支股票

316
00:08:46,500 --> 00:08:49,090
但是你就是賺價差可以賺錢這種

317
00:08:49,100 --> 00:08:49,510
感覺

318
00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:50,540
這是一種做法

319
00:08:50,550 --> 00:08:52,090
史蒂夫大夫會不會跑路

320
00:08:52,090 --> 00:08:52,770
我們等下再講

321
00:08:52,780 --> 00:08:53,740
我們先講就說好

322
00:08:53,750 --> 00:08:56,440
你不是在史蒂夫大夫一平台買嗎

323
00:08:56,450 --> 00:08:58,380
你是買我有券商

324
00:08:58,630 --> 00:08:59,720
我跟券商下單

325
00:08:59,730 --> 00:09:01,700
我們券商有一些etf比較簡單

326
00:09:01,710 --> 00:09:02,580
我就買etf你

327
00:09:02,590 --> 00:09:06,200
像比如說有正一到從正二到正三

328
00:09:06,210 --> 00:09:08,270
到有反一到就反二到反三這種

329
00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:08,710
東西

330
00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:11,290
我就是買一個道瓊反三叫s到

331
00:09:11,370 --> 00:09:12,350
是台灣的嗎

332
00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:13,680
還是美國的

333
00:09:13,690 --> 00:09:15,290
你是通過台灣券商沒有

334
00:09:15,300 --> 00:09:16,310
我是透過美國券商

335
00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:17,730
台灣券商手續費比較貴了

336
00:09:17,740 --> 00:09:19,200
對

337
00:09:19,210 --> 00:09:21,600
而且如果你真的在台灣要做這件

338
00:09:21,610 --> 00:09:21,740
事

339
00:09:21,750 --> 00:09:23,440
你可能真的要史蒂夫大夫或什麼

340
00:09:23,450 --> 00:09:24,480
first tree這些東西

341
00:09:24,490 --> 00:09:26,600
因為你如果要透過一個副委託

342
00:09:26,610 --> 00:09:28,740
我現在是用我們還沒有接到葉佩

343
00:09:28,750 --> 00:09:30,980
那就國泰四華好不好

344
00:09:30,980 --> 00:09:32,540
副委託這樣

345
00:09:32,550 --> 00:09:34,420
所以我其實看得到你那時候介紹

346
00:09:34,430 --> 00:09:35,050
我幾個什麼

347
00:09:35,060 --> 00:09:37,160
spux s p US是

348
00:09:37,170 --> 00:09:38,720
納斯達克的反三

349
00:09:38,780 --> 00:09:39,520
對

350
00:09:39,530 --> 00:09:41,690
然後一直到是道瓊房山

351
00:09:41,700 --> 00:09:43,730
反正其實是有一些編號的

352
00:09:43,740 --> 00:09:45,240
然後你去買這些編號

353
00:09:45,330 --> 00:09:46,900
他就會逆向市場的走

354
00:09:46,910 --> 00:09:49,320
就是說是整體道瓊下跌

355
00:09:49,330 --> 00:09:51,270
它的價格就上升

356
00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:53,910
對道瓊跌一啪你就賺三帕這樣子

357
00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:57,350
那時候寶博初學者我們有時候要

358
00:09:57,360 --> 00:09:58,560
討論一些世界局勢

359
00:09:58,570 --> 00:09:59,770
自己都不懂這一塊

360
00:09:59,830 --> 00:10:01,390
好像對這個世界的理解

361
00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:02,910
只有做多的那一邊

362
00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:04,770
這樣不瞭解空軍的行為這樣

363
00:10:04,770 --> 00:10:07,380
我就傳訊問 Fenix說

364
00:10:07,390 --> 00:10:09,390
我這樣子我要買的話要買什麼

365
00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:10,000
對

366
00:10:10,010 --> 00:10:11,910
然後你那時候還報了我幾個什麼

367
00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:14,830
我那時候就用一個Pro

368
00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:15,400
 short

369
00:10:15,400 --> 00:10:19,370
普秀是一家出etf的公司

370
00:10:19,380 --> 00:10:19,860
對

371
00:10:19,870 --> 00:10:21,310
凹出來什麼

372
00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:22,070
對凹出來

373
00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:23,740
我就用一些關鍵字

374
00:10:23,750 --> 00:10:26,050
我就去 apple的股票

375
00:10:26,060 --> 00:10:26,180
APP

376
00:10:26,190 --> 00:10:27,970
然後就去查它的價格

377
00:10:27,980 --> 00:10:30,110
然後就去副委託平台就是查

378
00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:32,990
然後那時候欣喜萬分想說我會的

379
00:10:33,130 --> 00:10:36,630
看起來真的好像市場危險這樣

380
00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:38,770
然後我也想體驗一下 b類的男

381
00:10:38,780 --> 00:10:40,800
主角那種大樓快塌了

382
00:10:40,810 --> 00:10:41,910
然後要衝進去

383
00:10:41,910 --> 00:10:43,980
然後我正當我的手按下購買的

384
00:10:43,990 --> 00:10:44,140
時候

385
00:10:44,150 --> 00:10:45,470
他就跳出一個視窗說

386
00:10:45,690 --> 00:10:47,080
你的權限無法購買

387
00:10:47,090 --> 00:10:48,840
市場要先申請的

388
00:10:48,850 --> 00:10:49,940
二審的呈現

389
00:10:49,950 --> 00:10:50,590
我們在講

390
00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:53,460
就是說我們幾乎不鼓勵凡夫俗子

391
00:10:53,470 --> 00:10:54,540
好買股票

392
00:10:54,550 --> 00:10:56,880
跟期貨或金融的交易不利

393
00:10:56,890 --> 00:11:00,180
這是一種知識的交流跟學習好不

394
00:11:00,290 --> 00:11:00,370
對

395
00:11:00,380 --> 00:11:02,020
然後我就發現我不能賣

396
00:11:02,030 --> 00:11:03,480
所以其實有些稅務考量

397
00:11:03,490 --> 00:11:06,980
所以然後這個事情就進入了第二

398
00:11:06,990 --> 00:11:07,470
階段

399
00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:09,620
進入了我非常respect

400
00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:11,880
空軍大嫂因為好了

401
00:11:11,890 --> 00:11:14,220
所以你可以講說你最多的時候

402
00:11:14,230 --> 00:11:15,660
你曾經你的資產

403
00:11:15,670 --> 00:11:18,400
因為空軍可能變幾倍

404
00:11:18,410 --> 00:11:19,630
我們不鼓勵投資好不好

405
00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:22,500
我真的只是我們我覺得講錢就

406
00:11:22,510 --> 00:11:23,600
真的是傷感情

407
00:11:23,610 --> 00:11:26,920
所以我用倍數倍數三四倍

408
00:11:26,930 --> 00:11:28,120
對吧

409
00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:31,310
可是你賠起來也是賠要砸掉這

410
00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:31,460
樣子

411
00:11:31,470 --> 00:11:31,690
好

412
00:11:31,700 --> 00:11:34,390
我們先講階段就是川普開始印錢

413
00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:34,730
了

414
00:11:34,790 --> 00:11:38,330
而且大印鈔票他好像是77兆

415
00:11:38,340 --> 00:11:39,040
還是多少

416
00:11:39,050 --> 00:11:41,550
一開始是一開始5000億

417
00:11:41,560 --> 00:11:43,550
我還在笑

418
00:11:43,560 --> 00:11:44,530
說金融危機

419
00:11:44,540 --> 00:11:46,810
2008年就已經這一個晚上印

420
00:11:46,820 --> 00:11:47,580
7000億

421
00:11:47,590 --> 00:11:49,320
一個億情印個5000算什麼

422
00:11:49,330 --> 00:11:50,410
還沒啦這樣

423
00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:51,770
結果後來對

424
00:11:51,780 --> 00:11:54,210
那時候現在狀況是市場覺得這

425
00:11:54,220 --> 00:11:56,740
一切它會先跌跌到一個一字頭

426
00:11:56,750 --> 00:11:57,430
然後很可怕

427
00:11:57,440 --> 00:11:59,270
但是那個時候市場還沒有那麼看

428
00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:00,190
壞這件事情

429
00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:02,080
那時候市場大家的心態是很多

430
00:12:02,090 --> 00:12:04,570
文章是說百年難得一見的

431
00:12:04,580 --> 00:12:04,770
好

432
00:12:04,780 --> 00:12:05,530
買點

433
00:12:05,540 --> 00:12:07,820
請你現在買入那種感覺

434
00:12:07,980 --> 00:12:09,090
趕快買入

435
00:12:09,100 --> 00:12:10,110
這是個好買點

436
00:12:10,120 --> 00:12:12,370
然後後來就開始市場開始放一些

437
00:12:12,380 --> 00:12:13,410
超多好消息

438
00:12:13,420 --> 00:12:17,280
比如說什麼瑞德希瑞瑞德希睿惠

439
00:12:17,290 --> 00:12:17,610
治療

440
00:12:17,620 --> 00:12:19,950
重症什麼奎寧會治療重症

441
00:12:19,950 --> 00:12:22,090
我覺得我對異性的理解是你只要

442
00:12:22,100 --> 00:12:22,810
控制住了

443
00:12:22,820 --> 00:12:24,230
如果你夠壞時間控制住

444
00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:26,310
其實它對經濟的影響不會那麼糟

445
00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:28,380
比如說我們現在台灣其實沒有

446
00:12:28,390 --> 00:12:28,990
那麼著

447
00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:29,760
雖然是招

448
00:12:29,770 --> 00:12:31,800
但是沒有那麼誇張的招

449
00:12:31,810 --> 00:12:33,470
要怎麼樣抑制住疫情

450
00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:35,180
第1個是他不要再傳染給別人

451
00:12:35,190 --> 00:12:36,730
就是所謂的零下降

452
00:12:36,730 --> 00:12:38,370
阿林就是basic

453
00:12:38,380 --> 00:12:38,640
 reproduction

454
00:12:38,650 --> 00:12:38,910
 members

455
00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:40,680
另外是你找到藥治了

456
00:12:40,690 --> 00:12:42,690
你得了以後你就吃這個藥

457
00:12:42,700 --> 00:12:43,900
然後你就不會死

458
00:12:43,910 --> 00:12:44,640
這是最難的

459
00:12:44,650 --> 00:12:45,170
對

460
00:12:45,180 --> 00:12:46,430
另外一種是有疫苗了

461
00:12:46,440 --> 00:12:47,940
只是dada了就不會得

462
00:12:48,010 --> 00:12:48,970
這是三件事情

463
00:12:48,980 --> 00:12:50,850
我覺得這三件事情基本上你只要

464
00:12:50,860 --> 00:12:51,390
做到了

465
00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:53,570
這件事情就真的像最一開始跟

466
00:12:53,580 --> 00:12:54,100
大家講的

467
00:12:54,110 --> 00:12:55,130
就是a fool

468
00:12:55,140 --> 00:12:56,510
他是個感冒

469
00:12:56,510 --> 00:12:58,150
如果做到這時候就一大堆

470
00:12:58,160 --> 00:12:59,770
市場有好消息跳出來嗎

471
00:12:59,780 --> 00:13:00,290
什麼

472
00:13:00,820 --> 00:13:01,650
拍桌quarantine

473
00:13:01,660 --> 00:13:03,890
那個時候美國政府也在跟著一起

474
00:13:03,900 --> 00:13:04,730
報導這種消息

475
00:13:04,740 --> 00:13:05,850
因為有些醫療數字

476
00:13:05,860 --> 00:13:07,250
我去看那些paper

477
00:13:07,260 --> 00:13:09,490
我們都有去看那些paper

478
00:13:09,500 --> 00:13:12,350
說我感覺這個數字是然後這個

479
00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:14,640
數字真的是太漂亮了之類的

480
00:13:14,650 --> 00:13:18,270
你說效果好像對什麼法國怎麼坐

481
00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:20,280
1616個人完全復活

482
00:13:20,290 --> 00:13:21,610
那麼這母群體不夠

483
00:13:21,620 --> 00:13:23,510
但是你們看的不會很緊張

484
00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:24,190
說完蛋

485
00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:26,100
公交車的時候就是空大盤

486
00:13:26,110 --> 00:13:29,530
然後買藥廠做一個對衝

487
00:13:29,540 --> 00:13:29,730
對

488
00:13:29,740 --> 00:13:30,910
就會對衝這些東西

489
00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:33,840
像拍桌殼餅的就是一家叫貼吧的

490
00:13:33,850 --> 00:13:37,180
藥廠做的tva然後瑞德西偉

491
00:13:37,190 --> 00:13:37,680
就是guild的

492
00:13:37,690 --> 00:13:40,470
然後有些就是疫苗的公司

493
00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:43,220
但聽說瑞德西偉唧唧的是沒有

494
00:13:43,230 --> 00:13:44,720
現在又好像ok了

495
00:13:44,730 --> 00:13:47,220
這件事情好像沒有人說的准

496
00:13:47,230 --> 00:13:48,220
反正先說明一下

497
00:13:48,230 --> 00:13:50,470
因為我知道我的聽眾有很多高手

498
00:13:51,210 --> 00:13:52,860
也有很多跟我一樣

499
00:13:52,870 --> 00:13:56,800
還在試著借由這個事件還有區塊

500
00:13:56,810 --> 00:13:59,370
鏈的一些新科技在進入財務金融

501
00:13:59,380 --> 00:13:59,870
的市場

502
00:13:59,870 --> 00:14:01,730
 Fenix你的意思

503
00:14:01,740 --> 00:14:03,420
就是說你空是空大盤

504
00:14:03,430 --> 00:14:05,610
所以你去買一些指數的負向的e

505
00:14:05,620 --> 00:14:06,330
gf好

506
00:14:06,340 --> 00:14:08,270
就是一些商品

507
00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:11,460
你買他大盤如果跌

508
00:14:11,470 --> 00:14:12,770
它的價格就會漲

509
00:14:12,780 --> 00:14:13,830
從15塊

510
00:14:13,840 --> 00:14:14,210
20塊

511
00:14:14,220 --> 00:14:15,510
30塊就漲上來的

512
00:14:15,850 --> 00:14:18,960
但是又有點怕說藥廠如果有一天

513
00:14:18,970 --> 00:14:20,960
突然明天說宣佈疫苗

514
00:14:20,970 --> 00:14:21,420
ok

515
00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:23,750
川普也說ok可以發售

516
00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,110
這樣市場可能就會回溫

517
00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:30,130
然後藥廠股票可能就會爆衝到天

