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HARKcore.py
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HARKcore.py
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'''
High-level functions and classes for solving a wide variety of economic models.
The "core" of HARK is a framework for "microeconomic" and "macroeconomic"
models. A micro model concerns the dynamic optimization problem for some type
of agents, where agents take the inputs to their problem as exogenous. A macro
model adds an additional layer, endogenizing some of the inputs to the micro
problem by finding a general equilibrium dynamic rule.
'''
from HARKutilities import getArgNames, NullFunc
from copy import deepcopy
import numpy as np
#test comment
#PNG addition 2016-06-30
from __main__ import settings
def distanceMetric(thing_A,thing_B):
'''
A "universal distance" metric that can be used as a default in many settings.
Parameters
----------
thing_A : object
A generic object.
thing_B : object
Another generic object.
Returns:
------------
distance : float
The "distance" between thing_A and thing_B.
'''
# Get the types of the two inputs
typeA = type(thing_A)
typeB = type(thing_B)
if typeA is list and typeB is list:
lenA = len(thing_A) # If both inputs are lists, then the distance between
lenB = len(thing_B) # them is the maximum distance between corresponding
if lenA == lenB: # elements in the lists. If they differ in length,
distance_temp = [] # the distance is the difference in lengths.
for n in range(lenA):
distance_temp.append(distanceMetric(thing_A[n],thing_B[n]))
distance = max(distance_temp)
else:
distance = float(abs(lenA - lenB))
# If both inputs are numbers, return their difference
elif (typeA is int or typeB is float) and (typeB is int or typeB is float):
distance = float(abs(thing_A - thing_B))
# If both inputs are array-like, return the maximum absolute difference b/w
# corresponding elements (if same shape); return largest difference in dimensions
# if shapes do not align.
elif hasattr(thing_A,'shape') and hasattr(thing_B,'shape'):
if thing_A.shape == thing_B.shape:
distance = np.max(abs(thing_A - thing_B))
else:
distance = np.max(abs(thing_A.shape - thing_B.shape))
# If none of the above cases, but the objects are of the same class, call
# the distance method of one on the other
elif thing_A.__class__.__name__ is thing_B.__class__.__name__:
distance = thing_A.distance(thing_B)
else: # Failsafe: the inputs are very far apart
distance = 1000.0
return distance
class HARKobject():
'''
A superclass for object classes in HARK. Comes with two useful methods:
a generic/universal distance method and an attribute assignment method.
'''
def distance(self,other):
'''
A generic distance method, which requires the existence of an attribute
called distance_criteria, giving a list of strings naming the attributes
to be considered by the distance metric.
Parameters
----------
other : object
Another object to compare this instance to.
Returns
-------
(unnamed) : float
The distance between this object and another, using the "universal
distance" metric.
'''
distance_list = [0.0]
for attr_name in self.distance_criteria:
try:
obj_A = getattr(self,attr_name)
obj_B = getattr(other,attr_name)
distance_list.append(distanceMetric(obj_A,obj_B))
except:
distance_list.append(1000.0) # if either object lacks attribute, they are not the same
return max(distance_list)
def assignParameters(self,**kwds):
'''
Assign an arbitrary number of attributes to this agent.
Parameters
----------
**kwds : keyword arguments
Any number of keyword arguments of the form key=value. Each value
will be assigned to the attribute named in self.
Returns
-------
none
'''
for key in kwds:
setattr(self,key,kwds[key])
def __call__(self,**kwds):
'''
Assign an arbitrary number of attributes to this agent, as a convenience.
See assignParameters.
'''
self.assignParameters(**kwds)
class Solution(HARKobject):
'''
A superclass for representing the "solution" to a single period problem in a
dynamic microeconomic model.
NOTE: This can be deprecated now that HARKobject exists, but this requires
replacing each instance of Solution with HARKobject in the other modules.
'''
class AgentType(HARKobject):
'''
A superclass for economic agents in the HARK framework. Each model should
specify its own subclass of AgentType, inheriting its methods and overwriting
as necessary. Critically, every subclass of AgentType should define class-
specific static values of the attributes time_vary and time_inv as lists of
strings. Each element of time_vary is the name of a field in AgentSubType
that varies over time in the model. Each element of time_inv is the name of
a field in AgentSubType that is constant over time in the model. The string
'solveOnePeriod' should appear in exactly one of these lists, depending on
whether the same solution method is used in all periods of the model.
