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inverse_SESAME.m
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inverse_SESAME.m
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function [result] = inverse_SESAME(full_data, leadfield, sourcespace, cfg)
% inverse_SESAME samples the posterior distribution of a
% multi-dipole Bayesian model and provides an estimate of the number of
% dipoles and of the dipole locations and time courses; in addition, it
% provides uncertainty quantification in terms of a posterior probability
% map. Dipoles are assumed to have fixed location during the analyzed time
% window.
%
%
% Use as
% posterior = inverse_SESAME(data, leadfield, sourcespace, cfg)
%
% where
% data = data matrix,
% number of sensors X number of time points
% leadfield = leadfield matrix,
% number of sensors X ncomp*number of points in the source space
% where ncomp is 3 for free orientation, 1 for strictly
% constrained orientation
% sourcespace = coordinates of points in source space,
% number of points in the source space X 3
% and
% posterior = structure containing the estimated source parameters, a
% posterior probability map and all the Monte Carlo samples
%
% relevant fields of posterior:
%
% mod_sel = model selection function (in fact, a collection of)
% a 2D array
% max number of dipoles X number of iterations;
% at a selected iteration, it provides the posterior distribution over
% the number of dipoles
% default use:
% - fix the second index to the last iteration (posterior.final_it)
% - take the argmax of the resulting array as an estimate of the
% number of dipoles
%
%
% pmap = posterior probability map (in fact, a collection of)
% a 3D array
% number of source points X number of iterations X max number of dipoles;
% default use:
% - set the second index to the last iteration (posterior.final_it)
% - set the third index to the estimated number of dipoles
% - plot the resulting array as a color-coded posterior map
% on the set of vertices
%
% estimated_dipoles = vertex indices of estimated dipoles in the source space
%
% est_dip = all estimated dipoles *across all iterations*
% a 2D array
% number of ALL estimated dipoles X 5
% in every line we have one estimated dipole as follows:
% x location, y location, z location, iteration number, vertex index
%
%
% Q_estimated = source amplitudes (positive scalar) of estimated dipoles
% a 2D array
% number of estimated dipoles X number of time points
%
% QV_estimated = estimated vector dipole moments across time
% a 2D array
% ncomp*number of estimated dipoles X number of time points
%
% MCsamples = all Monte Carlo samples, at all iterations
% stored for any other type of inference
%
% AllWeights = all weights of the corresponding Monte Carlo samples
%
% optional input, passed as field inside cfg:
%
% noise_std = noise standard deviation
% dipmom_std = expected strength of dipole moment (formally: standard
% deviation of Gaussian prior on dipole moment components)
% n_samples = number of Monte Carlo samples (default: 100)
% t_start = first time point of analyzed window
% t_stop = last time point of analyzed window
%
%
% The algorithm contained in this file is described in
% Sommariva S and Sorrentino A
% Sequential Monte Carlo samplers for semi-linear inverse problems and
% application to Magnetoencephalography
% Inverse Problems (2014)
% Copyright (C) 2019 Gianvittorio Luria, Sara Sommariva, Alberto Sorrentino
verbose = [];
lambda_prior = [];
evol_exp = [];
noise_std = [];
dipmom_std = [];
n_samples = [];
neighbours = [];
neighboursp = [];
bool_hyper_q = [];
bool_hyper_n = [];
prior_locs = [];
scaling_factor = [];
noise_covariance = [];
Q_birth = [];
Q_death = [];
t_start = 1;
t_stop = size(full_data,2);
if isfield(cfg,'verbose')
verbose = cfg.verbose;
end
if isempty(verbose)
verbose = true;
end
if isfield(cfg,'lambda_prior')
lambda_prior = cfg.lambda_prior;
if verbose==true
disp(['Poisson parameter set by the user to: ', num2str(lambda_prior)]);
end
end
if isfield(cfg,'noise_std')
noise_std = cfg.noise_std;
end
if isfield(cfg,'dipmom_std')
dipmom_std = cfg.dipmom_std;
end
if isfield(cfg,'n_samples')
n_samples = cfg.n_samples;
end
if isfield(cfg,'neighbours')
neighbours = cfg.neighbours;
end
if isfield(cfg,'neighboursp')
neighboursp = cfg.neighboursp;
end
if isfield(cfg,'t_start')
t_start = cfg.t_start;
end
if isfield(cfg,'t_stop')
t_stop = cfg.t_stop;
end
if isfield(cfg,'bool_hyper_q')
bool_hyper_q = cfg.bool_hyper_q;
if verbose==true
disp(['hyperprior on dipmom std set as: ', num2str(bool_hyper_q)]);
end
end