518
00:14:30,140 --> 00:14:30,600
上去

519
00:14:30,610 --> 00:14:33,250
因為全世界都要跟藥廠買買藥或

520
00:14:33,260 --> 00:14:33,570
疫苗

521
00:14:33,580 --> 00:14:36,010
所以你就等於同步做市場

522
00:14:36,020 --> 00:14:36,940
大盤做空

523
00:14:36,940 --> 00:14:37,920
所以你買他空的

524
00:14:37,930 --> 00:14:39,930
但是你買藥廠的股票

525
00:14:39,940 --> 00:14:42,120
所以如果藥廠漲起來那一邊賠

526
00:14:42,130 --> 00:14:44,780
因為 e t f負向的etf

527
00:14:44,790 --> 00:14:46,620
在市場回溫就會又下跌了

528
00:14:46,630 --> 00:14:47,540
藥廠回來這樣

529
00:14:47,550 --> 00:14:49,610
所以你們一開始有做一點這樣的

530
00:14:49,620 --> 00:14:49,840
佈局

531
00:14:49,850 --> 00:14:52,370
我們屬於我也不是什麼分析師或

532
00:14:52,380 --> 00:14:53,520
什麼經濟什麼學家

533
00:14:53,530 --> 00:14:55,820
我就是看那些就像我講剛剛疫情

534
00:14:55,830 --> 00:14:56,970
要有這三個條件

535
00:14:57,550 --> 00:14:58,760
這個你有風塵

536
00:14:58,770 --> 00:15:00,520
你的阿林就會下降

537
00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:02,970
或者病毒突然變得很弱

538
00:15:02,980 --> 00:15:03,790
您就會下降

539
00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:04,890
或者有人說天氣變熱

540
00:15:04,900 --> 00:15:05,460
您就會下降

541
00:15:05,470 --> 00:15:07,450
但是後來發現天氣變得好像不會

542
00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:08,270
零下降

543
00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:09,050
因為像新加坡

544
00:15:09,060 --> 00:15:10,610
馬來西亞的數字是起來的

545
00:15:10,610 --> 00:15:12,750
那就是講要嗎

546
00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:15,010
那藥剛就講一個是奎尼格是什麼

547
00:15:15,020 --> 00:15:15,850
瑞德西為嘛

548
00:15:15,860 --> 00:15:18,640
所以那個時候是因為川普跳起來

549
00:15:18,650 --> 00:15:19,060
說可以

550
00:15:19,070 --> 00:15:20,740
你有多屌什麼之類的

551
00:15:20,750 --> 00:15:22,630
我們那時候還是去做多奎林

552
00:15:22,640 --> 00:15:23,470
就是可以把這家公司

553
00:15:23,910 --> 00:15:25,530
要去做空瑞德西偉位

554
00:15:25,630 --> 00:15:27,610
然後這邊還有有一些戰果

555
00:15:27,620 --> 00:15:29,400
但現在口音突然又沒效了

556
00:15:29,410 --> 00:15:31,520
所以小孩15階段對

557
00:15:31,530 --> 00:15:33,410
然後瑞德西偉又變得有效

558
00:15:33,420 --> 00:15:35,330
你覺得好就反過來之類的

559
00:15:35,330 --> 00:15:38,310
疫苗這件事情我是對它是有我們

560
00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:39,630
有很多個人的意見

561
00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:40,290
在疫苗上面

562
00:15:40,300 --> 00:15:42,050
因為我們覺得通常你要做這種

563
00:15:42,060 --> 00:15:42,270
疫苗

564
00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:43,810
大概是十幾年的事而且

565
00:15:44,270 --> 00:15:45,860
疫苗不會賺錢

566
00:15:45,990 --> 00:15:47,970
應該說做疫苗的公司永遠不會

567
00:15:47,980 --> 00:15:48,390
賺錢

568
00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:51,290
所以我們永遠不會去買做疫苗的

569
00:15:51,300 --> 00:15:51,660
公司

570
00:15:51,670 --> 00:15:53,450
你會買解藥的公司

571
00:15:53,460 --> 00:15:54,830
對姐要比疫苗

572
00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:56,940
我就直接說你疫苗做出來

573
00:15:56,950 --> 00:15:57,660
到時候就是沒有了

574
00:15:57,670 --> 00:15:59,250
但是姐要比一苗難

575
00:15:59,260 --> 00:16:01,970
因為我那時候事件發生的時候

576
00:16:01,980 --> 00:16:03,690
因為我有一個保博朋友趿

577
00:16:03,960 --> 00:16:04,910
他是超級高材生

578
00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:05,870
他在berkeley裡

579
00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:07,790
你同學他在那邊做post

580
00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:08,030
 duck

581
00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:09,230
他是做生物的

582
00:16:09,240 --> 00:16:10,670
從成大過去超級天才

583
00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:11,870
然後在天才教授實驗室

584
00:16:11,880 --> 00:16:14,270
我那時候1月的時候趕快重新問

585
00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:16,190
他說這到底有沒有就這樣

586
00:16:16,950 --> 00:16:17,950
然後後來他就跟我講

587
00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:19,350
他很簡短的回我

588
00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:20,720
因為他們已經忙成一團

589
00:16:20,730 --> 00:16:22,630
因為可能還要再幫忙研究一些

590
00:16:22,640 --> 00:16:22,930
東西

591
00:16:22,940 --> 00:16:24,490
他回我兩句話

592
00:16:24,790 --> 00:16:26,940
他說第一疫苗的幾率比較高

593
00:16:26,950 --> 00:16:27,900
但是時間會很長

594
00:16:27,910 --> 00:16:30,060
要看川普跟FBI放行的時間

595
00:16:30,070 --> 00:16:31,260
可以多長多快

596
00:16:31,270 --> 00:16:32,940
本來同時一年一年半啊

597
00:16:33,470 --> 00:16:33,760
好

598
00:16:33,770 --> 00:16:35,520
解藥就相當的難

599
00:16:35,530 --> 00:16:36,450
因為沒那麼簡單

600
00:16:36,460 --> 00:16:37,970
它是專家說法了

601
00:16:37,980 --> 00:16:39,270
但也有可能不同學派

602
00:16:39,270 --> 00:16:40,730
我有個朋友了

603
00:16:40,740 --> 00:16:41,640
也是博客來的

604
00:16:41,650 --> 00:16:42,590
什麼大學同學了

605
00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:43,560
博客來打PK

606
00:16:43,570 --> 00:16:46,080
他就是疫苗的專家

607
00:16:46,090 --> 00:16:50,530
對他就是說是最快17個月

608
00:16:50,540 --> 00:16:52,260
你說快也快不了多少

609
00:16:52,270 --> 00:16:53,230
快快不了多少

610
00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:55,250
17個月你大概都群眾免疫了

611
00:16:55,250 --> 00:16:58,620
川普還站出來找fda主席出來

612
00:16:58,630 --> 00:17:00,080
說我們會用最快速度

613
00:17:00,090 --> 00:17:01,320
然後記者就問他

614
00:17:01,410 --> 00:17:02,450
你可以多快

615
00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:05,390
他就說我們盡最大努力最快這樣

616
00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:06,770
而且第1批出來

617
00:17:07,010 --> 00:17:08,050
大家也拿不到

618
00:17:08,110 --> 00:17:10,090
第1批出來誰打的不知道打

619
00:17:10,100 --> 00:17:12,860
而且第1批出來我也不敢答對

620
00:17:12,870 --> 00:17:14,650
誰敢打第1批沒有人敢打的

621
00:17:14,660 --> 00:17:14,970
對

622
00:17:14,980 --> 00:17:16,950
這裡就要說明一下為什麼要這麼

623
00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:17,620
長時間

624
00:17:17,630 --> 00:17:19,190
因為記者為什麼要向他們說

625
00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:19,930
你說多快

626
00:17:19,940 --> 00:17:20,830
這樣會不會有危險

627
00:17:20,890 --> 00:17:23,070
疫苗如果沒有做完整測試

628
00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:25,350
大家去變x扇景好不好

629
00:17:25,360 --> 00:17:27,070
所以做疫苗真的很辛苦

630
00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:28,690
所以我說做疫苗不會賺錢的原因

631
00:17:28,700 --> 00:17:29,870
就做疫苗實在太辛苦

632
00:17:29,870 --> 00:17:30,330
第1個

633
00:17:30,450 --> 00:17:32,670
好不容易集全世界的智慧

634
00:17:32,680 --> 00:17:33,880
你做出過疫苗

635
00:17:33,940 --> 00:17:35,720
達1000萬人死了三個人

636
00:17:35,730 --> 00:17:37,160
然後爆炸1000萬

637
00:17:37,170 --> 00:17:38,550
裡面有20個人變自閉症

638
00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:39,800
然後措賽就這樣

639
00:17:40,110 --> 00:17:42,060
然後好你集全世界的力量

640
00:17:42,070 --> 00:17:44,580
10億美金百億美金做出這一支

641
00:17:44,590 --> 00:17:44,860
疫苗

642
00:17:45,230 --> 00:17:46,610
請問這疫苗一支多少錢

643
00:17:47,950 --> 00:17:49,840
一支5萬你打不打

644
00:17:49,850 --> 00:17:51,740
然後說你們這些商人練才肯剪到

645
00:17:51,750 --> 00:17:52,500
不

646
00:17:52,500 --> 00:17:54,020
我花100億美金做的

647
00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:55,550
怎麼辦

648
00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:56,540
你沒辦法做

649
00:17:56,550 --> 00:17:58,130
所以而且你又做不出來

650
00:17:58,140 --> 00:17:59,470
還有另外更可悲的情況

651
00:17:59,630 --> 00:18:01,420
請問所有觀眾朋友打過SARS

652
00:18:01,430 --> 00:18:01,940
一秒嗎

653
00:18:01,950 --> 00:18:02,480
沒有

654
00:18:02,490 --> 00:18:03,120
為什麼沒有

655
00:18:04,030 --> 00:18:05,060
因為他就不見了

656
00:18:05,070 --> 00:18:07,860
那些做疫苗的人不就你有可能你

657
00:18:07,870 --> 00:18:08,560
做出來的時候

658
00:18:08,570 --> 00:18:09,940
嘰嘰病毒已經不見了

659
00:18:09,950 --> 00:18:11,020
不要說SARS

660
00:18:11,030 --> 00:18:12,470
有人打過a流嗎

661
00:18:12,530 --> 00:18:13,900
有偶爾了了

662
00:18:13,910 --> 00:18:14,610
很少人

663
00:18:14,620 --> 00:18:17,740
你花10年的時間做出a瘤疫苗

664
00:18:17,750 --> 00:18:18,170
流感

665
00:18:18,180 --> 00:18:18,970
然後沒有人打

666
00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:20,830
還不是什麼強制達我什麼沒有

667
00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:22,120
那只是擺在診所

668
00:18:22,130 --> 00:18:24,170
說有需要的話可以四五千塊拿著

669
00:18:24,180 --> 00:18:24,420
紙

670
00:18:24,430 --> 00:18:25,880
對

671
00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:28,020
所以做疫苗的很可憐

672
00:18:28,030 --> 00:18:28,620
真的

673
00:18:28,630 --> 00:18:31,320
所以你那時候看到市場有些這種

674
00:18:31,330 --> 00:18:32,820
醫療資訊上的變動

675
00:18:32,830 --> 00:18:34,020
有沒有做了一點調整

676
00:18:34,030 --> 00:18:36,420
然後是不是進入了第二階段

677
00:18:37,010 --> 00:18:40,130
印錢直接贖款

678
00:18:40,140 --> 00:18:41,410
他到底現在印了多少錢

679
00:18:41,420 --> 00:18:42,880
你們已經不想看了

680
00:18:42,890 --> 00:18:45,250
沒有感覺幾兆美金了

681
00:18:45,260 --> 00:18:46,150
那已經看不出

682
00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:47,460
因為他已經無限量

683
00:18:47,470 --> 00:18:48,590
他根本不想講了

684
00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:51,470
他以前還會說我們推出多少美余

685
00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:51,690
元

686
00:18:51,700 --> 00:18:53,200
然後他後來不講

687
00:18:53,210 --> 00:18:56,710
他說無限量回購美債還是什麼

688
00:18:56,710 --> 00:18:57,890
無限量回購什麼

689
00:18:57,900 --> 00:19:01,030
誰知

690
00:19:01,180 --> 00:19:04,030
它就是無止境地印錢印到說所有

691
00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:06,450
債務都可以被延後這種感覺

692
00:19:06,460 --> 00:19:07,530
你可不可以再解釋一下

693
00:19:07,540 --> 00:19:09,290
剛剛名稱露出困惑的表情

694
00:19:09,390 --> 00:19:09,850
我的理解

695
00:19:09,860 --> 00:19:12,180
我認為在美國政府做得很好

696
00:19:12,190 --> 00:19:13,190
好的點是這樣

697
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,730
你要引發金融危機就會有所謂的

698
00:19:16,740 --> 00:19:17,630
骨牌效應

699
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,030
比如說你是一間開餐廳的

700
00:19:20,380 --> 00:19:22,780
然後你付不出房租

701
00:19:23,150 --> 00:19:24,220
然後你就倒了

702
00:19:24,990 --> 00:19:26,870
然後只有店面的屋主

703
00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:28,760
就因為你不給他租金

704
00:19:28,770 --> 00:19:31,810
他就覺得他要把店面賤價賣出

705
00:19:31,820 --> 00:19:33,850
因為他沒有辦法去赴其他的錢

706
00:19:33,860 --> 00:19:36,500
然後銀行持有店面抵押獲取

707
00:19:36,510 --> 00:19:38,290
覺得房屋的價值下降

708
00:19:38,300 --> 00:19:40,880
銀行瞬間的持有的錢就不夠

709
00:19:40,890 --> 00:19:41,960
所以銀行就跟著倒

710
00:19:41,970 --> 00:19:44,330
如果是這樣子的骨牌效應

711
00:19:44,340 --> 00:19:46,510
從中小企業倒到什麼房地產

712
00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:47,450
再倒到銀行

713
00:19:47,460 --> 00:19:48,220
倒到什麼

714
00:19:48,220 --> 00:19:49,230
金融公司之類的

715
00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:50,410
是美國經濟就完了

716
00:19:50,420 --> 00:19:51,440
我這世界就完了

717
00:19:51,620 --> 00:19:53,940
所以我認為在印錢這件事情

718
00:19:53,950 --> 00:19:55,550
他做到一個很棒的東西

719
00:19:55,560 --> 00:19:57,280
是沒有一個骨牌可以倒

720
00:19:57,340 --> 00:20:00,350
所以他就去花錢去把那些快倒的

721
00:20:00,530 --> 00:20:02,850
比如說債券債權把它買回來

722
00:20:02,860 --> 00:20:04,710
她就直接說你現在都不用付

723
00:20:04,830 --> 00:20:06,690
你如果員工你要付他薪水

724
00:20:06,700 --> 00:20:06,970
對不對

725
00:20:06,980 --> 00:20:08,140
你就放到五金價就不用付

726
00:20:08,150 --> 00:20:10,020
然後我們政府就貼他每個月

727
00:20:10,030 --> 00:20:12,110
1200塊多1400

728
00:20:12,120 --> 00:20:14,080
然後你現在有房地產沒有房租的

729
00:20:14,090 --> 00:20:15,310
問題就都不用付

730
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:16,970
反正我到時候就無息借給你

731
00:20:16,980 --> 00:20:18,180
就到以後再付就好了

732
00:20:18,670 --> 00:20:19,760
知道心態是什麼心態

733
00:20:19,770 --> 00:20:22,310
這個心態是疫情短期內會不會

734
00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:22,920
解決

735
00:20:22,930 --> 00:20:25,750
等到兩三個月後就馬上跑5套票

736
00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:27,050
大家就繼續旅遊

737
00:20:27,060 --> 00:20:27,720
繼續看電影

738
00:20:27,730 --> 00:20:28,970
去餐廳吃飯

739
00:20:28,970 --> 00:20:30,890
所以我只要控制住這一段時間

740
00:20:30,900 --> 00:20:32,220
前天貼到這一段時間裡面

741
00:20:32,660 --> 00:20:34,190
不要讓骨牌開始倒下來

742
00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:36,170
這件事情就經濟上被控制

743
00:20:36,180 --> 00:20:37,710
因為工位上不知道怎麼控制

744
00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:39,200
對吧

745
00:20:39,210 --> 00:20:41,350
沒有人知道工位上應該怎麼控制

746
00:20:41,360 --> 00:20:43,390
我剛才講疫苗遙遙無期

747
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:44,560
要你說很難

748
00:20:44,570 --> 00:20:46,910
然後什麼阿玲就是得過在家裡

749
00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:47,580
什麼之類的

750
00:20:47,590 --> 00:20:49,210
因為你沒辦法阻止它傳染

751
00:20:49,270 --> 00:20:51,290
工位上面我們沒有任何方式去

752
00:20:51,300 --> 00:20:52,010
控制中央地形

753
00:20:52,020 --> 00:20:53,850
所以我們從經濟上做最大的效果

754
00:20:53,860 --> 00:20:54,630
去支撐它

755
00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:57,280
後來發現說好這個策略蠻成功的