'''
def __init__(self,solution_terminal=None,cycles=1,time_flow=False,pseudo_terminal=True,
tolerance=0.000001,seed=0,**kwds):
'''
Initialize an instance of AgentType by setting attributes.
Parameters
----------
solution_terminal : Solution
A representation of the solution to the terminal period problem of
this AgentType instance, or an initial guess of the solution if this
is an infinite horizon problem.
cycles : int
The number of times the sequence of periods is experienced by this
AgentType in their "lifetime". cycles=1 corresponds to a lifecycle
model, with a certain sequence of one period problems experienced
once before terminating. cycles=0 corresponds to an infinite horizon
model, with a sequence of one period problems repeating indefinitely.
time_flow : boolean
Whether time is currently "flowing" forward or backward for this
instance. Used to flip between solving (using backward iteration)
and simulating (etc).
pseudo_terminal : boolean
Indicates whether solution_terminal isn't actually part of the
solution to the problem (as a known solution to the terminal period
problem), but instead represents a "scrap value"-style termination.
When True, solution_terminal is not included in the solution; when
false, solution_terminal is the last element of the solution.
tolerance : float
Maximum acceptable "distance" between successive solutions to the
one period problem in an infinite horizon (cycles=0) model in order
for the solution to be considered as having "converged". Inoperative
when cycles>0.
seed : int
A seed for this instance's random number generator.
Returns
-------
None
'''
if solution_terminal is None:
solution_terminal = NullFunc()
self.solution_terminal = solution_terminal
self.cycles = cycles
self.time_flow = time_flow
self.pseudo_terminal = pseudo_terminal
self.solveOnePeriod = NullFunc()
self.tolerance = tolerance
self.seed = seed
self.assignParameters(**kwds)
self.resetRNG()
def timeReport(self):
'''
Report to the user the direction that time is currently "flowing" for
this instance. Only exists as a reminder of how time_flow works.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
if self.time_flow:
print('Time varying objects are listed in ordinary chronological order.')
else:
print('Time varying objects are listed in reverse chronological order.')
def timeFlip(self):
'''
Reverse the flow of time for this instance.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
for name in self.time_vary:
exec('self.' + name + '.reverse()')
self.time_flow = not self.time_flow
def timeFwd(self):
'''
Make time flow forward for this instance.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
if not self.time_flow:
self.timeFlip()
def timeRev(self):
'''
Make time flow backward for this instance.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
if self.time_flow:
self.timeFlip()
def addToTimeVary(self,*params):
'''
Adds any number of parameters to time_vary for this instance.
Parameters
----------
params : string
Any number of strings naming attributes to be added to time_vary
Returns
-------
None
'''
for param in params:
if param not in self.time_vary:
self.time_vary.append(param)
def addToTimeInv(self,*params):
'''
Adds any number of parameters to time_inv for this instance.
Parameters
----------
params : string
Any number of strings naming attributes to be added to time_inv
Returns
-------
None
'''
for param in params:
if param not in self.time_inv:
self.time_inv.append(param)
def delFromTimeVary(self,*params):
'''
Removes any number of parameters from time_vary for this instance.
Parameters
----------
params : string
Any number of strings naming attributes to be removed from time_vary
Returns
-------
None
'''
for param in params:
if param in self.time_vary:
self.time_vary.remove(param)
def delFromTimeInv(self,*params):
'''
Removes any number of parameters from time_inv for this instance.
Parameters
----------
params : string
Any number of strings naming attributes to be removed from time_inv
Returns
-------
None
'''
for param in params:
if param in self.time_inv:
self.time_inv.remove(param)
def solve(self):
'''
Solve the model for this instance of an agent type by backward induction.
Loops through the sequence of one period problems, passing the solution
to period t+1 to the problem for period t.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
self.preSolve() # Do pre-solution stuff
self.solution = solveAgent(self) # Solve the model by backward induction
if self.time_flow: # Put the solution in chronological order if this instance's time flow runs that way
self.solution.reverse()
self.addToTimeVary('solution') # Add solution to the list of time-varying attributes
self.postSolve() # Do post-solution stuff
def resetRNG(self):
'''
Reset the random number generator for this type.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
self.RNG = np.random.RandomState(self.seed)
def isSameThing(self,solutionA,solutionB):
'''
Compare two solutions to see if they are the "same." The model-specific
solution class must have a method called distance, which takes another
solution object as an input and returns the "distance" between the solutions.