if isfield(cfg,'evol_exp')
evol_exp = cfg.evol_exp;
if verbose==true
disp(['Number of iterations set at: ', num2str(evol_exp)]);
end
end
if isfield(cfg,'Q_birth')
Q_birth = cfg.Q_birth;
end
if isfield(cfg,'Q_death')
Q_death = cfg.Q_death;
end
if isfield(cfg,'bool_hyper_n')
bool_hyper_n = cfg.bool_hyper_n;
if verbose==true
disp(['hyperprior on noise std set as: ', num2str(bool_hyper_n)]);
end
end
if isfield(cfg, 'scaling_factor')
scaling_factor = cfg.scaling_factor;
end
if isfield(cfg, 'noise_covariance')
noise_covariance = cfg.noise_covariance;
end
if isfield(cfg,'prior_locs')
prior_locs = cfg.prior_locs;
prior_locs = prior_locs/sum(prior_locs);
if verbose==true
disp('Used prior locations given by the user');
end
end
data = full_data;
if isempty(lambda_prior)
lambda_prior = 0.25;
if verbose==true
disp(['Poisson parameter set automatically to: ', num2str(lambda_prior)]);
end
end
if isempty(t_start)
t_start = 1;
end
if isempty(t_stop)
t_stop = size(full_data,2);
end
if isempty(noise_std)
noise_std = 0.2 * max(max(abs(data(:, t_start:t_stop))));
if verbose==true
disp(['Noise std set automatically to: ', num2str(noise_std)]);
end
end
if isempty(dipmom_std)
dipmom_std = 1.5*max(max(abs(data(:, t_start:t_stop))))/max(max(max(abs(leadfield))));
if verbose==true
disp(['Dipmom std set automatically to: ', num2str(dipmom_std)]);
end
end
if isempty(n_samples)
n_samples = 100;
end
if isempty(bool_hyper_q)
bool_hyper_q = true;
if verbose==true
disp('Used hyperprior on dipmom std');
end
end
if isempty(bool_hyper_n)
bool_hyper_n = false;
disp('Not used hyperprior on noise std');
end
if isempty(evol_exp)
evol_exp = 0;
if verbose==true
disp('Adaptive number of iterations');
end
end
% probability of proposing a birth/death
if isempty(Q_birth)
Q_birth = 1/3;
end
if isempty(Q_death)
Q_death = 1/20;
end
if isempty(scaling_factor)
scaling_factor = 1;
end
if isempty(noise_covariance)
noise_covariance = eye(size(leadfield,1));
end
if isempty(prior_locs)
prior_locs = 1/(size(sourcespace,1)) * ones(size(sourcespace,1),1);
if verbose==true
disp('Used uniform prior locations');
end
end
if (size(full_data,2)>1)
data = full_data(:, t_start:t_stop);
end
% pre-compute factorials
fact=zeros(1,40);
for i = 1:40
fact(i) = factorial(i);
end
V = sourcespace;
data = scaling_factor * data;
dipmom_std = scaling_factor * dipmom_std;
noise_std = scaling_factor * noise_std;
% if there are no neighbours/neighbour probabilities, those are computed
% here:
if isempty(neighbours)
radius = 1.5 * ((max(V(:,1))-min(V(:,1))) * (max(V(:,2))-min(V(:,2))) * (max(V(:,3))-min(V(:,3)))/ size(V,1) ) ^(1/3) ;
neighbours = compute_neighbours(V, radius);
if verbose==true
disp(strcat(['neighbours matrix computed, max neighbours ', ...
num2str(size(neighbours,2))]));
end
neighboursp = compute_neigh_prob(V, neighbours, radius);
end
if isempty(neighboursp)
radius = 1.5 * ((max(V(:,1))-min(V(:,1))) * (max(V(:,2))-min(V(:,2))) * (max(V(:,3))-min(V(:,3)))/ size(V,1) ) ^(1/3) ;
neighboursp = compute_neigh_prob(V, neighbours, radius);
end
% set parameters
n_ist = size(data, 2);
N = 2000; % initial max number of iterations, determines array size
C = size(V,1); % number of voxels
nsens = size(leadfield,1); % number of sensors
ncomp = size(leadfield,2)/size(sourcespace,1); % 3 if free orientation, 1 if cortically constrained
NDIP = 6; % maximum number of dipoles
mean_Qin = zeros(3,1); % mean of the Gaussian prior on the dipole moment
cov_Qin = dipmom_std^2 * eye(3); % covariance of Gaussian prior on the dipole moment
cov_noise = noise_std^2 * noise_covariance; % covariance of the likelihood function
delta_min = 1e-5; delta_max = 1e-1; % min/max increment of the exponent in a single iteration
gamma_high = 0.99; gamma_low = 0.9; % acceptable interval for the drop in the Effective Sample Size
dipmom_range = 3; % currently fixed hyperparameter, log--range of the hyperprior on dipmom_std
noise_range = 3; % currently fixed hyperparameter, log--range of the hyperprior on noise_std
noise_std_proposal = 10;
n_lead = size(leadfield,3);
exponent_likelihood(1) = 0;
exponent_likelihood(2) = 0;
% define structures
for j = 1:NDIP
dipole(j) = struct('c', 0, 'qmean', zeros(3,1), 'qvar', zeros(3), 'leadfield', 1);
end
for i = 1:n_samples
particle(i) = struct('nu',0,'dipole',dipole, 'prior', 1, 'log_like', 0, 'like_det',1, 'dipmom_std', 1, 'noise_std', noise_std);
end
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% Sampling from the prior %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
weights = zeros(1,n_samples);
AllWeights = zeros(N, n_samples);
log_update = weights;
n = 1;