756
00:20:57,290 --> 00:20:58,750
所以沒有東西倒

757
00:20:58,750 --> 00:21:00,430
所以我就看到 Fenix

758
00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:01,320
的臉書

759
00:21:01,330 --> 00:21:04,660
有很多心情激動的文章沒有

760
00:21:04,670 --> 00:21:06,250
我覺得他做的很好

761
00:21:06,260 --> 00:21:08,690
這個狀況看下去

762
00:21:09,060 --> 00:21:11,450
地球上的股票永遠不會跌啦

763
00:21:11,460 --> 00:21:12,350
因為這麼著

764
00:21:12,360 --> 00:21:14,150
現在美國是幾十萬人確診

765
00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:15,950
然後幾萬人死掉8

766
00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:17,150
10萬人確診

767
00:21:17,550 --> 00:21:18,990
然後全世界是200多萬

768
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:20,660
因為我每個禮拜都要寫信給學生

769
00:21:20,670 --> 00:21:21,180
你知道嗎

770
00:21:21,190 --> 00:21:21,690
我都要整理

771
00:21:21,700 --> 00:21:22,670
因為他們都不看新聞

772
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:23,830
館長不報

773
00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:24,790
他們也不會知道

774
00:21:24,790 --> 00:21:26,590
我就跟他們講說現在狀況是什麼

775
00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:26,740
情

776
00:21:26,750 --> 00:21:27,940
當然還是持續小心

777
00:21:27,950 --> 00:21:29,860
然後什麼我說我都知道那些數字

778
00:21:29,870 --> 00:21:31,150
然後奇怪

779
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:33,810
金融市場好像對不對

780
00:21:33,820 --> 00:21:35,410
你們那時候就說道瓊15000

781
00:21:35,420 --> 00:21:36,150
點這樣

782
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:37,840
然後結果現在還是2萬多

783
00:21:37,910 --> 00:21:39,070
現在23000

784
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:41,600
然後那時候差不多在21000

785
00:21:41,610 --> 00:21:42,350
還是多少

786
00:21:42,360 --> 00:21:43,570
有破到2萬以下

787
00:21:43,580 --> 00:21:45,170
有18000 18000

788
00:21:45,180 --> 00:21:47,500
然後那時候他們好像就說說她

789
00:21:47,510 --> 00:21:49,050
這樣稍微調整一點

790
00:21:49,060 --> 00:21:50,500
退會損傷

791
00:21:50,510 --> 00:21:53,260
但是我要講的事情是我們節目

792
00:21:53,270 --> 00:21:56,090
應該不是在談說就賺多少多少錢

793
00:21:56,100 --> 00:22:00,510
我們應該談說疫情對股票金融

794
00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:02,240
市場會對自由世界到底有什麼

795
00:22:02,250 --> 00:22:02,570
影響

796
00:22:02,580 --> 00:22:03,290
這是我們下一步

797
00:22:03,300 --> 00:22:04,870
但因為我想要講條件

798
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:05,900
知道我到底賠多少錢

799
00:22:05,910 --> 00:22:12,000
不是我是想要讓你有一個機會

800
00:22:12,010 --> 00:22:13,050
預測一下

801
00:22:13,050 --> 00:22:14,920
下一步會怎麼樣

802
00:22:14,930 --> 00:22:18,970
因為我聽到你們其實覺得市場沒

803
00:22:18,980 --> 00:22:20,230
道理持續高

804
00:22:20,340 --> 00:22:22,680
我自己心裡我講我的想法了

805
00:22:22,830 --> 00:22:23,590
我的想法也是

806
00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:26,740
你印鈔票一定只是把災難延後

807
00:22:26,750 --> 00:22:28,730
只是延後多久沒有人知道

808
00:22:28,730 --> 00:22:30,620
你要去看我們之前講好多次一本

809
00:22:30,630 --> 00:22:30,880
書

810
00:22:30,890 --> 00:22:32,120
叫做金融詛咒

811
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:33,460
裡面的作者說

812
00:22:33,470 --> 00:22:35,680
我們現在2008年次貸危機是

813
00:22:35,690 --> 00:22:37,990
從世界二次大戰以來的賠款

814
00:22:38,220 --> 00:22:40,810
之後很多政府用了一系列的金融

815
00:22:40,820 --> 00:22:44,310
手段去延後他所創造出來延後爆

816
00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:44,750
彈

817
00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:46,640
因為你像你在海灘上面打仗

818
00:22:46,650 --> 00:22:47,700
然後買了一些地雷

819
00:22:47,710 --> 00:22:49,430
你就是40年後才到

820
00:22:49,570 --> 00:22:50,990
但也有可能明天才到

821
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:51,480
對吧

822
00:22:51,490 --> 00:22:54,520
所以我的意思就是說我知道印鈔

823
00:22:54,850 --> 00:22:56,520
不會永遠的解決掉這個問題是

824
00:22:56,530 --> 00:22:58,680
所以我就是想說你會不會有一些

825
00:22:58,690 --> 00:22:58,920
看法

826
00:22:58,930 --> 00:22:59,640
你現在講

827
00:22:59,650 --> 00:23:02,520
因為本身上次來就說要看一個人

828
00:23:02,530 --> 00:23:03,240
到底有沒有遠見

829
00:23:03,250 --> 00:23:05,880
讓他在公開的頻道上面說出對

830
00:23:05,890 --> 00:23:06,600
未來的看法

831
00:23:07,310 --> 00:23:08,580
但我們這不是老師

832
00:23:08,590 --> 00:23:09,940
是朋友之間的對話

833
00:23:09,950 --> 00:23:10,750
好不好

834
00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:12,660
我的理解就是一切看這個異性

835
00:23:12,670 --> 00:23:13,320
怎麼發展

836
00:23:13,330 --> 00:23:14,430
疫情怎麼辦

837
00:23:14,430 --> 00:23:16,820
現在這個世界的分析師是說

838
00:23:16,830 --> 00:23:18,150
我們看中國model

839
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:19,430
中國model是什麼

840
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,830
是說兩個月後這件事情就就

841
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:22,310
差不多沒事了

842
00:23:22,790 --> 00:23:25,080
像現在北上廣深的夜店是可以

843
00:23:25,090 --> 00:23:25,540
 happy的

844
00:23:25,550 --> 00:23:26,920
是可以是懂是這樣

845
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:28,910
有一些區域性的地方

846
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:30,160
比如說什麼黑龍江

847
00:23:30,170 --> 00:23:33,390
湖南或者有些其他地方有些封鎖

848
00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:34,720
我們不知道它效果怎麼樣

849
00:23:34,730 --> 00:23:37,880
但是分析師覺得說武漢豐城以後

850
00:23:37,890 --> 00:23:38,800
的兩個月

851
00:23:38,910 --> 00:23:42,010
中國一切算是恢復有限度的

852
00:23:42,020 --> 00:23:42,540
正常

853
00:23:42,650 --> 00:23:43,910
起碼餐廳是開著的

854
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:45,530
這起碼夜店是開著的

855
00:23:45,540 --> 00:23:46,790
你人類也可以走在路上

856
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:48,840
不會像紐約和意大利現在的狀況

857
00:23:48,850 --> 00:23:49,530
對不對

858
00:23:50,120 --> 00:23:53,080
所以大家預測是說6月1號這件

859
00:23:53,090 --> 00:23:54,970
事情就快沒了

860
00:23:54,970 --> 00:23:57,550
什麼叫做這件事情快沒了

861
00:23:57,560 --> 00:24:00,500
這件事情就會開始產生一種報復

862
00:24:00,510 --> 00:24:01,400
性的消費

863
00:24:01,500 --> 00:24:03,560
比如說乾我上半年都沒玩到

864
00:24:03,570 --> 00:24:04,980
下半年我要去做游輪

865
00:24:05,230 --> 00:24:07,390
2021年游輪會爆滿

866
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:09,620
這種感覺分析師是這麼覺得

867
00:24:09,630 --> 00:24:10,700
我不這麼覺得

868
00:24:10,890 --> 00:24:13,830
我要聽你覺得我會看

869
00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:15,280
我們不能有任何覺得

870
00:24:15,290 --> 00:24:16,870
我覺得為什麼沒有人會覺得

871
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:17,150
怎麼樣

872
00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:18,840
所以你要看說

873
00:24:18,950 --> 00:24:20,220
如果分析是這麼覺得

874
00:24:20,230 --> 00:24:21,240
我為什麼要做空雞

875
00:24:21,250 --> 00:24:22,130
因為我不這麼

876
00:24:22,140 --> 00:24:24,540
我覺得6月1號以後

877
00:24:24,750 --> 00:24:25,660
大家會發現說

878
00:24:25,670 --> 00:24:29,640
我一解封城市又開始有第2波

879
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:32,380
可是現代裝飾其實中國好像沒有

880
00:24:32,390 --> 00:24:32,970
第2步

881
00:24:33,710 --> 00:24:35,700
可是你又不太清楚中國現象

882
00:24:35,710 --> 00:24:35,950
中國的

883
00:24:35,950 --> 00:24:39,130
環境是一個在活在一個戰爭迷霧

884
00:24:39,140 --> 00:24:39,350
裡面

885
00:24:39,360 --> 00:24:40,990
你是不太清楚那裡面發生什麼

886
00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:41,570
事情

887
00:24:41,580 --> 00:24:41,980
對

888
00:24:41,990 --> 00:24:44,180
你會有一些奇怪

889
00:24:44,190 --> 00:24:45,960
推在推一些奇怪的東西

890
00:24:45,970 --> 00:24:48,670
但是你不太能夠去看新聞

891
00:24:48,740 --> 00:24:49,300
這樣子

892
00:24:50,090 --> 00:24:52,880
我們寶博朋友說聽眾群是很巨大

893
00:24:52,890 --> 00:24:53,440
量的

894
00:24:53,450 --> 00:24:54,840
尤其我們現在又不小心

895
00:24:54,850 --> 00:24:57,080
不是不小心哪很用心的登上了

896
00:24:57,090 --> 00:24:57,920
台灣pockets的排行榜

897
00:24:57,930 --> 00:24:58,480
對不對

898
00:24:58,490 --> 00:24:59,880
30名是吧

899
00:25:00,630 --> 00:25:02,660
所以我們不能唯言聳聽

900
00:25:02,670 --> 00:25:06,060
所以我們就要去看那看觀察這

901
00:25:06,070 --> 00:25:06,400
一切

902
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:08,000
如果沒有第2波

903
00:25:08,010 --> 00:25:10,280
那就這件事情到6月1號大家就

904
00:25:10,290 --> 00:25:11,370
說結束了

905
00:25:11,380 --> 00:25:12,280
可能大家多注意

906
00:25:12,290 --> 00:25:12,800
多洗手

907
00:25:12,810 --> 00:25:13,540
戴口罩

908
00:25:13,820 --> 00:25:14,810
一切恢復正常

909
00:25:14,820 --> 00:25:15,060
電影院

910
00:25:15,070 --> 00:25:17,060
就去看不會像那電影票房這麼

911
00:25:17,460 --> 00:25:18,930
精彩的數字出現

912
00:25:18,940 --> 00:25:21,840
對美國好像月才500美金還是

913
00:25:22,700 --> 00:25:26,590
冰較去年同期下降999999

914
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:27,000
可亮

915
00:25:27,010 --> 00:25:27,780
這類的

916
00:25:27,790 --> 00:25:30,260
我只能說我也一直在收集資訊

917
00:25:30,270 --> 00:25:33,000
然後因為我跟那些我很有智慧的

918
00:25:33,010 --> 00:25:34,520
朋友們聊過以後

919
00:25:34,580 --> 00:25:37,100
我覺得大家的一個共同認識是說

920
00:25:37,110 --> 00:25:38,940
危機意識要有好不好

921
00:25:38,950 --> 00:25:41,300
這危機意識只是危機意識感到

922
00:25:41,360 --> 00:25:42,180
到底要多強

923
00:25:42,190 --> 00:25:43,510
他是不是要化為行動

924
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:45,230
大家要自己有自己的判斷

925
00:25:45,230 --> 00:25:49,800
我個人會覺得不管到底6月1號

926
00:25:49,810 --> 00:25:51,010
7月1號還是怎麼樣

927
00:25:51,020 --> 00:25:54,830
疫情有了什麼樣的好像和緩下來

928
00:25:55,060 --> 00:25:56,500
我想要講的一句話是

929
00:25:56,510 --> 00:25:59,570
大家還是要持續注意社交距離

930
00:25:59,580 --> 00:26:01,200
為什麼在做一個結尾

931
00:26:01,210 --> 00:26:03,880
在比賽在做結尾是還沒學會

932
00:26:03,890 --> 00:26:05,870
因為我們要多注意一些問題

933
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:09,850
要為什麼我要趁這個然後划入

934
00:26:09,860 --> 00:26:10,790
我們的下一段

935
00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:12,710
就是說因為你說我們其實是要講