This method is used to test for convergence in infinite horizon problems.
Parameters
----------
solutionA : Solution
The solution to a one period problem in the model.
solutionB : Solution
Another solution to (the same) one period problem in the model.
Returns
-------
(unnamed) : boolean
True if the solutions are within a tolerable distance of each other.
'''
solution_distance = solutionA.distance(solutionB)
return(solution_distance <= self.tolerance)
def preSolve(self):
'''
A method that is run immediately before the model is solved, to prepare
the terminal solution, perhaps. Does nothing here.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
return None
def postSolve(self):
'''
A method that is run immediately after the model is solved, to finalize
the solution in some way. Does nothing here.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
return None
def solveAgent(agent):
'''
Solve the dynamic model for one agent type. This function iterates on "cycles"
of an agent's model either a given number of times or until solution convergence
if an infinite horizon model is used (with agent.cycles = 0).
Parameters
----------
agent : AgentType
The microeconomic AgentType whose dynamic problem is to be solved.
Returns
-------
solution : [Solution]
A list of solutions to the one period problems that the agent will
encounter in his "lifetime". Returns in reverse chronological order.
'''
# Record the flow of time when the Agent began the process, and make sure time is flowing backwards
original_time_flow = agent.time_flow
agent.timeRev()
# Check to see whether this is an (in)finite horizon problem
cycles_left = agent.cycles
infinite_horizon = cycles_left == 0
# Initialize the solution, which includes the terminal solution if it's not a pseudo-terminal period
solution = []
if not agent.pseudo_terminal:
solution.append(deepcopy(agent.solution_terminal))
# Initialize the process, then loop over cycles
solution_last = agent.solution_terminal
go = True
completed_cycles = 0
max_cycles = 5000 # escape clause
while go:
# Solve a cycle of the model, recording it if horizon is finite
solution_cycle = solveOneCycle(agent,solution_last)
if not infinite_horizon:
solution += solution_cycle
# Check for termination: identical solutions across cycle iterations or run out of cycles
solution_now = solution_cycle[-1]
if infinite_horizon:
if completed_cycles > 0:
go = (not agent.isSameThing(solution_now,solution_last)) and \
(completed_cycles < max_cycles)
else: # Assume solution does not converge after only one cycle
go = True
else:
cycles_left += -1
go = cycles_left > 0
# Update the "last period solution"
solution_last = solution_now
completed_cycles += 1
# Record the last cycle if horizon is infinite (solution is still empty!)
if infinite_horizon:
solution = solution_cycle # PseudoTerminal=False impossible for infinite horizon
# Restore the direction of time to its original orientation, then return the solution
if original_time_flow:
agent.timeFwd()
return solution
def solveOneCycle(agent,solution_last):
'''
Solve one "cycle" of the dynamic model for one agent type. This function
iterates over the periods within an agent's cycle, updating the time-varying
parameters and passing them to the single period solver(s).
Parameters
----------
agent : AgentType
The microeconomic AgentType whose dynamic problem is to be solved.
solution_last : Solution
A representation of the solution of the period that comes after the
end of the sequence of one period problems. This might be the term-
inal period solution, a "pseudo terminal" solution, or simply the
solution to the earliest period from the succeeding cycle.
Returns
-------
solution_cycle : [Solution]
A list of one period solutions for one "cycle" of the AgentType's
microeconomic model. Returns in reverse chronological order.