for i = 1:n_samples
ndip = poissrnd(lambda_prior);
if bool_hyper_q == true
particle(i).dipmom_std = 10^(dipmom_range*rand)*dipmom_std/35;
else
particle(i).dipmom_std = dipmom_std;
end
if bool_hyper_n == true
particle(i).noise_std = 10^(dipmom_range*rand)*noise_std/35;%gamrnd(2,noise_std * 4);
else
particle(i).noise_std = noise_std;
end
for r = 1:ndip
particle(i).dipole(r).leadfield = randi(n_lead);
particle(i) = add_dipole_location(particle(i), prior_locs);
particle(i).dipole(r).qmean = mean_Qin;
particle(i).dipole(r).qvar = particle(i).dipmom_std^2 * eye(3);
end
particle(i) = prior_and_like(particle(i), leadfield, data, lambda_prior, nsens, ncomp, fact, n_ist, prior_locs);
if isinf(particle(i).log_like)
disp('Problem');
end
% the two following lines are currently useless because exponent_likelihood(2) = exponent_likelihood(1) = 0
% we just let them here in case we decide to modify these values
weights(i) = 1/sqrt(particle(i).like_det)^(n_ist*exponent_likelihood(1)) * exp(particle(i).log_like)^(exponent_likelihood(1)/(2*particle(i).noise_std^2));
log_update(i) = -0.5*(exponent_likelihood(n+1)-exponent_likelihood(n))*(n_ist*log(particle(i).like_det) + (1/(particle(i).noise_std^2))*particle(i).log_like);
end
weights = weights ./ sum(weights);
pmap = zeros(size(V,1), N, NDIP);
pmap_singdip = zeros(size(V,1),NDIP,N);
mod_sel = zeros(NDIP+1,N);
lead_sel = zeros(n_lead,N);
est_dip = [];
estimated_dipoles = [];
Q_estimated = [];
QV_estimated = [];
kkk = 1;
for i = 1:n_samples
mod_sel(particle(i).nu+1,n) = mod_sel(particle(i).nu+1,n) + weights(i);
for j=1:particle(i).nu
lead_sel(particle(i).dipole(j).leadfield,n) = lead_sel(particle(i).dipole(j).leadfield,n) + weights(i)/particle(i).nu;
end
if particle(i).nu <=NDIP
for r = 1:particle(i).nu
pmap(particle(i).dipole(r).c, n, particle(i).nu) = pmap(particle(i).dipole(r).c, n, particle(i).nu) + weights(i);
end
end
end
tStart = cputime;
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% Main cycle %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
n = 2;
resampling_done = zeros(1,N);
while exponent_likelihood(n) <= 1
if n>3
if evol_exp==0
expected = ceil((-log(exponent_likelihood(3)))/(log(exponent_likelihood(n)) - log(exponent_likelihood(3))) * n );
else
expected = evol_exp;
end
if verbose==true
disp('----------------------------------------------------------------')
disp(strcat(['Iteration ', num2str(n), ...
' (Expected: ', num2str(expected),')', ' -- Exponent = ', num2str(exponent_likelihood(n))]))
end
end
[max_weight, ind_max_weight] = max(weights);
best_particle(n-1) = particle(ind_max_weight);
log_weight_unnorm = log(weights) + log_update;
w = max(log_weight_unnorm);
log_cost_norm = w + log(sum(exp(log_weight_unnorm - w)));
weight_resampling = exp(log_weight_unnorm - log_cost_norm);
if max(isinf(log_weight_unnorm-log_cost_norm)==1)
disp('warning: some weigths are inf');
end
if min(weight_resampling)==0
disp('warning: some weights are zero');
end
ESS(n) = (sum(weight_resampling.^2))^-1;
if isnan(ESS(n))
disp('Got a NaN in the effective sample size: try setting a larger ''noise_std'' or a smaller ''dipmom_std''');
end
% Resample particles if ESS too low
if ESS(n) < n_samples/2
if verbose==true
disp(' ---------- ');
disp('Resampling');
disp(' ---------- ');
end
resampling_done(n) = 1;
ESS(n) = n_samples;
partition_weights = cumsum(weight_resampling);
partition_weights(n_samples+1) = 1;
partition_uniform = zeros(1,n_samples);
partition_uniform(1) = 1/n_samples * rand;
particle_auxiliary = particle;
for j = 1:n_samples
partition_uniform(j) = partition_uniform(1) + (j-1)/n_samples;
stepbystep = 1;
while partition_uniform(j) >= partition_weights(stepbystep)
stepbystep = stepbystep + 1;
end
if stepbystep == n_samples+1
particle(j) = particle_auxiliary(n_samples);
else
particle(j) = particle_auxiliary(stepbystep);
end
end
for i = 1:n_samples
weights(i) = 1/n_samples;
end
else
log_weight_unnorm = log(weights)+log_update;
w = max(log_weight_unnorm);
log_cost_norm = w + log(sum(exp(log_weight_unnorm-w)));
weights = exp(log_weight_unnorm-log_cost_norm);
end
AllWeights(n,:) = weights;
% MCMC step
for i = 1:n_samples
particle_proposed = particle(i);
% MH for the hyperparameter dipmom_std
if bool_hyper_q == true
particle_proposed = particle(i);
particle_proposed.dipmom_std = gamrnd(3, particle_proposed.dipmom_std/3);
particle_proposed = prior_and_like(particle_proposed, leadfield, data, lambda_prior, nsens, ncomp, fact, n_ist, prior_locs);
log_rapp_like = 0.5*exponent_likelihood(n)*n_ist*(log(particle(i).like_det)-log(particle_proposed.like_det))+...