936
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:14,550
下一個階段的社會概況

937
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,390
因為我剛剛講的是你看股票這件

938
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,310
事情是如果你覺得它會下跌

939
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:21,660
或者它覺得上漲概念是這個疫情

940
00:26:21,670 --> 00:26:22,920
有沒有永遠地改變

941
00:26:22,930 --> 00:26:24,160
我們的人生會

942
00:26:24,170 --> 00:26:26,590
如果你覺得會你的意思是什麼

943
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:29,830
這就是再也沒有人敢去坐游輪了

944
00:26:29,830 --> 00:26:32,560
覺得說萬一有人上面有一利就有

945
00:26:32,570 --> 00:26:32,950
正傳

946
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,550
都是對或者還是說報復的

947
00:26:35,560 --> 00:26:36,920
說我今年沒有做到游輪

948
00:26:36,930 --> 00:26:37,870
明年我要坐三趟

949
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:38,380
對

950
00:26:38,540 --> 00:26:40,080
你如果明年做三趟

951
00:26:40,090 --> 00:26:41,730
當然就全部都回來了嗎

952
00:26:41,740 --> 00:26:43,820
游輪公司就全部都開心了

953
00:26:43,830 --> 00:26:46,290
從迪斯人今年沒玩到明年我要買

954
00:26:46,300 --> 00:26:46,730
年票

955
00:26:46,740 --> 00:26:49,400
玩到爆炸一年多開三個城市

956
00:26:49,410 --> 00:26:50,990
這樣來高雄沒有

957
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:54,150
高總反正就是這樣

958
00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:56,820
如果你認為是他會改變了我們

959
00:26:56,830 --> 00:26:57,490
人生

960
00:26:57,780 --> 00:26:59,090
然後他的以後世界

961
00:26:59,100 --> 00:27:01,290
就以後你會看到那種CNN或者

962
00:27:01,300 --> 00:27:02,390
什麼沃爾遜就那種寫出

963
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:05,570
這個世界已經不一樣了

964
00:27:05,580 --> 00:27:06,400
就這麼說

965
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:08,080
這個股票市場我已經不懂了

966
00:27:08,090 --> 00:27:09,740
那你這個股票就會跌的

967
00:27:09,750 --> 00:27:11,650
如果你覺得說這個世界等到什麼

968
00:27:11,660 --> 00:27:13,130
6171甚至81號好了

969
00:27:13,140 --> 00:27:15,060
反正下來就一直印錢拖拖嗎

970
00:27:15,060 --> 00:27:16,970
拖到8月9月以後

971
00:27:16,980 --> 00:27:18,210
這世界恢復正常了

972
00:27:18,220 --> 00:27:19,950
大家說解放了

973
00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:20,890
出國就完了

974
00:27:20,900 --> 00:27:22,090
開始旅遊了

975
00:27:22,340 --> 00:27:23,960
其實股票會漲

976
00:27:23,970 --> 00:27:26,200
我就說明年1月什麼稻盛40萬

977
00:27:26,210 --> 00:27:26,520
點

978
00:27:26,530 --> 00:27:27,140
知道嗎

979
00:27:27,150 --> 00:27:29,400
這是錢都印出來不記得了

980
00:27:29,410 --> 00:27:31,880
現在是大家聽節目至少是4月

981
00:27:31,890 --> 00:27:33,140
29號以後了

982
00:27:33,140 --> 00:27:35,900
大家記住我們我原本有一絕的話

983
00:27:35,910 --> 00:27:36,830
是跌升

984
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:37,640
然後最後什麼

985
00:27:37,650 --> 00:27:39,750
年底可能選舉要選上

986
00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:41,290
然後最後來一個慶祝行情

987
00:27:41,300 --> 00:27:42,950
還有政治的影響

988
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:43,350
對

989
00:27:43,360 --> 00:27:44,150
這個真的很難

990
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:46,600
我覺得寶博的智商沒有辦法推到

991
00:27:46,610 --> 00:27:47,140
醫院

992
00:27:47,420 --> 00:27:49,910
但至少我自己覺得6月1號要

993
00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:51,410
報復性消費還太早

994
00:27:51,420 --> 00:27:53,910
這就是我自己目前我的智慧能講

995
00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:54,660
出來的話了

996
00:27:54,670 --> 00:27:56,660
但也有可能我是錯的

997
00:27:56,670 --> 00:27:57,910
所以大家自己可以判斷

998
00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:00,660
我覺得這是一個非常好的機會去

999
00:28:00,670 --> 00:28:02,290
練習大家預測未來

1000
00:28:02,300 --> 00:28:04,340
然後跟搜尋資料

1001
00:28:04,350 --> 00:28:06,940
然後找到對的可以信賴的節目來

1002
00:28:06,950 --> 00:28:08,580
收聽的一個好機會

1003
00:28:08,590 --> 00:28:11,770
我要講的事情是我講的話

1004
00:28:11,780 --> 00:28:13,660
我把錢放在我講的話上面

1005
00:28:13,670 --> 00:28:15,970
如果各位聽了我的話去做同樣的

1006
00:28:15,980 --> 00:28:17,230
事情或怎麼樣跟我無關

1007
00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:18,280
然後就算你因此怎麼樣

1008
00:28:18,290 --> 00:28:20,380
你只要想我一定陪的比你更多

1009
00:28:20,390 --> 00:28:22,270
這樣就會開心的跟本節目有關

1010
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:24,160
對我一定是陪最多的那一

1011
00:28:24,170 --> 00:28:24,790
個人這樣子

1012
00:28:24,790 --> 00:28:25,700
對

1013
00:28:25,710 --> 00:28:25,930
好

1014
00:28:25,940 --> 00:28:28,230
我們回到你剛剛講說不要講錢

1015
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:29,150
也不要講賠

1016
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:29,380
對

1017
00:28:29,390 --> 00:28:30,990
而且我們這也不是一個財經

1018
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:31,220
節目他

1019
00:28:31,230 --> 00:28:32,830
也和我媽聽到他會罵

1020
00:28:33,190 --> 00:28:34,690
你媽好好

1021
00:28:34,700 --> 00:28:36,160
這傢伙不要給媽媽聽

1022
00:28:36,170 --> 00:28:36,420
好不好

1023
00:28:36,430 --> 00:28:37,890
你說我們是用AA合成的

1024
00:28:37,900 --> 00:28:38,770
那聲音不是你的

1025
00:28:38,780 --> 00:28:39,150
對不對

1026
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:42,630
其實我一直在觀察

1027
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:45,330
除了他自己會發出一些這種評論

1028
00:28:45,340 --> 00:28:46,210
或者什麼之外

1029
00:28:46,220 --> 00:28:47,810
其實我也很喜歡Fenix

1030
00:28:47,820 --> 00:28:50,110
他其實會去閱讀非常多的

1031
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:50,590
document

1032
00:28:50,950 --> 00:28:51,630
啊或者是文件

1033
00:28:51,630 --> 00:28:53,690
2008年金融海嘯的時候

1034
00:28:53,700 --> 00:28:55,260
跑出了很多的金融分析師

1035
00:28:55,270 --> 00:28:57,240
然後包含什麼末日博士也好

1036
00:28:57,250 --> 00:28:59,600
然後或者是什麼金融大鰐又出來

1037
00:28:59,610 --> 00:29:00,400
講什麼話

1038
00:29:00,410 --> 00:29:01,660
巴菲特又怎麼樣

1039
00:29:01,670 --> 00:29:03,610
這一次的疫情因為很特別

1040
00:29:03,620 --> 00:29:06,740
它是傳統世界裡出現的一個狀況

1041
00:29:06,750 --> 00:29:08,060
影響到金融

1042
00:29:08,070 --> 00:29:09,420
金融又影響到市場

1043
00:29:09,430 --> 00:29:11,720
市場上影響到各所有的層面

1044
00:29:11,910 --> 00:29:14,520
所以跑出來講話的人超級多的

1045
00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:19,140
什麼寫拉瑞寫什麼人類大未來

1046
00:29:19,150 --> 00:29:21,370
什麼也跳出來寫一篇很長的

1047
00:29:21,370 --> 00:29:23,880
然後最近有一篇什麼mary

1048
00:29:23,890 --> 00:29:24,220
還是什麼

1049
00:29:24,230 --> 00:29:26,520
每年會寫一個網路年度報告

1050
00:29:26,530 --> 00:29:28,210
一個女生反正就很強

1051
00:29:28,220 --> 00:29:29,380
每年會寫一個報告

1052
00:29:29,390 --> 00:29:30,190
他也寫了一個叫the

1053
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:30,740
 whole new

1054
00:29:30,750 --> 00:29:31,580
 world

1055
00:29:31,740 --> 00:29:33,980
然後 Fenix就閱讀了

1056
00:29:33,990 --> 00:29:36,280
一個我們這個節目也提的n百變

1057
00:29:36,290 --> 00:29:37,340
叫mark anderson

1058
00:29:37,350 --> 00:29:38,180
這怎麼發音

1059
00:29:38,190 --> 00:29:40,360
我發現我然後拼錯了

1060
00:29:40,370 --> 00:29:43,980
反正就是mark可能很熟

1061
00:29:43,990 --> 00:29:46,330
就是發明瀏覽器的男人好不好

1062
00:29:46,610 --> 00:29:48,000
他也寫了一篇叫its

1063
00:29:48,010 --> 00:29:49,280
 time to build

1064
00:29:49,290 --> 00:29:52,480
這是個建設的時機來臨了

1065
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:52,780
好

1066
00:29:52,790 --> 00:29:55,310
然後你又讀了一個叫現代貨幣

1067
00:29:55,320 --> 00:29:55,740
理論

1068
00:29:56,380 --> 00:29:57,960
The modern

1069
00:29:57,970 --> 00:29:58,490
 monetary

1070
00:29:58,500 --> 00:29:59,020
 thing

1071
00:29:59,690 --> 00:30:01,330
我就是要把你請來

1072
00:30:01,340 --> 00:30:02,770
我想要聽你

1073
00:30:03,260 --> 00:30:03,840
Sorry

1074
00:30:03,850 --> 00:30:05,680
前面都愛乾嘛

1075
00:30:05,690 --> 00:30:05,950
沒有

1076
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:08,560
因為前面就是你的一個跌宕

1077
00:30:08,570 --> 00:30:09,460
因為還沒the end of

1078
00:30:09,470 --> 00:30:09,970
 story

1079
00:30:09,980 --> 00:30:12,150
前面就是我跌倒及成長的故事

1080
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:12,640
對

1081
00:30:12,650 --> 00:30:13,640
然後to be

1082
00:30:13,650 --> 00:30:14,200
 continued

1083
00:30:14,210 --> 00:30:17,060
我們現在下一集還沒演

1084
00:30:17,070 --> 00:30:17,370
對不對

1085
00:30:17,370 --> 00:30:18,760
第2季到底怎麼演

1086
00:30:18,770 --> 00:30:20,740
就要開始來看一些大家分析

1087
00:30:20,750 --> 00:30:22,880
我看你好像讀完

1088
00:30:22,890 --> 00:30:23,800
因為那一篇沒有很長

1089
00:30:23,810 --> 00:30:24,570
我懶得看

1090
00:30:24,580 --> 00:30:25,570
 its time to

1091
00:30:25,580 --> 00:30:25,930
 build

1092
00:30:26,430 --> 00:30:27,620
就想著趕快約來

1093
00:30:27,910 --> 00:30:29,630
馬克安吉森在宮相會

1094
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:29,780
好

1095
00:30:29,790 --> 00:30:32,770
那一篇他沒有講什麼特別應該要

1096
00:30:32,780 --> 00:30:33,250
做的事情

1097
00:30:33,260 --> 00:30:36,100
他比較像是講個個人感言這種

1098
00:30:36,110 --> 00:30:36,310
感覺

1099
00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:38,140
他是覺得說這是疫情

1100
00:30:38,150 --> 00:30:40,390
大家看到美國製造美國一些體制

1101
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:41,930
上面一些脆弱的部分

1102
00:30:41,990 --> 00:30:44,920
比如說做口罩跟做呼吸器不是

1103
00:30:44,930 --> 00:30:45,860
什麼困難的事情

1104
00:30:45,870 --> 00:30:46,700
誰都會做

1105
00:30:47,010 --> 00:30:48,470
只是這件事情

1106
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:50,520
因為可能經濟和成本上面考完

1107
00:30:50,530 --> 00:30:52,340
他把奧碩士到就是中國

1108
00:30:52,350 --> 00:30:53,270
台灣或者越南

1109
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:55,200
結果搞到自己美國就是到時候

1110
00:30:55,210 --> 00:30:55,980
現在需要口罩

1111
00:30:55,990 --> 00:30:56,490
沒有口罩

1112
00:30:56,500 --> 00:30:57,000
需要呼吸

1113
00:30:57,010 --> 00:30:57,720
沒有呼吸

1114
00:30:57,720 --> 00:30:58,580
到底為什麼

1115
00:30:58,700 --> 00:31:00,550
明明都是我們會做的東西

1116
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:02,100
為什麼我們要搞到這個地步

1117
00:31:02,410 --> 00:31:04,320
他一連串講了一大堆

1118
00:31:04,330 --> 00:31:05,280
像比如說教育

1119
00:31:05,290 --> 00:31:07,200
現在不能夠去學校上學了

1120
00:31:07,210 --> 00:31:08,640
就做網路教學

1121
00:31:08,650 --> 00:31:10,800
網路教學就已經有這樣的工具了

1122
00:31:10,810 --> 00:31:12,960
為什麼不一開始就網路教學這種

1123
00:31:12,970 --> 00:31:13,200
感覺

1124
00:31:13,580 --> 00:31:13,660
對

1125
00:31:13,670 --> 00:31:14,460
我也是這樣想的

1126
00:31:14,470 --> 00:31:15,850
為什麼不最一開始就網路教育

1127
00:31:15,860 --> 00:31:17,990
大家平常你們去聚會或者什麼

1128
00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:18,380
無所謂

1129
00:31:18,390 --> 00:31:19,940
但是教學的時候網路教學

1130
00:31:19,950 --> 00:31:23,440
他一說像舊金山有一些什麼房價

1131
00:31:23,450 --> 00:31:23,770
的問題

1132
00:31:23,780 --> 00:31:25,380
大家不是不會蓋房子

1133
00:31:25,390 --> 00:31:26,660
大家我們都會蓋房子

1134
00:31:26,670 --> 00:31:27,890
你去蓋一大堆房子

1135
00:31:27,900 --> 00:31:29,140
大家就不會有房價的問題了

1136
00:31:29,140 --> 00:31:33,370
可這篇文章就會在業界那種科技

1137
00:31:33,380 --> 00:31:34,460
界有一些站穩

1138
00:31:34,470 --> 00:31:35,010
講說

1139
00:31:35,020 --> 00:31:35,610
第1個是站

1140
00:31:35,620 --> 00:31:37,500
他就說啊你講這些屁話

1141
00:31:37,510 --> 00:31:39,000
你都是做軟體的人

1142
00:31:39,010 --> 00:31:40,930
在那邊跟我講蓋房子你在講什麼

1143
00:31:40,940 --> 00:31:42,530
你在蓋工廠跟我講什麼

1144
00:31:42,540 --> 00:31:44,900
你投資過700塊錢的果汁機

1145
00:31:44,910 --> 00:31:46,770
馬可有投資過16

1146
00:31:46,780 --> 00:31:47,870
不是有投資96

1147
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:48,950
大家去查

1148
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:51,070
就有一個號稱什麼很吊炸汁機

1149
00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:53,470
然後後來被人家覺得有點一邊

