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Forecasting Stock Growth

Summary

Here is a project that explores and forecasts stock movement using a LogNormal Random Walk. After conducting an EDA, we simulate multiple forecasts and visualize them. We then use methods of proof to show the expected value and variance of any n-step ahead prediction. Using the results from those proofs, we construct an expected forecast and confidence interval for that forecast.

Index

  • forecast_stocks.R: contains functions and data cleaning which are used in the markdown document
  • forecast_stock_growth.Rmd: the finalized report in a Rmarkdown file
  • forecast_stock_growth.html: the finalized report in an html file

Display the final writeup in a Rmarkdown file, using BitBucket HTML Preview, by clicking here.