(exponent_likelihood(n)/(2*particle(i).noise_std^2))*(particle(i).log_like - particle_proposed.log_like);
rapp_like = exp(log_rapp_like);
alpha = (particle_proposed.prior*gampdf(particle(i).dipmom_std, 3, particle_proposed.dipmom_std/3))/...
(particle(i).prior * gampdf(particle_proposed.dipmom_std, 3, particle(i).dipmom_std/3))*rapp_like;
alpha = min([1,alpha]);
if rand < alpha
particle(i) = particle_proposed;
end
particle_proposed = particle(i);
end
% MH for the hyperparameter noise_std
if bool_hyper_n == true
particle_proposed = particle(i);
particle_proposed.noise_std = gamrnd(noise_std_proposal, particle(i).noise_std/noise_std_proposal);
particle_proposed = prior_and_like(particle_proposed, leadfield, data, lambda_prior, nsens, ncomp, fact, n_ist, prior_locs);
log_rapp_like = - exponent_likelihood(n)*nsens*n_ist*(log(particle_proposed.noise_std) - log(particle(i).noise_std)) + ...
0.5*exponent_likelihood(n)*n_ist*(log(particle(i).like_det)-log(particle_proposed.like_det)) + ...
0.5*exponent_likelihood(n)*(particle(i).log_like/particle(i).noise_std^2 - particle_proposed.log_like/particle_proposed.noise_std^2);
rapp_like = exp(log_rapp_like);
rapp_proposal = gampdf(particle(i).noise_std, noise_std_proposal, particle_proposed.noise_std/noise_std_proposal) / ...
gampdf(particle_proposed.noise_std, noise_std_proposal, particle(i).noise_std/noise_std_proposal);
rapp_prior = particle_proposed.prior / particle(i).prior;
alpha = rapp_proposal* rapp_prior *rapp_like;
alpha = min([1,alpha]);
if rand < alpha
particle(i) = particle_proposed;
end
particle_proposed = particle(i);
end
% MH for the leadfield kind
if n_lead>1
for r = 1:particle_proposed.nu
particle_proposed = particle(i);
particle_proposed.dipole(r).leadfield = randi(n_lead);
particle_proposed = prior_and_like(particle_proposed, leadfield, data, lambda_prior, nsens, ncomp, fact, n_ist, prior_locs);
log_rapp_like = 0.5*exponent_likelihood(n)*n_ist*(log(particle(i).like_det)-log(particle_proposed.like_det))+...
(exponent_likelihood(n)/(2*noise_std^2))*(particle(i).log_like-particle_proposed.log_like);
rapp_like = exp(log_rapp_like);
alpha = particle_proposed.prior/particle(i).prior * rapp_like;
alpha = min([1,alpha]);
if rand < alpha
particle(i) = particle_proposed;
end
end
end
% Add/Remove dipole (RJ step)
BirthOrDeath = rand;
if BirthOrDeath < Q_birth && particle_proposed.nu < NDIP
particle_proposed = add_dipole_location(particle_proposed, prior_locs);
r = particle_proposed.nu;
particle_proposed.dipole(r).qmean = mean_Qin;
particle_proposed.dipole(r).qvar = cov_Qin;
particle_proposed.dipole(r).leadfield = randi(n_lead);
elseif BirthOrDeath > 1-Q_death
[~, particle_proposed] = remove_dipole(particle_proposed);
end
if particle_proposed.nu ~= particle(i).nu
particle_proposed = prior_and_like(particle_proposed, leadfield, data, lambda_prior, nsens, ncomp, fact, n_ist, prior_locs);
log_rapp_like = 0.5*exponent_likelihood(n)*n_ist*(log(particle(i).like_det)-log(particle_proposed.like_det))+...