1150
00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:54,240
詐騙這樣的

1151
00:31:54,250 --> 00:31:56,790
然後他反正好像啦隊就有人在講

1152
00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:57,380
這件事情

1153
00:31:57,390 --> 00:31:59,410
也有人講說為什麼要蓋摩天到你

1154
00:31:59,420 --> 00:31:59,800
有網路

1155
00:31:59,810 --> 00:32:01,420
你就不應該要蓋摩天大樓這種

1156
00:32:01,430 --> 00:32:01,670
感覺

1157
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:04,250
我只是覺得這篇文章點出來的

1158
00:32:04,260 --> 00:32:06,260
問題是這些口罩

1159
00:32:06,270 --> 00:32:06,940
呼吸器

1160
00:32:06,950 --> 00:32:08,300
線上教學

1161
00:32:08,310 --> 00:32:12,050
摩天大樓啊是只要我們想做

1162
00:32:12,230 --> 00:32:13,900
就可以做到的

1163
00:32:13,910 --> 00:32:17,090
我們是什麼原因阻止了我們沒有

1164
00:32:17,100 --> 00:32:18,190
做這件事情

1165
00:32:18,190 --> 00:32:18,890
我想起來了

1166
00:32:18,900 --> 00:32:20,210
我記得我有按翻譯

1167
00:32:20,220 --> 00:32:22,310
然後很快的看了一下

1168
00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:23,810
因為我讀英文還是慢

1169
00:32:23,820 --> 00:32:25,560
跟 berkeley的高大上

1170
00:32:25,570 --> 00:32:27,060
比起來慢了大概10

1171
00:32:27,070 --> 00:32:27,560
percent而已

1172
00:32:27,570 --> 00:32:32,420
然後然後我就看他有提到一個

1173
00:32:32,430 --> 00:32:32,770
觀點

1174
00:32:32,780 --> 00:32:34,700
他說你現在印鈔票

1175
00:32:34,710 --> 00:32:36,610
表示你可以印哪

1176
00:32:36,620 --> 00:32:40,070
你乾嘛不印鈔票去建設超棒的遠

1177
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:41,380
距教學平台

1178
00:32:41,390 --> 00:32:43,990
你為什麼不印鈔票去做n98n

1179
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:44,670
900

1180
00:32:44,780 --> 00:32:45,440
口罩

1181
00:32:45,450 --> 00:32:47,860
你為什麼不印鈔票去把你本來就

1182
00:32:47,870 --> 00:32:49,620
該建設的高鐵他要講到

1183
00:32:49,630 --> 00:32:50,180
對不對

1184
00:32:50,330 --> 00:32:52,270
他說美國到現在沒有高鐵

1185
00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:55,000
是你明明就可以印鈔票去做這件

1186
00:32:55,010 --> 00:32:55,150
事情

1187
00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:55,640
你不應

1188
00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:57,940
然後你說好多經濟的問題

1189
00:32:57,950 --> 00:32:59,130
我們不可以隨便亂印

1190
00:32:59,140 --> 00:33:01,950
然後現在突然一行爆發可以就

1191
00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:02,610
可以了

1192
00:33:02,620 --> 00:33:04,770
這是我有點像提出來說現在就

1193
00:33:04,780 --> 00:33:05,380
可以

1194
00:33:05,390 --> 00:33:07,600
他沒有講印鈔票這個問題

1195
00:33:07,610 --> 00:33:09,290
我講說因為你現在就可以亂印的

1196
00:33:09,300 --> 00:33:10,390
你為什麼不印

1197
00:33:10,490 --> 00:33:12,840
你乾嘛不早一點一你早點經濟就

1198
00:33:12,850 --> 00:33:16,110
活絡經濟活動病毒還是未來是

1199
00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:17,040
可是你併入了

1200
00:33:17,050 --> 00:33:18,880
你直接就會稍微讓你緩和

1201
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:20,060
現在最大的問題是什麼

1202
00:33:20,170 --> 00:33:22,780
雖然問題是你想要送錢給人民

1203
00:33:22,790 --> 00:33:24,500
但是你不知道怎麼送錢給人民

1204
00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:25,630
好

1205
00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:27,360
你不能在路邊擺個小攤子

1206
00:33:27,370 --> 00:33:29,640
然後發他1200塊現金在美國

1207
00:33:29,650 --> 00:33:33,700
你如果要送錢給一個沒有銀行

1208
00:33:33,710 --> 00:33:34,450
帳戶的人

1209
00:33:34,460 --> 00:33:35,050
你怎麼辦

1210
00:33:35,060 --> 00:33:37,830
你沒有 vehicle就沒有

1211
00:33:37,910 --> 00:33:39,320
載具讓他拿到

1212
00:33:39,330 --> 00:33:40,350
美國現在是怎麼樣

1213
00:33:40,350 --> 00:33:41,130
送支票

1214
00:33:41,140 --> 00:33:42,870
他美國有網路申請

1215
00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:45,590
你18年有報什麼稅的

1216
00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:47,060
你就會去填表

1217
00:33:47,070 --> 00:33:48,430
銀行帳戶裡對一下

1218
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:49,590
直接進到銀行帳戶

1219
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:51,750
但是如果你你能夠拿到這種錢的

1220
00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:51,960
人

1221
00:33:51,970 --> 00:33:53,850
其實你都是白拿的了

1222
00:33:53,860 --> 00:33:56,900
因為你真正要拿的這種錢是他一

1223
00:33:56,910 --> 00:33:58,000
一天算一天的那種

1224
00:33:58,010 --> 00:33:59,080
就是拿現金的

1225
00:33:59,090 --> 00:34:00,020
他沒有銀行帳戶

1226
00:34:00,030 --> 00:34:01,410
他可能違約過

1227
00:34:01,420 --> 00:34:03,040
他可能抵過他破產過

1228
00:34:03,050 --> 00:34:03,970
他就沒有銀行帳戶

1229
00:34:03,980 --> 00:34:06,160
他沒有銀行拒絕往來的

1230
00:34:06,170 --> 00:34:08,290
可是這些是最需要幫助的

1231
00:34:08,300 --> 00:34:09,040
他怎麼拿

1232
00:34:09,050 --> 00:34:11,450
所以意思是說你事前印錢

1233
00:34:11,460 --> 00:34:14,050
你可以比較全面性的照顧到各個

1234
00:34:14,060 --> 00:34:14,500
層面

1235
00:34:14,500 --> 00:34:15,320
第一是這樣

1236
00:34:15,330 --> 00:34:17,300
第二是你沒有做出那個基礎

1237
00:34:17,310 --> 00:34:19,440
你沒有花力氣去做基礎建設

1238
00:34:19,450 --> 00:34:21,320
比如說假設我們現在全美國全

1239
00:34:21,330 --> 00:34:23,120
台灣每一個人發一支就是最爛的

1240
00:34:23,130 --> 00:34:23,890
智慧型手機

1241
00:34:23,900 --> 00:34:24,680
說你以後就用

1242
00:34:24,690 --> 00:34:26,230
然後線上支付或做什麼

1243
00:34:26,240 --> 00:34:28,160
你我錢就直接放到你手機裡面

1244
00:34:28,170 --> 00:34:30,100
這很容易對門號就好了

1245
00:34:30,110 --> 00:34:33,270
可是這件事情跟他現在要解決

1246
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:35,330
怎麼發錢這件事情比較起來

1247
00:34:35,340 --> 00:34:37,370
就覺得說當初我如果最一開始就

1248
00:34:37,380 --> 00:34:38,840
先做好這些基礎建設

1249
00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:40,540
讓大家每一個人都有智慧型手機

1250
00:34:40,550 --> 00:34:41,370
每天都能上網

1251
00:34:41,380 --> 00:34:43,140
或每個人都有什麼可以拿到錢的

1252
00:34:43,150 --> 00:34:43,700
方式

1253
00:34:43,710 --> 00:34:45,460
是不是就可以解決掉這個問題

1254
00:34:45,580 --> 00:34:47,170
就像台灣現在面臨同樣狀況

1255
00:34:47,180 --> 00:34:49,320
護碰卷到底是怎麼拿

1256
00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:49,610
對

1257
00:34:49,620 --> 00:34:51,310
我真的會拿到一張實體卷嗎

1258
00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:54,760
現在很多人就講說會讓那些生活

1259
00:34:54,770 --> 00:34:56,300
條件本來就比較好的人

1260
00:34:56,310 --> 00:34:59,540
他賺到更多或者是補償到比較多

1261
00:34:59,550 --> 00:35:01,480
反而是你最需要補償的人

1262
00:35:01,810 --> 00:35:04,940
他根本就連什麼折扣都拿不到

1263
00:35:04,950 --> 00:35:07,340
然後或者是說他去用還要滿消費

1264
00:35:07,350 --> 00:35:08,180
滿100元

1265
00:35:08,190 --> 00:35:09,620
所以這個東西會講到雨

1266
00:35:09,630 --> 00:35:11,040
你們的時候背是陰亢

1267
00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:13,360
有的時候背心上其實要講的不是

1268
00:35:13,370 --> 00:35:15,000
這個政策好或壞了

1269
00:35:15,010 --> 00:35:16,460
只要是講是這個政策

1270
00:35:16,470 --> 00:35:18,460
你有沒有基礎建設去執行

1271
00:35:18,650 --> 00:35:20,340
每個人都發錢

1272
00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:21,960
因為每個人都發現意思

1273
00:35:21,970 --> 00:35:23,260
當然就會有人開始吵

1274
00:35:23,270 --> 00:35:24,120
說他這麼有錢

1275
00:35:24,130 --> 00:35:24,980
他也拿這些錢

1276
00:35:24,990 --> 00:35:25,580
我那麼窮

1277
00:35:25,590 --> 00:35:26,240
我拿這些錢

1278
00:35:26,250 --> 00:35:29,600
可是問題是窮的人畢竟比有錢來

1279
00:35:29,610 --> 00:35:30,870
的多很多

1280
00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:33,390
如果你有一個方法是讓窮的人都

1281
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:34,070
能拿到錢

1282
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:35,780
就算你給了這些有錢人錢

1283
00:35:35,790 --> 00:35:37,360
他們的錯誤是小錯

1284
00:35:37,490 --> 00:35:38,630
他們只是退稅而已

1285
00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:40,980
因為他們本來就在賦稅這種感覺

1286
00:35:40,990 --> 00:35:43,190
現在的問題都是就算現在有人要

1287
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:43,870
跳出來說

1288
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:45,370
你不要說被芯亢

1289
00:35:45,380 --> 00:35:46,010
全部人都有

1290
00:35:46,020 --> 00:35:47,740
人民基本收入什麼跳出來講

1291
00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:50,410
你根本沒有一個方式可以讓真正

1292
00:35:50,420 --> 00:35:52,690
一個實實在在人民拿到錢的時候

1293
00:35:52,700 --> 00:35:53,910
我說最弱勢的

1294
00:35:54,010 --> 00:35:54,790
當然我們都拿到

1295
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:56,240
但是最多是拿不到

1296
00:35:56,240 --> 00:35:58,780
這其實是我佩服的

1297
00:35:58,790 --> 00:35:59,710
Fenix的地方

1298
00:35:59,720 --> 00:36:01,570
雖然我們常常互相遞是這樣

1299
00:36:01,580 --> 00:36:03,750
但是你要看他是一個空軍

1300
00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:06,190
然後現在是有點暫時落難空軍

1301
00:36:06,420 --> 00:36:08,360
但是他心裡想的是什麼

1302
00:36:08,370 --> 00:36:10,480
你美國政府你如果做的對我也認

1303
00:36:10,490 --> 00:36:10,570
了

1304
00:36:10,580 --> 00:36:10,990
對不對

1305
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:12,730
你不要讓大家苦哈哈

1306
00:36:12,740 --> 00:36:14,670
要你就再做的更好一點

1307
00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:15,740
我賠出去的錢

1308
00:36:15,750 --> 00:36:16,810
你拿去印鈔票

1309
00:36:16,820 --> 00:36:18,530
你就應該讓更多的人

1310
00:36:18,680 --> 00:36:18,880
對

1311
00:36:18,890 --> 00:36:19,950
是這樣罵我嗎

1312
00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:22,460
你講不要再講我不要不能拉動了

1313
00:36:22,470 --> 00:36:23,800
對這個蠻遭

1314
00:36:23,810 --> 00:36:24,510
對沒有了

1315
00:36:24,520 --> 00:36:25,720
我們祝福好不好

1316
00:36:25,720 --> 00:36:27,600
祝福剛剛你很客氣

1317
00:36:27,610 --> 00:36:29,800
你說有一些佔文其實就在你的文

1318
00:36:29,810 --> 00:36:30,650
樓下

1319
00:36:30,660 --> 00:36:33,280
我想起來你樓下有一大串

1320
00:36:33,290 --> 00:36:35,110
有人就出來講標書

1321
00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:35,530
他是誰

1322
00:36:35,540 --> 00:36:37,950
拜託就是說共產主義中國就是

1323
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:38,270
這樣

1324
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:40,670
他隨時都在發錢

1325
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:42,810
隨時都愛蓋建設

1326
00:36:42,820 --> 00:36:44,330
然後什麼好像怎麼樣比較好

1327
00:36:44,340 --> 00:36:45,110
什麼比較不好

1328
00:36:45,170 --> 00:36:46,200
然後大家都在底下站

1329
00:36:46,210 --> 00:36:47,990
你後來就沒去看人沒有

1330
00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:50,710
我覺得就不是我想講的嗎

1331
00:36:51,010 --> 00:36:51,270
噢對

1332
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:54,690
因為我想講的話題是如果我們

1333
00:36:54,700 --> 00:36:57,820
能夠聚集起來做一些更好的事情

1334
00:36:57,830 --> 00:36:58,900
像剛剛講的這些

1335
00:36:58,910 --> 00:37:02,790
不管是什麼門人有錢或者是什麼

1336
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:03,750
高樓大廈什麼

1337
00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:05,320
大家房價都能夠被解決

1338
00:37:05,330 --> 00:37:06,610
高鐵能夠被蓋起來

1339
00:37:06,750 --> 00:37:08,180
人類能夠進步

1340
00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:10,630
我就覺得說不定會是個好政策