'''
# Calculate number of periods per cycle, defaults to 1 if all variables are time invariant
if len(agent.time_vary) > 0:
name = agent.time_vary[0]
T = len(eval('agent.' + name))
else:
T = 1
# Check whether the same solution method is used in all periods
always_same_solver = 'solveOnePeriod' not in agent.time_vary
if always_same_solver:
solveOnePeriod = agent.solveOnePeriod
these_args = getArgNames(solveOnePeriod)
# Construct a dictionary to be passed to the solver
time_inv_string = ''
for name in agent.time_inv:
time_inv_string += ' \'' + name + '\' : agent.' +name + ','
time_vary_string = ''
for name in agent.time_vary:
time_vary_string += ' \'' + name + '\' : None,'
solve_dict = eval('{' + time_inv_string + time_vary_string + '}')
# Initialize the solution for this cycle, then iterate on periods
solution_cycle = []
solution_next = solution_last
for t in range(T):
# Update which single period solver to use (if it depends on time)
if not always_same_solver:
solveOnePeriod = agent.solveOnePeriod[t]
these_args = getArgNames(solveOnePeriod)
# Update time-varying single period inputs
for name in agent.time_vary:
if name in these_args:
solve_dict[name] = eval('agent.' + name + '[t]')
solve_dict['solution_next'] = solution_next
# Make a temporary dictionary for this period
temp_dict = {name: solve_dict[name] for name in these_args}
#PNG addition 2016-06-30
settings.t_curr = t
# Solve one period, add it to the solution, and move to the next period
solution_t = solveOnePeriod(**temp_dict)
solution_cycle.append(solution_t)
solution_next = solution_t
# Return the list of per-period solutions
return solution_cycle
#========================================================================
#========================================================================
class Market(HARKobject):
'''
A superclass to represent a central clearinghouse of information. Used for
dynamic general equilibrium models to solve the "macroeconomic" model as a
layer on top of the "microeconomic" models of one or more AgentTypes.
'''
def __init__(self,agents=[],sow_vars=[],reap_vars=[],const_vars=[],track_vars=[],dyn_vars=[],
millRule=None,calcDynamics=None,act_T=1000,tolerance=0.000001):
'''
Make a new instance of the Market class.
Parameters
----------
agents : [AgentType]
A list of all the AgentTypes in this market.
sow_vars : [string]
Names of variables generated by the "aggregate market process" that should
be "sown" to the agents in the market. Aggregate state, etc.
reap_vars : [string]
Names of variables to be collected ("reaped") from agents in the market
to be used in the "aggregate market process".
const_vars : [string]
Names of attributes of the Market instance that are used in the "aggregate
market process" but do not come from agents-- they are constant or simply
parameters inherent to the process.
track_vars : [string]
Names of variables generated by the "aggregate market process" that should
be tracked as a "history" so that a new dynamic rule can be calculated.
This is often a subset of sow_vars.
dyn_vars : [string]
Names of variables that constitute a "dynamic rule".
millRule : function
A function that takes inputs named in reap_vars and returns an object
with attributes named in sow_vars. The "aggregate market process" that
transforms individual agent actions/states/data into aggregate data to
be sent back to agents.
calcDynamics : function
A function that takes inputs named in track_vars and returns an object
with attributes named in dyn_vars. Looks at histories of aggregate
variables and generates a new "dynamic rule" for agents to believe and
act on.
act_T : int
The number of times that the "aggregate market process" should be run
in order to generate a history of aggregate variables.
tolerance: float
Minimum acceptable distance between "dynamic rules" to consider the
Market solution process converged. Distance is a user-defined metric.