(exponent_likelihood(n)/(2*particle(i).noise_std^2))*(particle(i).log_like-particle_proposed.log_like);
rapp_like = exp(log_rapp_like);
if particle_proposed.nu > particle(i).nu
alpha = ((particle_proposed.prior*Q_death)/(particle(i).prior*Q_birth))*rapp_like;
else
alpha = ((particle_proposed.prior*Q_birth)/(particle(i).prior*Q_death))*rapp_like;
end
alpha = min([1,alpha]);
if rand < alpha
particle(i) = particle_proposed;
end
particle_proposed = particle(i);
end
% Update dipole locations, starting from the last one
for r = particle_proposed.nu:-1:1
n_neighbours = length(find(neighbours(particle_proposed.dipole(r).c,:)>0));
is_location_new = 0;
while is_location_new == 0
randnum = rand;
indP = 1;
while randnum > sum(neighboursp(particle_proposed.dipole(r).c,1:indP)) && indP < n_neighbours
indP = indP + 1;
end
location_proposed = neighbours(particle_proposed.dipole(r).c,indP);
is_location_new = 1;
for k = [particle_proposed.nu:-1:r+1, r-1:-1:1]
if location_proposed == particle_proposed.dipole(k).c
is_location_new = 0;
end
end
end
prob_move = neighboursp(particle_proposed.dipole(r).c,indP);
n_neighbours = length(find(neighboursp(location_proposed,:)>0));
indP = 1;
while particle_proposed.dipole(r).c ~= neighbours(location_proposed,indP) && indP < n_neighbours
indP = indP + 1;
end
prob_move_reverse = neighboursp(location_proposed, indP);
particle_proposed.dipole(r).c = location_proposed;
particle_proposed = prior_and_like(particle_proposed, leadfield, data, lambda_prior, nsens, ncomp, fact, n_ist, prior_locs);
log_rapp_like = 0.5*exponent_likelihood(n)*n_ist*(log(particle(i).like_det)-log(particle_proposed.like_det))+...
(exponent_likelihood(n)/(2*particle(i).noise_std^2))*(particle(i).log_like-particle_proposed.log_like);
rapp_like = exp(log_rapp_like);
alpha = rapp_like*((particle_proposed.prior*prob_move_reverse) / (particle(i).prior*prob_move));
alpha = min([1,alpha]);
if rand < alpha
particle(i) = particle_proposed;
end
end
end
% on-line estimates
for i = 1:n_samples
mod_sel(particle(i).nu+1,n) = mod_sel(particle(i).nu+1,n) + weights(i);
for j=1:particle(i).nu
lead_sel(particle(i).dipole(j).leadfield,n) = lead_sel(particle(i).dipole(j).leadfield,n) + weights(i)/particle(i).nu;
end
if particle(i).nu <=NDIP
for r = 1:particle(i).nu
pmap(particle(i).dipole(r).c,n, particle(i).nu) = pmap(particle(i).dipole(r).c,n, particle(i).nu) + weights(i);
end
end
end
[~, ind_mod] = max(mod_sel(:,n));
[~, ind_lead] = max(lead_sel(:,n));
if verbose==true
disp(strcat(['Estimated number of dipoles: ', num2str(ind_mod-1)]));
if n_lead > 1
disp(strcat(['Estimated number of leadfield: ', num2str(ind_lead)]));
end
disp(strcat(['Model selsection: ', num2str(mod_sel(1:4,n)')]));
end
[~, eee,pmap_singdip(:,:,n)] = point_estimation(particle, weights, V, NDIP);
for i = 1:numel(eee)
est_dip(kkk,:) = [V(eee(i),:) n eee(i)];
kkk=kkk+1;
if verbose==true
disp(strcat(['Estimated location of dipole ', num2str(i), ': vertex number ' num2str(eee(i))]));
end
end
v_noise = zeros(n_samples, 1);
v_weight = zeros(n_samples, 1);
for i=1:n_samples
v_noise(i) = particle(i).noise_std/scaling_factor;
v_weight(i) = weights(i);
end
if verbose==true && bool_hyper_n==true
disp(strcat(['Conditional Mean noise std: ', num2str(sum(v_noise .* v_weight))]));
end
MCsamples{n}.all_particles = particle;
% optional plot of current iteration
if isfield(cfg,'plot')
if strcmp(cfg.plot,'surf')==1 && isfield(cfg, 'tris') && isfield(cfg,'V_infl') && mod(n,5)==0
if n==5
figure
set(gcf,'pos',[200 70 1500 770])
pause(.2)
end
inverse_SESAME_surf_viewer(full_data, pmap, mod_sel, neighbours, n, cfg);
end
end
% Adaptive choice of the next exponent
if evol_exp == 0
is_last_operation_increment = 0;
if exponent_likelihood(n) == 1
exponent_likelihood(n+1) = 1.01;
else
delta_a = delta_min;
delta_b = delta_max;
delta(n+1) = delta_max;
exponent_likelihood(n+1) = exponent_likelihood(n) + delta(n+1);
log_ESS(n+1) = -Inf;
iterations = 1;
while (log_ESS(n+1) - log(ESS(n))) > log(gamma_high) || (log_ESS(n+1) - log(ESS(n))) < log(gamma_low)
for i=1:n_samples
if n < N
log_update(i) = -0.5*(exponent_likelihood(n+1)-exponent_likelihood(n))*...
