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s12.html
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<!DOCTYPE HTML>
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<html>
<head>
<title>DeepBake Season 12</title>
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<meta name="description" content="DeepBake Predictions" />
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<section class="intro">
<header>
<h1>DeepBake Season 12</h1>
<p>
Predictions for season 12 updated weekly.
<br>
<a href="#probs">Most recent predictions</a>
<br>
<a href="#intro">Details about predictions</a>
</p>
<ul class="actions">
<li><a href="#first" class="arrow scrolly"><span class="label">Next</span></a></li>
</ul>
</header>
<div class="content">
<span class="image fill" data-position="center"><img src="fig/background1.jpg" alt="" /></span>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Intro -->
<section id='Intro'>
<header>
<a name="intro"></a>
<h2>A little bit on the predictions</h2>
</header>
<div class="content">
<p>
For each baker, DeepBake calculates probabilities for the following brackets.
<ul class="feature-icons">
<li class="icon solid fa-trophy"> 1. GBBO Winner</li>
<li class="icon solid fa-medal"> 2. GBBO Finalist</li>
<li class="icon solid fa-award"> 3. Semi-Finalist or Quarter-Finalist</li>
<li class="icon solid fa-cookie"> 4. Eliminated in Weeks 7 through 5</li>
<li class="icon solid fa-cookie-bite"> 5. Eliminated in Weeks 4 through 1</li>
</ul>
The sum of the brackets is 100% for an individual baker.
</p>
<p>
Predictions for who will leave the tent are made with respect to remaining bakers. The baker predicted to leave will have the highest probability with respect to the week of competition. For example, week 6 DeepBake gives Bob 75% and Jill 64% in bracket 4. (Week 7-5). Since Bob was eliminated on week 5, Jill is the baker that DeepBake predicts to leave, she has the maximum probability for that bracket of the remaining bakers.
</p>
<p>
DeepBake uses data collected from the technical challenges and from the judges when they discuss who has done well and who has done poorly. So when the Star-Baker is announced, we pause the telly and input the new data to make a prediction on who might leave the tent. This is how predictions are made for each week. For more details, check out the <a href="https://github.com/dantaki/DeepBake#what-is-this">GitHub</a> repository.
</p>
<p>
In my experience, DeepBake seems to get better at predicting who will win the competition after week 4. Check out previous predictions for<a href="s10.html"> season 10</a> and for <a href="s11.html"> season 11</a>. Note that for bracket 1. the GBBO Winner, they will also qualify for bracket 2., GBBO Finalist.
</p>
<p>
Without further ado, scroll down for season 12 predictions.
</p>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Probs -->
<section id='GBBO Probability'>
<header>
<a name="probs"></a>
<h2>Probabilities</h2>
</header>
<div class="content">
<style type="text/css" >
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background-color: #3cf3c2;
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}</style><table id="T_2131f_" ><thead> <tr> <th class="col_heading level0 col0" >Baker</th> <th class="col_heading level0 col1" >GBBO Winner</th> <th class="col_heading level0 col2" >GBBO Finalist</th> </tr></thead><tbody>
<tr>
<td id="T_2131f_row0_col0" class="data row0 col0" >Chigs</td>
<td id="T_2131f_row0_col1" class="data row0 col1" >77.5</td>
<td id="T_2131f_row0_col2" class="data row0 col2" >85.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td id="T_2131f_row1_col0" class="data row1 col0" >Crystelle</td>
<td id="T_2131f_row1_col1" class="data row1 col1" >61.0</td>
<td id="T_2131f_row1_col2" class="data row1 col2" >65.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td id="T_2131f_row2_col0" class="data row2 col0" >Jürgen</td>
<td id="T_2131f_row2_col1" class="data row2 col1" >45.3</td>
<td id="T_2131f_row2_col2" class="data row2 col2" >93.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td id="T_2131f_row3_col0" class="data row3 col0" >Giuseppe</td>
<td id="T_2131f_row3_col1" class="data row3 col1" >42.5</td>
<td id="T_2131f_row3_col2" class="data row3 col2" >93.7</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<span class="image fit">
<img src="fig/s12/deepbake_probs_s12.png" alt="GBBO Season 12 Predictions"/>
</span>
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