1341
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:12,050
反省的時機了

1342
00:37:12,060 --> 00:37:14,170
你如果說共產主義是個好政策

1343
00:37:14,180 --> 00:37:16,370
我就會說他對 catch

1344
00:37:16,380 --> 00:37:17,830
 up來說是個好政策

1345
00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:21,050
比如說你從農業國家開竅到工業

1346
00:37:21,060 --> 00:37:21,390
科學家

1347
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:23,800
你就說別人成功是什麼東西

1348
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:25,390
我就做中國特色的版本

1349
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:27,500
我有中國的亞馬遜

1350
00:37:27,510 --> 00:37:28,490
他說阿里巴巴

1351
00:37:28,500 --> 00:37:30,380
我有中國的Google叫做

1352
00:37:30,390 --> 00:37:30,820
百度

1353
00:37:30,830 --> 00:37:33,110
我有中國的什麼

1354
00:37:33,670 --> 00:37:35,550
可是這不是我要看到的

1355
00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:37,980
我要看到的有新的東西

1356
00:37:37,990 --> 00:37:38,250
對

1357
00:37:38,260 --> 00:37:41,500
我覺得人類要有除了曼哈頓計劃

1358
00:37:41,510 --> 00:37:43,070
以後更新的東西

1359
00:37:43,080 --> 00:37:45,560
然後慢慢但是毀滅性的計劃

1360
00:37:45,570 --> 00:37:49,030
但是後來也創造了創造什麼大家

1361
00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:50,070
反對的核電廠了

1362
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:50,820
然後我們不管

1363
00:37:50,980 --> 00:37:53,780
但是你在這裡看到了一個叫現代

1364
00:37:53,790 --> 00:37:55,290
貨幣理論的東西

1365
00:37:55,300 --> 00:37:56,250
是我們可以聊

1366
00:37:56,260 --> 00:37:58,250
你有很難得嗎

1367
00:37:58,250 --> 00:38:00,390
那個男的地方我要講的是他的

1368
00:38:00,790 --> 00:38:01,650
道理是什麼

1369
00:38:01,660 --> 00:38:03,970
難道你消化一下我就是要聽你笑

1370
00:38:03,980 --> 00:38:07,640
我講比較簡單的層面是他是它的

1371
00:38:07,650 --> 00:38:08,100
概念

1372
00:38:08,110 --> 00:38:10,660
就是你今天政府可以發包給一些

1373
00:38:10,670 --> 00:38:12,680
民間去做一些民間想要做的事情

1374
00:38:12,690 --> 00:38:14,450
然後達成就業率100塊錢

1375
00:38:14,460 --> 00:38:16,100
比如說你今天高鐵就民間就把它

1376
00:38:16,110 --> 00:38:16,500
蓋好

1377
00:38:16,510 --> 00:38:18,930
然後人民都有事情可以

1378
00:38:18,940 --> 00:38:20,310
因為你今天要做什麼事

1379
00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:21,910
你就趕快讓大家去做所有的事情

1380
00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:23,410
讓大家效率都提高最高

1381
00:38:23,420 --> 00:38:25,150
然後大家政府就有稅的時候

1382
00:38:25,160 --> 00:38:26,820
就可以把印出去的錢再拉回來

1383
00:38:26,830 --> 00:38:27,620
這種感覺

1384
00:38:27,620 --> 00:38:29,830
我要講的是他跟共產主義的差別

1385
00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:30,360
是什麼地方

1386
00:38:30,370 --> 00:38:31,580
一個是由國家主導

1387
00:38:31,590 --> 00:38:33,570
另外一個是由民間主義是嗎

1388
00:38:33,580 --> 00:38:34,880
他是民間主導

1389
00:38:34,980 --> 00:38:36,520
我會覺得是這樣

1390
00:38:36,530 --> 00:38:38,720
因為現在沒有人真正實行

1391
00:38:38,730 --> 00:38:39,420
 modern money

1392
00:38:39,430 --> 00:38:41,240
比如說這個東西的人是誰

1393
00:38:41,250 --> 00:38:42,360
蠻多人

1394
00:38:42,370 --> 00:38:44,280
他們是新的談資主義的人

1395
00:38:44,290 --> 00:38:44,850
真的

1396
00:38:44,860 --> 00:38:47,290
他們覺得他們是好國家主導

1397
00:38:47,300 --> 00:38:50,650
他們認為是要國家對凱恩斯比較

1398
00:38:50,660 --> 00:38:51,330
計劃經濟

1399
00:38:51,340 --> 00:38:54,120
對我們比較像是說

1400
00:38:54,460 --> 00:38:56,850
我個人是沒有這麼在意這件事情

1401
00:38:56,860 --> 00:39:00,460
我在意的事情是一個人變了

1402
00:39:00,470 --> 00:39:02,970
有錢以後他要做什麼事情

1403
00:39:04,240 --> 00:39:06,070
很多個人哲學的問題

1404
00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:07,490
所以拿這些東西出來

1405
00:39:07,500 --> 00:39:08,190
所以我寫文章

1406
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:10,200
我把一大堆個人意見放進去就是

1407
00:39:10,210 --> 00:39:10,390
說

1408
00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:12,780
因為我很尊敬一些有錢的人

1409
00:39:12,790 --> 00:39:14,500
我很不尊敬一些有錢的人

1410
00:39:14,500 --> 00:39:16,110
對

1411
00:39:16,120 --> 00:39:17,950
比如說我叫比爾蓋茨

1412
00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:19,980
這一次就跳起來說他還出錢做

1413
00:39:19,990 --> 00:39:20,380
疫苗

1414
00:39:20,390 --> 00:39:22,940
像剛剛講疫苗是一件不可能做背

1415
00:39:22,950 --> 00:39:23,370
做的事情

1416
00:39:23,380 --> 00:39:24,340
大家跳起來說

1417
00:39:24,720 --> 00:39:27,030
我要粗淺讓7組人做疫苗

1418
00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:28,770
其中注定會失敗5組

1419
00:39:28,780 --> 00:39:30,220
我就選兩組

1420
00:39:30,230 --> 00:39:33,000
來最後兩組來最後選一個

1421
00:39:33,090 --> 00:39:34,300
無主失敗

1422
00:39:34,310 --> 00:39:35,890
我就注定會賠10億美金

1423
00:39:36,050 --> 00:39:36,320
對

1424
00:39:36,330 --> 00:39:37,980
他後來好像拿12億還是多少

1425
00:39:37,990 --> 00:39:38,260
對

1426
00:39:38,270 --> 00:39:39,420
那就是我注定會賠

1427
00:39:39,430 --> 00:39:41,070
所以有一個人跳出來說我要做一

1428
00:39:41,080 --> 00:39:41,780
件事情

1429
00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:43,200
比爾蓋茨是因為跳出來說

1430
00:39:43,210 --> 00:39:44,940
我要這件事情我注定要賠10億

1431
00:39:44,950 --> 00:39:45,320
美金

1432
00:39:45,330 --> 00:39:46,750
然後只是為了研究

1433
00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:47,750
看看有疫苗

1434
00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:48,990
最後兩組出來選一個

1435
00:39:48,990 --> 00:39:52,300
我就覺得這就是你變成比爾蓋茨

1436
00:39:52,310 --> 00:39:52,430
以後

1437
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:53,440
你該做的事情

1438
00:39:53,450 --> 00:39:55,070
希望你之後也會有很多

1439
00:39:55,080 --> 00:39:56,180
會不會不會做不到做

1440
00:39:56,190 --> 00:39:57,720
但是我們節目還沒結束

1441
00:39:57,730 --> 00:40:00,280
因為我剛突然發現我忘記聊了

1442
00:40:00,290 --> 00:40:02,080
一個最近很熱門的話題

1443
00:40:02,090 --> 00:40:05,930
這兩天你家這幾天有沒有收到

1444
00:40:05,940 --> 00:40:09,200
石油的原油說就是富油價事情

1445
00:40:09,210 --> 00:40:09,680
對

1446
00:40:09,690 --> 00:40:10,410
講一下

1447
00:40:10,410 --> 00:40:15,000
你們空軍在蠶豆的這一段時間裡

1448
00:40:15,010 --> 00:40:16,040
對我們應該空油價

1449
00:40:16,050 --> 00:40:18,760
沒有想到這件事情就是漏掉了

1450
00:40:18,770 --> 00:40:18,930
對

1451
00:40:18,940 --> 00:40:20,520
沒有想到會是沒有

1452
00:40:20,530 --> 00:40:22,150
我們根本不知道會有復述這件

1453
00:40:22,160 --> 00:40:22,420
事情嗎

1454
00:40:22,430 --> 00:40:23,830
這是允許這種事情嗎

1455
00:40:23,960 --> 00:40:25,170
我跟你聊一下

1456
00:40:25,180 --> 00:40:26,770
就是說也跟聽眾朋友聊一下

1457
00:40:26,780 --> 00:40:29,660
就是說這一件事情我承認我當天

1458
00:40:29,670 --> 00:40:30,990
晚上下到了

1459
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:33,990
其實是我這疫情以來或甚至這兩

1460
00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:36,320
三年來最恐慌的一個晚上

1461
00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:38,070
我這個人很難睡不著

1462
00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:40,620
但我那天晚上我真的差點睡不著

1463
00:40:40,700 --> 00:40:43,520
唯一救贖我心靈的是暢博

1464
00:40:43,530 --> 00:40:45,560
就我們這個節目之前開台的一個

1465
00:40:45,570 --> 00:40:47,260
來賓叫 tom lam

1466
00:40:47,260 --> 00:40:50,580
他說他這樣用港槍好不好

1467
00:40:50,660 --> 00:40:52,020
寶博不好

1468
00:40:52,030 --> 00:40:53,420
我也喜歡看槍

1469
00:40:53,430 --> 00:40:55,040
放學好不好修

1470
00:40:55,350 --> 00:40:57,750
他就說最糟的情況

1471
00:40:57,910 --> 00:41:00,500
大家都回到技能時代

1472
00:41:00,620 --> 00:41:02,830
你會算數學的

1473
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:04,270
你就去跟人家交換

1474
00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:05,140
會做衣服的

1475
00:41:05,150 --> 00:41:06,920
你會做衣服的就去交換

1476
00:41:06,930 --> 00:41:08,280
人家會打水

1477
00:41:08,290 --> 00:41:10,420
我說最糟了就是最糟嗎

1478
00:41:10,420 --> 00:41:12,140
然後那天晚上我就很恐慌

1479
00:41:12,150 --> 00:41:14,330
我可能各崗來打越洋電話給他

1480
00:41:14,340 --> 00:41:17,630
那其實意思是說這件事情突然間

1481
00:41:17,640 --> 00:41:18,530
就發生了

1482
00:41:18,540 --> 00:41:19,810
然後就問他一個問題

1483
00:41:19,820 --> 00:41:23,850
我說我以為去搞這種期貨商品

1484
00:41:23,860 --> 00:41:25,760
這種金融世界的東西

1485
00:41:25,950 --> 00:41:28,630
高來高去的都不是白吃

1486
00:41:28,990 --> 00:41:32,460
怎麼會有一個期貨的商品會到

1487
00:41:32,470 --> 00:41:34,380
最後要結算的那一天

1488
00:41:34,570 --> 00:41:37,540
他是說如果那一天接盤的人

1489
00:41:37,720 --> 00:41:39,410
你如果沒有辦法賣掉

1490
00:41:39,730 --> 00:41:41,750
你就會合約就要被執行

1491
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:44,070
所以你如果買了一口原油實物

1492
00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:44,360
交割

1493
00:41:44,370 --> 00:41:47,260
然後你幾個月後你家門口就勢必

1494
00:41:47,270 --> 00:41:49,290
得出現一堆原油樣子所以

1495
00:41:50,120 --> 00:41:51,750
因為這件事情太困難了

1496
00:41:51,760 --> 00:41:53,540
然後現在原油需求又不夠

1497
00:41:53,550 --> 00:41:55,220
你就算弄到儲存的空間

1498
00:41:55,230 --> 00:41:56,750
你把你家的房間都空出來

1499
00:41:56,760 --> 00:41:58,030
也沒有人要跟你買

1500
00:41:58,040 --> 00:42:00,430
而且儲存原油還不是只是把桶子

1501
00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:00,910
放在那裡

1502
00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:02,180
對

1503
00:42:02,190 --> 00:42:04,040
我看到你 terry還拍照片

1504
00:42:04,050 --> 00:42:05,910
說有沒有人家裡有這種筒子可以

1505
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:07,350
借我什麼鬼

1506
00:42:07,350 --> 00:42:09,590
後來他們就說不是這種儲存

1507
00:42:09,600 --> 00:42:11,600
反要什麼油罐車什麼東西

1508
00:42:11,610 --> 00:42:13,350
說只是他運箱子給你

1509
00:42:13,360 --> 00:42:14,970
就說我下200萬桶把我家門口

1510
00:42:14,980 --> 00:42:15,660
沒關係

1511
00:42:15,670 --> 00:42:17,670
你就一路從這裡擺到台北火車站

1512
00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:18,090
去了

1513
00:42:18,100 --> 00:42:20,330
我們各級學校都快倒閉

1514
00:42:20,340 --> 00:42:21,610
你就操場就讓出來了

1515
00:42:21,620 --> 00:42:21,910
對不對

1516
00:42:21,970 --> 00:42:23,710
擺一些就沒有我下200萬桶

1517
00:42:23,720 --> 00:42:24,600
你要給我多少錢

1518
00:42:24,600 --> 00:42:27,550
8億美金是不是就沒那麼簡單

1519
00:42:27,560 --> 00:42:28,790
可是我就有一個疑惑

1520
00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:32,260
就是說把美國氫原油期貨什麼w

1521
00:42:32,270 --> 00:42:34,500
什麼I放到最後一天

1522
00:42:34,510 --> 00:42:35,370
最後一個moment

1523
00:42:35,380 --> 00:42:37,280
然後到最後都沒有人要接手了

1524
00:42:37,290 --> 00:42:39,690
然後一直跌到最後負35塊美金

1525
00:42:39,700 --> 00:42:39,900
好

1526
00:42:39,910 --> 00:42:41,000
cok20

1527
00:42:41,010 --> 00:42:44,430
這個是一個5月的原油合約的

1528
00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:45,080
合約

1529
00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:47,050
這件事情我們瞭解到一件事情