(n_ist*log(particle(i).like_det) + n_ist*nsens*log(2*pi*particle(i).noise_std^2) + particle(i).log_like/(particle(i).noise_std^2));
end
end
log_weight_unnorm = log(weights) + log_update;
w = max(log_weight_unnorm);
log_cost_norm = w + log(sum(exp(log_weight_unnorm - w)));
log_weight_aux = log_weight_unnorm - log_cost_norm;
if max(isinf(log_weight_unnorm - log_cost_norm))==1
disp('log inf within bisection');
end
W = max(log_weight_aux);
log_ESS(n+1) = -2*W - log( sum( exp( 2*(log_weight_aux - W) ) ) );
if log_ESS(n+1) - log(ESS(n)) > log(gamma_high)
delta_a = delta(n+1);
delta(n+1) = min([(delta_a+delta_b)/2 delta_max]);
is_last_operation_increment = 1;
if (delta_max-delta(n+1)) < delta_max/100
exponent_likelihood(n+1) = exponent_likelihood(n) + delta(n+1);
for i=1:n_samples
if n < N
log_update(i) = -0.5*(exponent_likelihood(n+1)-exponent_likelihood(n))*...
(n_ist*log(particle(i).like_det) + n_ist*nsens*log(2*pi*particle(i).noise_std^2) + particle(i).log_like/(particle(i).noise_std^2));
end
end
if exponent_likelihood(n+1)>=1
exponent_likelihood(n+1) = 1;
log_ESS(n+1) = log(ESS(n)) + log( (gamma_high+gamma_low)/2 );
end
break;
end
elseif log_ESS(n+1) - log(ESS(n)) < log(gamma_low)
delta_b = delta(n+1);
delta(n+1) = max([(delta_a+delta_b)/2 delta_min]);
if (delta(n+1)-delta_min)<delta_min/10 ||(iterations>1 && is_last_operation_increment)
exponent_likelihood(n+1) = exponent_likelihood(n) + delta(n+1);
for i=1:n_samples
if n < N
log_update(i) = -0.5*(exponent_likelihood(n+1)-exponent_likelihood(n))*...
(n_ist*log(particle(i).like_det) + n_ist*nsens*log(2*pi*particle(i).noise_std^2) + particle(i).log_like/(particle(i).noise_std^2));
end
end
if exponent_likelihood(n+1)>=1
exponent_likelihood(n+1) = 1;
log_ESS(n+1) = log(ESS(n)) + log((gamma_high+gamma_low)/2);
end
break;
end
is_last_operation_increment = 0;
end
exponent_likelihood(n+1) = exponent_likelihood(n) + delta(n+1);
if exponent_likelihood(n+1)>=1
exponent_likelihood(n+1) = 1;
log_ESS(n+1) = log(ESS(n)) + log((gamma_high+gamma_low)/2);
end
iterations = iterations+1;
end
end
else
if n==evol_exp
exponent_likelihood(n+1) = 1.1;
else
e = logspace(-5,0, evol_exp);
exponent_likelihood(n+1) = e(n+1);
end
for i=1:n_samples
if n < N
log_update(i) = -0.5*(exponent_likelihood(n+1)-exponent_likelihood(n))*...