Returns
-------
None
'''
self.agents = agents
self.reap_vars = reap_vars
self.sow_vars = sow_vars
self.const_vars = const_vars
self.track_vars = track_vars
self.dyn_vars = dyn_vars
if millRule is not None: # To prevent overwriting of method-based millRules
self.millRule = millRule
if calcDynamics is not None: # Ditto for calcDynamics
self.calcDynamics = calcDynamics
self.act_T = act_T
self.tolerance = tolerance
def solve(self):
'''
"Solves" the market by finding a "dynamic rule" that governs the aggregate
market state such that when agents believe in these dynamics, their actions
collectively generate the same dynamic rule.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
go = True
max_loops = 1000 # Failsafe against infinite solution loop
completed_loops = 0
old_dynamics = None
while go: # Loop until the dynamic process converges or we hit the loop cap
for this_type in self.agents:
this_type.solve() # Solve each AgentType's micro problem
self.makeHistory() # "Run" the model while tracking aggregate variables
new_dynamics = self.updateDynamics() # Find a new aggregate dynamic rule
# Check to see if the dynamic rule has converged (if this is not the first loop)
if completed_loops > 0:
distance = new_dynamics.distance(old_dynamics)
else:
distance = 1000000.0
# Move to the next loop if the terminal conditions are not met
old_dynamics = new_dynamics
completed_loops += 1
go = distance >= self.tolerance and completed_loops < max_loops
self.dynamics = new_dynamics # Store the final dynamic rule in self
def reap(self):
'''
Collects attributes named in reap_vars from each AgentType in the market,
storing them in respectively named attributes of self.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
for var_name in self.reap_vars:
harvest = []
for this_type in self.agents:
harvest.append(getattr(this_type,var_name))
setattr(self,var_name,harvest)
def sow(self):
'''
Distributes attrributes named in sow_vars from self to each AgentType
in the market, storing them in respectively named attributes.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
for var_name in self.sow_vars:
this_seed = getattr(self,var_name)
for this_type in self.agents:
setattr(this_type,var_name,this_seed)
def mill(self):
'''
Processes the variables collected from agents using the function millRule,
storing the results in attributes named in aggr_sow.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
# Make a dictionary of inputs for the millRule
reap_vars_string = ''
for name in self.reap_vars:
reap_vars_string += ' \'' + name + '\' : self.' + name + ','
const_vars_string = ''
for name in self.const_vars:
const_vars_string += ' \'' + name + '\' : self.' + name + ','
mill_dict = eval('{' + reap_vars_string + const_vars_string + '}')
# Run the millRule and store its output in self
product = self.millRule(**mill_dict)
for j in range(len(self.sow_vars)):
this_var = self.sow_vars[j]
this_product = getattr(product,this_var)
setattr(self,this_var,this_product)
def cultivate(self):
'''
Has each AgentType in agents perform their marketAction method, using
variables sown from the market (and maybe also "private" variables).
The marketAction method should store new results in attributes named in
reap_vars to be reaped later.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
for this_type in self.agents:
this_type.marketAction()
def reset(self):
'''
Reset the state of the market (attributes in sow_vars, etc) to some
user-defined initial state, and erase the histories of tracked variables.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
for var_name in self.track_vars: # Reset the history of tracked variables
setattr(self,var_name + '_hist',[])
for var_name in self.sow_vars: # Set the sow variables to their initial levels
initial_val = getattr(self,var_name + '_init')
setattr(self,var_name,initial_val)
for this_type in self.agents: # Reset each AgentType in the market
this_type.reset()
def store(self):
'''
Record the current value of each variable X named in track_vars in an
attribute named X_hist.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
for var_name in self.track_vars:
value_now = getattr(self,var_name)
getattr(self,var_name + '_hist').append(value_now)
def makeHistory(self):
'''
Runs a loop of sow-->cultivate-->reap-->mill act_T times, tracking the
evolution of variables X named in track_vars in attributes named X_hist.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
none
'''
self.reset() # Initialize the state of the market
for t in range(self.act_T):
self.sow() # Distribute aggregated information/state to agents
self.cultivate() # Agents take action
self.reap() # Collect individual data from agents
self.mill() # Process individual data into aggregate data
self.store() # Record variables of interest
def updateDynamics(self):
'''
Calculates a new "aggregate dynamic rule" using the history of variables
named in track_vars, and distributes this rule to AgentTypes in agents.
Parameters
----------
none
Returns
-------
dynamics : instance
The new "aggregate dynamic rule" that agents believe in and act on.
Should have attributes named in dyn_vars.
'''
# Make a dictionary of inputs for the dynamics calculator
history_vars_string = ''
for name in self.track_vars:
history_vars_string += ' \'' + name + '\' : self.' + name + '_hist,'
update_dict = eval('{' + history_vars_string + '}')
# Calculate a new dynamic rule and distribute it to the agents in agent_list
dynamics = self.calcDynamics(**update_dict) # User-defined dynamics calculator
for var_name in self.dyn_vars:
this_obj = getattr(dynamics,var_name)
for this_type in self.agents:
setattr(this_type,var_name,this_obj)
return dynamics
if __name__ == '__main__':
print("Sorry, HARKcore doesn't actually do anything on its own.")
print("To see some examples of its frameworks in action, try running a model module.")
print("Several interesting model modules can be found in /ConsumptionSavingModel.")
print('For an extraordinarily simple model that demonstrates the "microeconomic" and')
print('"macroeconomic" frameworks, see /FashionVictim/FashionVictimModel.')