1530
00:42:47,140 --> 00:42:50,800
原來只有一口油的持有成本叫做

1531
00:42:50,810 --> 00:42:51,640
負40美金

1532
00:42:52,250 --> 00:42:54,840
你持有你要保存它的成本就要付

1533
00:42:54,850 --> 00:42:55,560
運輸了

1534
00:42:55,570 --> 00:42:56,110
就包含運輸

1535
00:42:56,120 --> 00:42:58,220
因為你要去首先因為我們不是

1536
00:42:58,230 --> 00:43:00,060
什麼就是卡馬蒂催的

1537
00:43:00,070 --> 00:43:02,240
我們不知道合約執行到底是要

1538
00:43:02,250 --> 00:43:02,810
怎麼樣

1539
00:43:02,940 --> 00:43:04,060
但是我真的有聽過有人

1540
00:43:04,070 --> 00:43:05,850
就是你買大豆小麥合約

1541
00:43:05,860 --> 00:43:06,820
到最後實物交割

1542
00:43:06,830 --> 00:43:08,880
你會拿一堆大豆小麥唱跟我說過

1543
00:43:08,890 --> 00:43:14,530
他的教授有收購大豆誰知類的

1544
00:43:14,680 --> 00:43:16,700
相應的事情是沒有人知道

1545
00:43:16,710 --> 00:43:19,510
實際上履約是你要開什麼車

1546
00:43:19,520 --> 00:43:21,340
拿什麼裝備去把油收走

1547
00:43:21,350 --> 00:43:22,010
這種感覺

1548
00:43:22,020 --> 00:43:24,000
只是大家所有的卡瑪尼圈裡就是

1549
00:43:24,010 --> 00:43:25,730
坐在華爾街交易室裡面

1550
00:43:25,740 --> 00:43:27,730
人說我不知道怎麼把這個錢油

1551
00:43:27,740 --> 00:43:28,120
拿走

1552
00:43:28,130 --> 00:43:28,940
現在怎麼辦

1553
00:43:29,060 --> 00:43:31,500
就是說因為你持有這些油要有

1554
00:43:31,510 --> 00:43:32,170
成本

1555
00:43:32,180 --> 00:43:34,130
所以現在告訴我們說原來持有

1556
00:43:34,140 --> 00:43:36,990
這些油成本叫做40美金這種

1557
00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:37,450
感覺

1558
00:43:37,460 --> 00:43:40,000
現在是因為他們不可能去執行

1559
00:43:40,010 --> 00:43:40,570
這個合約

1560
00:43:40,580 --> 00:43:42,570
然後違約不知道怎麼算這個合約

1561
00:43:42,580 --> 00:43:44,220
所以他們一定要出賣掉

1562
00:43:44,230 --> 00:43:46,160
所以到最後價格就是40

1563
00:43:46,170 --> 00:43:48,000
然後那個時候我就有一個好奇

1564
00:43:48,010 --> 00:43:49,350
就是說大家都不是白吃

1565
00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:51,690
因為後來PPT上面一堆人翻

1566
00:43:51,700 --> 00:43:53,200
出來3月份的資料

1567
00:43:53,210 --> 00:43:54,130
然後還是多久

1568
00:43:54,140 --> 00:43:57,750
早就有人講說可能出現原油油價

1569
00:43:57,760 --> 00:43:58,290
復蘇

1570
00:43:58,370 --> 00:43:59,150
真的

1571
00:43:59,160 --> 00:44:02,020
然後有人說幾月2月開始什麼

1572
00:44:02,030 --> 00:44:04,520
儲存空間早就已經百分之九十幾

1573
00:44:04,530 --> 00:44:05,200
都滿了

1574
00:44:05,210 --> 00:44:07,700
因為疫情還有可能更糟的話

1575
00:44:07,780 --> 00:44:10,710
原油的需求根本就是供過於求

1576
00:44:10,720 --> 00:44:12,310
然後而且會沒地方放

1577
00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:13,510
然後所以說要怎樣

1578
00:44:13,510 --> 00:44:14,790
然後就覺得很奇怪

1579
00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:17,090
這些搞這些金融交易商品的人

1580
00:44:17,100 --> 00:44:18,200
不是都很聰明嗎

1581
00:44:18,210 --> 00:44:19,610
電視都把他們演的那麼帥

1582
00:44:19,620 --> 00:44:22,180
西裝挺竟然有人手上握著原油

1583
00:44:22,190 --> 00:44:24,350
然後最後一刻然後脫不了手

1584
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:25,090
對

1585
00:44:25,500 --> 00:44:26,860
你怎麼看這件事情

1586
00:44:26,870 --> 00:44:28,810
我覺得是人類交易

1587
00:44:28,820 --> 00:44:31,430
遊戲交易人他們從來沒有遇到

1588
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:32,910
這種要實物入交割的狀況

1589
00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:34,620
因為從來沒有東西很少

1590
00:44:34,630 --> 00:44:35,990
東西沒有到從來沒有

1591
00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:37,820
但這世界上沒有什麼例子是什麼

1592
00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:41,320
長天期的油價比短天期的油價來

1593
00:44:41,330 --> 00:44:42,110
的貴的

1594
00:44:42,120 --> 00:44:44,710
就是以後的錢比現在的錢來得貴

1595
00:44:44,830 --> 00:44:45,470
什麼意思

1596
00:44:45,480 --> 00:44:46,210
這個反應出來

1597
00:44:46,220 --> 00:44:46,780
意思就是說

1598
00:44:46,790 --> 00:44:48,290
可能8月

1599
00:44:48,300 --> 00:44:48,500
7

1600
00:44:48,510 --> 00:44:49,620
8月大家就要開始用油

1601
00:44:49,630 --> 00:44:50,880
說油價應該再正常

1602
00:44:50,890 --> 00:44:51,510
就是什麼

1603
00:44:51,510 --> 00:44:52,460
掙20塊

1604
00:44:52,470 --> 00:44:53,740
這看起來應該正常

1605
00:44:53,750 --> 00:44:55,730
但是現在沒有要用郵址

1606
00:44:55,740 --> 00:44:56,920
整個就變成持有

1607
00:44:56,930 --> 00:44:59,520
上面是一種持有油是一種剛剛講

1608
00:44:59,530 --> 00:45:00,270
一個巨大成本

1609
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:01,770
因為完全包把它擺在那裡

1610
00:45:01,780 --> 00:45:03,110
所以才會有一個這樣的狀況

1611
00:45:03,120 --> 00:45:05,550
大家一直都擺著看誰來接賽季

1612
00:45:05,650 --> 00:45:06,560
沒有來見面

1613
00:45:06,570 --> 00:45:08,980
我所以我要看有一些什麼部落哥

1614
00:45:08,990 --> 00:45:11,090
不是什麼油價什麼002

1615
00:45:11,100 --> 00:45:12,520
想說怎麼可能再低了

1616
00:45:12,530 --> 00:45:14,980
然後跳進去搶條超了00261

1617
00:45:14,990 --> 00:45:16,190
001要變成負的

1618
00:45:16,200 --> 00:45:16,940
變成了這樣子

1619
00:45:16,950 --> 00:45:17,100
對

1620
00:45:17,100 --> 00:45:18,970
然後那一段數學我已經看不懂

1621
00:45:18,980 --> 00:45:19,630
我也不想懂

1622
00:45:19,640 --> 00:45:20,650
我們這個節目不會講到

1623
00:45:20,660 --> 00:45:23,210
因為有人有太多問題的地方是你

1624
00:45:23,220 --> 00:45:25,330
買的 etf它是怎麼結算的

1625
00:45:25,340 --> 00:45:27,580
它0它會算負的價格結算嗎

1626
00:45:27,590 --> 00:45:29,220
還是就0了

1627
00:45:29,220 --> 00:45:30,930
反正這一段時間非常有趣

1628
00:45:30,940 --> 00:45:32,670
然後我們是做軟體的

1629
00:45:32,680 --> 00:45:33,910
我們是做uI的

1630
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:35,800
你知道就有人是卡在什麼

1631
00:45:35,810 --> 00:45:38,210
他在輸出輸入交易的時候

1632
00:45:38,220 --> 00:45:39,330
他想抄底

1633
00:45:39,340 --> 00:45:40,500
付一塊美金的時候

1634
00:45:40,510 --> 00:45:42,500
他按不了付不給按

1635
00:45:42,600 --> 00:45:44,140
然後他有的時候想要賣掉

1636
00:45:44,150 --> 00:45:46,080
他說靠我要跌到負數了

1637
00:45:46,090 --> 00:45:46,820
我趕快賣掉

1638
00:45:46,830 --> 00:45:48,010
然後不然就跌到1

1639
00:45:48,210 --> 00:45:49,650
他也是想要復議賣掉

1640
00:45:49,660 --> 00:45:51,770
他不是要買也是沒辦法賣掉

1641
00:45:51,780 --> 00:45:53,840
然後說他用耐打電話給交易員

1642
00:45:53,850 --> 00:45:55,890
他媽凌晨2點誰給你接電話

1643
00:45:55,900 --> 00:45:57,830
而且那邊交運也不知道應該怎麼

1644
00:45:57,840 --> 00:45:58,420
處理這個東西

1645
00:45:58,430 --> 00:46:00,030
他們根本等一切

1646
00:46:00,040 --> 00:46:01,170
最後讓你賠

1647
00:46:01,180 --> 00:46:03,200
最多能夠處理這件事情

1648
00:46:03,210 --> 00:46:05,780
雖然暫時不會影響到大家的生活

1649
00:46:05,790 --> 00:46:08,240
但我覺得是一件非常有意思的

1650
00:46:08,250 --> 00:46:08,600
事情

1651
00:46:08,610 --> 00:46:11,850
而且我我那時候就跟湯姆問我說

1652
00:46:11,860 --> 00:46:14,630
我剛就我有問你就說都不是白痴

1653
00:46:14,640 --> 00:46:15,570
為什麼會發生這種事

1654
00:46:15,580 --> 00:46:17,680
所以聽起來就很反常的事情

1655
00:46:17,690 --> 00:46:19,810
就明明你可以早一點說你三四月

1656
00:46:19,820 --> 00:46:20,730
你就可以把它賣掉

1657
00:46:20,740 --> 00:46:22,480
你為什麼會拖到最後一刻這樣

1658
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:24,960
他們又再度的一直笑我

1659
00:46:24,970 --> 00:46:27,400
然後就說任何的博弈

1660
00:46:27,500 --> 00:46:28,800
任何的對弈

1661
00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:32,230
都有贏有輸是有贏有輸的情況

1662
00:46:32,240 --> 00:46:32,580
之下

1663
00:46:32,590 --> 00:46:34,430
你也很難說輸的人就是白痴

1664
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:37,480
當然這我覺得沒有完全解答我的

1665
00:46:37,490 --> 00:46:38,000
疑惑了

1666
00:46:38,010 --> 00:46:40,200
因為但這個講起來很怪

1667
00:46:40,210 --> 00:46:42,220
就今天市場上傳出一個新的消息

1668
00:46:42,230 --> 00:46:43,100
你一定有看到

1669
00:46:43,100 --> 00:46:47,010
有人說總算知道最後拿付35塊

1670
00:46:47,020 --> 00:46:48,730
美金的原油提貨

1671
00:46:48,740 --> 00:46:50,270
然後沒有脫手的人是誰

1672
00:46:50,280 --> 00:46:53,170
有人說是中國你的某一間銀行

1673
00:46:53,180 --> 00:46:53,950
中國銀行

1674
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:56,460
因為他們有一個這種金融商品

1675
00:46:56,470 --> 00:46:57,970
他讓客戶來買

1676
00:46:58,210 --> 00:47:00,630
然後買了以後他覺得不會這麼慘

1677
00:47:00,640 --> 00:47:02,720
然後他就一直握在手上

1678
00:47:02,730 --> 00:47:04,240
因為握在手上到最後一刻的人

1679
00:47:04,250 --> 00:47:04,960
就是死最多

1680
00:47:04,970 --> 00:47:07,390
因為他可能本來進價是多少什麼

1681
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:07,740
的

1682
00:47:07,950 --> 00:47:09,880
可是其實也還好

1683
00:47:09,890 --> 00:47:11,050
只是賠錢不會賠

1684
00:47:11,060 --> 00:47:12,620
倒倒都賠幾十億

1685
00:47:12,630 --> 00:47:12,920
這樣子

1686
00:47:12,930 --> 00:47:13,380
一還好

1687
00:47:13,390 --> 00:47:15,440
尤其在這個世界是小錢

1688
00:47:15,450 --> 00:47:16,130
對

1689
00:47:16,140 --> 00:47:18,410
只是我們的問題都是好

1690
00:47:18,420 --> 00:47:20,320
你35你到底要怎麼交割

1691
00:47:20,330 --> 00:47:22,240
這個合約要怎麼最後被cos掉

1692
00:47:22,240 --> 00:47:23,790
到底要怎麼算

1693
00:47:23,900 --> 00:47:26,940
這一大堆上面的一些產生出來的

1694
00:47:26,950 --> 00:47:28,240
etf或者是產生出來

1695
00:47:28,250 --> 00:47:30,080
因為沒有人遇過就是東西負的

1696
00:47:30,090 --> 00:47:30,340
價格

1697
00:47:30,350 --> 00:47:32,110
因為股票事件你不會遇到

1698
00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:33,610
因為股票沒有所謂持有成本

1699
00:47:33,620 --> 00:47:35,620
我不相信什麼有人會賣什麼付

1700
00:47:35,630 --> 00:47:36,350
多少錢的的士

1701
00:47:36,360 --> 00:47:38,220
你給我的確在倒也不可能給我付

1702
00:47:38,230 --> 00:47:38,800
多少錢

1703
00:47:38,950 --> 00:47:41,340
所以期貨商品的付的價錢也這個

1704
00:47:41,350 --> 00:47:43,600
世界上我也沒真的沒遇過

1705
00:47:43,610 --> 00:47:45,000
我們書都沒念那麼多

1706
00:47:45,010 --> 00:47:46,240
沒有遇過這樣的情況

1707
00:47:46,250 --> 00:47:46,740
對吧

1708
00:47:46,750 --> 00:47:48,330
然後後來發現原來是持有成本的

1709
00:47:48,340 --> 00:47:48,970
問題這樣子

1710
00:47:48,970 --> 00:47:51,520
但是其實我為什麼會覺得

1711
00:47:51,530 --> 00:47:53,670
當然我們可以理性的理解它是

1712
00:47:53,680 --> 00:47:55,070
持有成本的問題

1713
00:47:55,080 --> 00:47:59,000
但是我認為常態世界裡不會發生

1714
00:47:59,010 --> 00:47:59,650
這件事情

1715
00:47:59,710 --> 00:48:03,100
因為它會有一個愛套一句幾近

1716
00:48:03,110 --> 00:48:04,450
市場的書

1717
00:48:04,460 --> 00:48:05,510
最近要出版了

1718
00:48:05,650 --> 00:48:08,190
他就說市場派理論的人就認為

1719
00:48:08,200 --> 00:48:09,910
市場是一台大電腦

1720
00:48:10,040 --> 00:48:11,270
它是一台大機器

1721
00:48:11,510 --> 00:48:14,270
他會隨時各個端點去評價這個

1722
00:48:14,280 --> 00:48:15,260
市場現在狀態

1723
00:48:15,270 --> 00:48:18,060
去讓他處在一個大致平衡的狀態

1724
00:48:18,650 --> 00:48:20,470
負三十幾就不是平衡

1725
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:22,590
所以我今天最後的節目就是我

1726
00:48:22,600 --> 00:48:24,260
沒有想要危言聳聽

1727
00:48:24,360 --> 00:48:26,450
但是我分享我個人看法

1728
00:48:26,620 --> 00:48:27,760
我分享我個人看法

1729
00:48:27,770 --> 00:48:29,250
這應該合法了就

1730
00:48:29,250 --> 00:48:31,420
友善言論

1731
00:48:31,430 --> 00:48:32,500
不沒有任何投資建議

1732
00:48:32,510 --> 00:48:33,360
整集好不好

1733
00:48:33,370 --> 00:48:35,490
整季都不代表任何建議

1734
00:48:35,500 --> 00:48:35,930
好不好

1735
00:48:35,930 --> 00:48:40,440
應該說我是辦公承辦文科的人

1736
00:48:40,450 --> 00:48:42,220
我看待這些事情

1737
00:48:42,230 --> 00:48:43,930
我會把它當成是一個訊號

1738
00:48:43,930 --> 00:48:45,770
我在這段時間我最近一直有一個

1739
00:48:45,780 --> 00:48:46,780
很深的感受

1740
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:50,060
我突然理解到我小時候念的歷史

1741
00:48:50,070 --> 00:48:50,540
課本

1742
00:48:50,850 --> 00:48:52,950
我小時候第1次念到第1次

1743
00:48:52,960 --> 00:48:53,950
世界大戰的時候

1744
00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:56,240
我記得是一個什麼奧地利大公國