(n_ist*log(particle(i).like_det) + n_ist*nsens*log(2*pi*particle(i).noise_std^2) + particle(i).log_like/(particle(i).noise_std^2));
end
end
end
n = n + 1;
end
n = n-1;
% Final estimates:
est_lead = [];
if numel(est_dip)>0
estimated_dipoles = est_dip(find(est_dip(:,4)==n),5);
if size(lead_sel,1)>1
lead = zeros(size(lead_sel,1), numel(estimated_dipoles));
for nn=1:numel(estimated_dipoles)
for p=1:numel(particle)
for d=1:particle(p).nu
if particle(p).dipole(d).c == estimated_dipoles(nn)
lead(particle(p).dipole(d).leadfield, nn) = lead(particle(p).dipole(d).leadfield, nn) + weights(p)/particle(p).nu;
end
end
end
end
[~, est_lead] = max(lead);
else
est_lead = ones(1,numel(estimated_dipoles));
end
% Estimated dipmom_std
dipmom_std_pm = 0;
count = 0;
for p=1:numel(particle)
if particle(p).nu == numel(estimated_dipoles)
dipmom_std_pm = dipmom_std_pm + particle(p).dipmom_std*weights(p);
count = count +1;
end
end
dipmom_std_pm = dipmom_std_pm/count;
% Estimating dipole moments
G_r = zeros(nsens,ncomp*numel(estimated_dipoles));
for kk = 1:numel(estimated_dipoles)
G_r(:,ncomp*(kk-1)+1:ncomp*kk) = leadfield(:,ncomp*(estimated_dipoles(kk)-1)+1:ncomp*estimated_dipoles(kk), est_lead(kk));
end
cov_Qincomplex = (dipmom_std_pm/scaling_factor)^2 * eye(ncomp*numel(estimated_dipoles));
K_matrix = cov_Qincomplex * G_r' * inv(G_r * cov_Qincomplex * G_r' + cov_noise);
for t = 1:n_ist
qmean_comp = K_matrix * data(:,t);
qvar_complex = (eye(ncomp*numel(estimated_dipoles)) - K_matrix * G_r) * cov_Qincomplex;
for kk = 1:numel(estimated_dipoles)
Q_estimated(kk,t) = norm(qmean_comp(ncomp*(kk-1)+1:ncomp*kk));
QV_estimated(ncomp*(kk-1)+1:ncomp*kk,t) = qmean_comp(ncomp*(kk-1)+1:ncomp*kk);
end
end
end
[max_weight, ind_max_weight] = max(weights);
best_particle(N) = particle(ind_max_weight);
data_estimated = zeros(size(full_data(:,t_start:t_stop)));
for i_dip = 1:numel(estimated_dipoles)
G = leadfield(:,estimated_dipoles(i_dip)*3-2:estimated_dipoles(i_dip)*3, est_lead(i_dip));
for t=1:size(data_estimated,2)
data_estimated(:,t) = data_estimated(:,t) + G*QV_estimated(i_dip*3-2:i_dip*3,t);
end
end
gof = norm(data_estimated - full_data(:,t_start:t_stop))/norm(full_data(:,t_start:t_stop));
% output relevant data:
% input parameters:
result.prior_locs = prior_locs;
result.Q_birth = Q_birth;
result.Q_death = Q_death;
result.dipmom_std = dipmom_std;
result.noise_std = noise_std;
result.n_samples = n_samples;
result.t_start = t_start;
result.t_stop = t_stop;
result.data = full_data;
result.data_estimated = data_estimated;
result.gof = gof;
result.sourcespace = sourcespace;
result.neighbours = neighbours;
result.neighboursp = neighboursp;
% actual results:
result.pmap = pmap(1:size(V,1),1:n,1:NDIP);
result.pmap_singdip = pmap_singdip(:,:,1:n);
result.mod_sel = mod_sel(:,1:n);
result.lead_sel = lead_sel(:,1:n);
result.est_lead = est_lead;
result.estimated_dipoles = estimated_dipoles;
result.Q_estimated = Q_estimated;
result.MCsamples = MCsamples{1, end}.all_particles;
result.AllMCsamples = MCsamples;
result.AllWeights = AllWeights(1:n,:);
result.est_dip = est_dip;
result.QV_estimated = QV_estimated;
% algorithm diagnostics
result.final_it = n;
result.exponent_likelihood = exponent_likelihood;
result.resampling_done = resampling_done(1:n);
result.ESS = ESS;
result.best_particle = best_particle;
result.TODAY = date;
result.scaling_factor = scaling_factor;
[result.noise_cm_hy, result.noise_map_hy, v_noise, v_weight] = noise_estimates(result);
result.v_noise = v_noise;
result.v_weight = v_weight;
result.cpu_time = cputime - tStart;
end
function particle = add_dipole_location(particle, prior_locs)
particle.nu = particle.nu+1;
r = particle.nu;
is_location_new = 0;
while is_location_new == 0
location_proposed = sample_prior_locs(prior_locs);
is_location_new = 1;
for k = 1:r-1
if location_proposed == particle.dipole(k).c
is_location_new = 0;
end
end
end
particle.dipole(r).c = location_proposed;
end
function [est_num, est_c, pmap_singdip] = point_estimation(particles, weigths, V, NDIP)
n_samples = length(weigths);
mod_sel = zeros(NDIP*10, 1);
pmap_singdip = zeros(size(V,1),NDIP);
for i = 1:n_samples
mod_sel(particles(i).nu+1) = mod_sel(particles(i).nu+1) + weigths(i);
end
[~, est_num] = max(mod_sel);
est_num = est_num - 1;
if est_num > NDIP
warning('Estimated number of dipoles higher than the allowed one.')
end
if est_num == 0
est_c = [];
else
N_sel_part = 0;
for i = 1:n_samples
% disp(particles(i).nu)
if particles(i).nu == est_num
N_sel_part = N_sel_part + 1;
sel_particles(N_sel_part) = i;
end
end
particles = particles(sel_particles);
weigths = weigths(sel_particles);
dipoles = zeros(N_sel_part, est_num);
for i_part = 1:N_sel_part
for j_dip = 1:est_num
dipoles(i_part,j_dip) = particles(i_part).dipole(j_dip).c;
end
end
[~ , max_part] = max(weigths);
c_max_part = zeros(1, est_num);
for i_dip = 1:est_num
c_max_part(i_dip) = particles(max_part).dipole(i_dip).c;
end
for i_part = 1:N_sel_part
c_i = dipoles(i_part,:);
all_perm = perms(c_i);
N_perms = factorial(est_num);
OSPA = zeros(N_perms, 1);
for i_perm = 1:N_perms
diff = V(all_perm(i_perm,:),:) - V(c_max_part,:);
norm_diff = sqrt(sum(diff.^2, 2));
OSPA(i_perm) = sum(norm_diff)/est_num;
end
[~, sel_perm] = min(OSPA);
dipoles(i_part,:) = all_perm(sel_perm,:);
end
for i_dip = 1:est_num
for i_part = 1:N_sel_part
pmap_singdip(dipoles(i_part,i_dip), i_dip) = pmap_singdip(dipoles(i_part,i_dip), i_dip) + weigths(i_part);
end
end
[~, est_c] = max(pmap_singdip(:,1:est_num));
end
end
function [particle] = prior_and_like(particle, leadfield, data, lambda_prior, nsens, ncomp, fact, n_ist, prior_locs)
particle.prior = 1/fact(particle.nu+1) * exp(-lambda_prior) * lambda_prior^particle.nu / particle.dipmom_std * 1 / particle.noise_std;
for i=1:particle.nu
particle.prior = particle.prior * prior_locs(particle.dipole(i).c);
end
G_r = zeros(nsens,ncomp*particle.nu);
for kk = 1:particle.nu
G_r(:,ncomp*(kk-1)+1:ncomp*kk) = leadfield(:,ncomp*(particle.dipole(kk).c-1)+1:ncomp*particle.dipole(kk).c, particle.dipole(kk).leadfield);
end
cov_likelihood_risc_inv = eye(nsens) - (particle.dipmom_std/particle.noise_std)^2 *G_r ...
*inv(eye(ncomp*particle.nu) + G_r'* (particle.dipmom_std/particle.noise_std)^2 *G_r)*G_r';
cov_likelihood_risc = (particle.dipmom_std/particle.noise_std)^2 *G_r*G_r' + eye(nsens);
% cov_likelihood_risc_inv = inv(cov_likelihood_risc);
particle.like_det = det(cov_likelihood_risc);
particle.log_like = 0;
for t = 1:n_ist
particle.log_like = particle.log_like + data(:,t)'*cov_likelihood_risc_inv*data(:,t);
end
end
function [DipoleDying, particle] = remove_dipole(particle)
if particle.nu >0
DipoleDying = randi(particle.nu);
for r = DipoleDying+1:particle.nu
particle.dipole(r-1) = particle.dipole(r);
end
particle.dipole(particle.nu) = struct('c', 0, 'qmean', zeros(3,1), 'qvar', zeros(3), 'leadfield', Inf);
particle.nu = particle.nu - 1;
else
DipoleDying = -1;
end
end
function [ NProb] = compute_neigh_prob(V,neighbours,sigmar)
NProb = zeros(size(neighbours));
for i = 1:size(neighbours,1)
j = 1;
while j <= size(neighbours,2) && neighbours(i,j)>0
NProb(i,j) = exp(-norm(V(i,:) - V(neighbours(i,j),:))^2/sigmar^2);
j=j+1;
end
NProb(i,:) = NProb(i,:)/sum(NProb(i,:));
end
end
function[neighbours]=compute_neighbours(vertices, radius)
neighbours=zeros(size(vertices,1),1000);
for i = 1 : size(vertices,1)
clear aux3
aux1 = vertices(i,:);
aux2 = repmat(aux1,size(vertices,1),1);
diff = vertices-aux2;
diff = diff.^2;
somma = sum(diff');
somma = somma';
dist = sqrt(somma);
[dist_riord,ind_riord] = sort(dist,'ascend');
aux3 = find(dist_riord<radius);
neighbours(i,1:size(aux3,1)) = ind_riord(aux3)';
end
end
function [noise_cm_hy, noise_map_hy, v_noise, v_weight] = noise_estimates(posterior)
n_bins = 20;
v_noise = zeros(posterior.n_samples, 1);
v_weight = zeros(posterior.n_samples, 1);
for i=1:posterior.n_samples
v_noise(i) = posterior.MCsamples(i).noise_std/posterior.scaling_factor;
v_weight(i) = posterior.AllWeights(end, i);
end
noise_cm_hy = sum(v_noise .* v_weight);
interval = [min(v_noise), max(v_noise)];
len_interval = abs(interval(2) - interval(1));
left_bin = zeros(n_bins, 1);
rigtht_bin = zeros(n_bins, 1);
center_bin = zeros(n_bins, 1);
v_weight_bin = zeros(n_bins, 1);
for i=1:n_bins
left_bin(i) = interval(1) + i * len_interval / n_bins;
rigtht_bin(i) = interval(1) + (i + 1) * len_interval / n_bins;