1745
00:48:56,250 --> 00:48:57,580
的誰被暗殺掉

1746
00:48:57,690 --> 00:48:58,870
然後就說子彈射到他

1747
00:48:58,880 --> 00:49:00,180
然後突然間大家要打起來

1748
00:49:00,190 --> 00:49:02,070
我小時候就一直不懂說

1749
00:49:02,080 --> 00:49:04,640
為什麼世界這麼痛苦的一個所謂

1750
00:49:04,650 --> 00:49:05,510
的戰爭

1751
00:49:05,520 --> 00:49:07,900
是一個很小的事件引發出來

1752
00:49:08,010 --> 00:49:10,190
後來我這一段時間我慢慢感覺到

1753
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:10,610
錯

1754
00:49:10,620 --> 00:49:11,560
其實不是這樣

1755
00:49:11,910 --> 00:49:15,340
沒有一場戰爭是在一天之內停止

1756
00:49:15,340 --> 00:49:17,710
當然你說第1代可是那是一個很

1757
00:49:17,720 --> 00:49:18,900
漫長的過程

1758
00:49:19,070 --> 00:49:22,700
然後我認為戰爭或者為難的開始

1759
00:49:22,810 --> 00:49:24,540
也是一個很漫長的過程

1760
00:49:24,870 --> 00:49:28,340
很漫長的過程裡勢必會充斥著

1761
00:49:28,350 --> 00:49:29,650
很多的信號

1762
00:49:29,660 --> 00:49:33,130
而這個信號會讓你越來越覺得你

1763
00:49:33,140 --> 00:49:34,340
在這個過程裡面

1764
00:49:34,740 --> 00:49:38,140
所以我還是會有點緊張

1765
00:49:38,150 --> 00:49:42,090
就是說最近的這種反常信號真的

1766
00:49:42,100 --> 00:49:42,740
有一點

1767
00:49:42,830 --> 00:49:44,740
寶博是第1次在節目上講臟話

1768
00:49:44,750 --> 00:49:45,930
但還是會斃掉

1769
00:49:46,370 --> 00:49:47,380
太多了

1770
00:49:47,380 --> 00:49:49,750
這些你看又逐溫了

1771
00:49:49,760 --> 00:49:51,810
又肺炎了

1772
00:49:51,820 --> 00:49:53,450
又狂蟲了

1773
00:49:53,560 --> 00:49:55,460
然後又貿易戰

1774
00:49:55,470 --> 00:49:56,940
然後又什麼實驗室

1775
00:49:56,950 --> 00:49:58,100
5區實驗室爆炸

1776
00:49:58,110 --> 00:49:59,880
其實亂七八糟這些

1777
00:49:59,980 --> 00:50:02,200
然後你現在又搞一個什麼印鈔票

1778
00:50:02,210 --> 00:50:03,050
印到寶了

1779
00:50:03,060 --> 00:50:04,620
然後石油對不對

1780
00:50:04,630 --> 00:50:07,620
然後什麼OPEC什麼俄羅斯跟

1781
00:50:07,630 --> 00:50:09,480
誰在那邊搞什麼油價大戰

1782
00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:11,190
A period of

1783
00:50:11,200 --> 00:50:11,620
 time

1784
00:50:11,770 --> 00:50:13,850
這個window很擠很小

1785
00:50:13,850 --> 00:50:17,580
然後前幾天CNN還大言不慚弄

1786
00:50:17,590 --> 00:50:18,580
一個快報

1787
00:50:18,590 --> 00:50:22,400
你一定看到說金正恩什麼手什麼

1788
00:50:22,410 --> 00:50:25,270
好像沒有消息是吧

1789
00:50:25,400 --> 00:50:27,820
但是你覺得CNN會隨便報一個

1790
00:50:27,830 --> 00:50:27,950
嗎

1791
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:30,820
我當然希望它是一個錯誤的突發

1792
00:50:30,830 --> 00:50:34,040
我們統統都把這些什麼合理化

1793
00:50:34,050 --> 00:50:34,760
下跌

1794
00:50:34,770 --> 00:50:36,200
什麼負數我們都拿掉

1795
00:50:36,330 --> 00:50:37,250
我只看一件事情

1796
00:50:37,260 --> 00:50:38,690
訊號的強度

1797
00:50:38,930 --> 00:50:42,000
我會覺得如果我們是一個電台

1798
00:50:42,730 --> 00:50:44,480
我們聽訊號的雜音

1799
00:50:44,490 --> 00:50:45,860
如果是一個pig就一個雜音

1800
00:50:45,870 --> 00:50:48,700
我真的覺得最近雜音很凶

1801
00:50:48,710 --> 00:50:51,330
所以我們 ending想要問

1802
00:50:51,340 --> 00:50:53,060
一下第四大王

1803
00:50:53,420 --> 00:50:55,690
這跟第15關

1804
00:50:55,690 --> 00:50:59,470
你有沒有會開始有一點覺得

1805
00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:02,010
雖然你是focus在金融市場

1806
00:51:02,020 --> 00:51:04,210
你會覺得金融市場會不會某種

1807
00:51:04,220 --> 00:51:09,170
程度讓我們正在一種非常需要

1808
00:51:09,180 --> 00:51:12,110
注意的不穩定的一種情況之下

1809
00:51:13,280 --> 00:51:16,040
你要說是金融市場造成不穩定

1810
00:51:16,050 --> 00:51:16,750
還是不穩定

1811
00:51:16,760 --> 00:51:18,050
造成金融市場我不知道

1812
00:51:18,060 --> 00:51:19,910
所以沒有人知道現在就是因果的

1813
00:51:19,920 --> 00:51:20,140
問題

1814
00:51:20,150 --> 00:51:23,110
我覺得這一切都是先從疫情

1815
00:51:23,290 --> 00:51:25,030
就是說研發出來的嗎

1816
00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:27,770
因為一起沒有人坐飛機

1817
00:51:27,780 --> 00:51:29,270
所以油價就跌到爆炸

1818
00:51:29,280 --> 00:51:30,430
由飛機在用的

1819
00:51:30,430 --> 00:51:33,610
我就覺得現在一切沒有人說得准

1820
00:51:33,620 --> 00:51:35,170
我不覺得現在有一個人可以跳

1821
00:51:35,180 --> 00:51:36,180
出來當宗教領袖

1822
00:51:36,190 --> 00:51:39,350
我說子迷們跟著我這樣做就沒錯

1823
00:51:39,360 --> 00:51:39,490
了

1824
00:51:39,500 --> 00:51:40,140
這種感覺

1825
00:51:40,150 --> 00:51:42,660
而是我覺得要看這個疫情怎麼

1826
00:51:42,670 --> 00:51:43,080
演變

1827
00:51:43,090 --> 00:51:45,820
這一行的演變有很多有好有壞的

1828
00:51:45,830 --> 00:51:46,600
方向演變

1829
00:51:46,610 --> 00:51:49,440
後來就是他以後人類就再也沒有

1830
00:51:49,450 --> 00:51:51,140
辦法去看電影跟坐游輪了

1831
00:51:51,270 --> 00:51:54,270
好的話就會發現一大堆解藥有用

1832
00:51:54,280 --> 00:51:55,170
熱吸收有用

1833
00:51:55,180 --> 00:51:56,830
可以你有用或者是什麼卡介苗

1834
00:51:56,840 --> 00:51:57,330
有用

1835
00:51:57,620 --> 00:51:58,080
對

1836
00:51:58,090 --> 00:51:58,610
這類的

1837
00:51:58,620 --> 00:52:00,720
然後就像馬克安居神講its

1838
00:52:00,730 --> 00:52:01,590
 time to build

1839
00:52:01,600 --> 00:52:02,030
對吧

1840
00:52:02,040 --> 00:52:04,160
但我不覺得會那麼快build

1841
00:52:04,170 --> 00:52:04,480
啦

1842
00:52:04,490 --> 00:52:05,460
講講啦

1843
00:52:05,470 --> 00:52:07,700
也不是說什麼東西蓋就蓋出來

1844
00:52:07,710 --> 00:52:09,320
這一切又扯到政治利益

1845
00:52:09,330 --> 00:52:09,880
這些東西

1846
00:52:09,890 --> 00:52:13,060
我就會很只讓自己在用第三者的

1847
00:52:13,070 --> 00:52:14,610
角度去看這件事情

1848
00:52:14,610 --> 00:52:16,060
最後一個問題

1849
00:52:16,070 --> 00:52:19,310
請問你們現在的空軍還有多少在

1850
00:52:19,320 --> 00:52:22,570
一定都還有值陪著

1851
00:52:22,580 --> 00:52:23,760
亂七八糟而已

1852
00:52:23,770 --> 00:52:24,310
這樣子

1853
00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:25,270
對好吧

1854
00:52:25,440 --> 00:52:25,940
還好

1855
00:52:25,950 --> 00:52:28,440
但之前那一波就有大家都有結算

1856
00:52:28,450 --> 00:52:28,630
到

1857
00:52:28,640 --> 00:52:29,660
所以都還ok

1858
00:52:29,670 --> 00:52:33,110
這樣1~18000一定不可能

1859
00:52:33,120 --> 00:52:34,130
那個時候

1860
00:52:34,190 --> 00:52:34,490
對吧

1861
00:52:34,500 --> 00:52:36,920
還跳起來就是這樣

1862
00:52:36,920 --> 00:52:37,920
好吧

1863
00:52:37,930 --> 00:52:43,590
我們今天這個節目算是抒發寶博

1864
00:52:43,600 --> 00:52:45,400
的焦慮之心

1865
00:52:45,410 --> 00:52:49,040
然後也想說找 Fenix

1866
00:52:49,050 --> 00:52:51,050
是因為他是身體力行

1867
00:52:51,060 --> 00:52:52,650
在操作這個世界的人

1868
00:52:52,660 --> 00:52:54,040
身體力行在賠錢

1869
00:52:54,560 --> 00:52:56,290
我這不是我講的

1870
00:52:56,300 --> 00:52:58,900
我們也希望就是說聽完朋友聽

1871
00:52:58,910 --> 00:52:59,770
這個節目了

1872
00:52:59,780 --> 00:53:01,220
聽你喜歡的片段

1873
00:53:01,940 --> 00:53:04,450
然後我知道一定會有人是非常

1874
00:53:04,460 --> 00:53:05,570
正面的很多正向

1875
00:53:05,580 --> 00:53:08,370
然後你各自也都讀了很多不一樣

1876
00:53:08,380 --> 00:53:08,930
的資訊

1877
00:53:09,570 --> 00:53:12,770
我相信我的聽眾朋友都有智慧

1878
00:53:12,780 --> 00:53:15,890
自己可以去把它當成你的思考

1879
00:53:15,900 --> 00:53:16,800
素材之一

1880
00:53:16,940 --> 00:53:20,190
不管你要做行動還是不做行動

1881
00:53:20,200 --> 00:53:21,540
你要有新的想法

1882
00:53:21,550 --> 00:53:23,120
沒有新的想法都很好

1883
00:53:23,130 --> 00:53:23,570
好不好

1884
00:53:23,760 --> 00:53:26,860
最重要的我認為還是大家盡可能

1885
00:53:26,870 --> 00:53:27,540
保持健康

1886
00:53:27,550 --> 00:53:29,240
然後保持盡可能的

1887
00:53:29,250 --> 00:53:29,920
社交距離

1888
00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:33,030
在我們的社會進入一個穩定的

1889
00:53:33,040 --> 00:53:34,130
狀態之前

1890
00:53:34,270 --> 00:53:35,900
我們都還是不斷的思考

1891
00:53:36,240 --> 00:53:38,930
然後去思考說我們所謂的下一個

1892
00:53:38,940 --> 00:53:39,230
新世界

1893
00:53:39,610 --> 00:53:41,010
到底是長什麼樣子

1894
00:53:41,020 --> 00:53:42,410
危機意識是好的

1895
00:53:42,420 --> 00:53:44,530
然後提前做好準備也是好的

1896
00:53:44,670 --> 00:53:45,710
保護自己

1897
00:53:45,720 --> 00:53:46,750
保護彼此也是

1898
00:53:46,750 --> 00:53:47,660
好的

1899
00:53:47,670 --> 00:53:49,170
感謝收聽今天的寶博朋友說

1900
00:53:49,180 --> 00:53:50,870
我是葛如鈞寶博士

1901
00:53:50,880 --> 00:53:52,810
如果你喜歡這期節目

1902
00:53:52,820 --> 00:53:54,750
歡迎你分享或者訂閱

1903
00:53:54,760 --> 00:53:56,720
下一集就會自動送上給你

1904
00:53:56,730 --> 00:53:57,590
不論你是在apple

1905
00:53:57,600 --> 00:53:58,040
 park

1906
00:53:58,050 --> 00:53:59,150
s spot

1907
00:53:59,210 --> 00:54:00,390
YouTube或者其他頻道

1908
00:54:00,400 --> 00:54:01,240
聽到我的節目

1909
00:54:01,250 --> 00:54:03,350
歡迎給我5星評價案喜歡留言

1910
00:54:03,360 --> 00:54:05,980
或者那一顆小鈴鐺追蹤訂閱我們

1911
00:54:05,990 --> 00:54:06,830
下次空中鍵

1912
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:08,200
拜拜

1913
00:54:08,500 --> 00:54:10,830
大家好

1914
00:54:10,840 --> 00:54:12,650
這樣就好了
