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An analysis of Italys' COVID-19 case data, and a walkthrough of how I built a Monte Carlo Algorithm to predict future deaths.

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Covid-19-Analysis

Welcome to my Covid-19 Analysis and prediction model!

My Covid-19 Analysis includes an in-depth look at Italys' Confirmed Deaths. It also includes a complete walkthrough of how I build my Monte Carlo algorithm, in order to predict the future Death Counts! It also includes an Analysis of my model


FILES

  • the covid.html file is the output html page for the analysis! It can be seen here...

  • The Covid-19-Analysis.rmd is the rmd file that everything was written and coded on!

  • The monte-carlo-script.R is the full script that was used to create my Monte Carlo Simulation, with adjustable settings.

  • raw folder will include the data files for my analysis, I will link the source at the bottom.

  • the future_data folder was data that I pulled to get the updated numbers to check my model accuracy.

  • the predictions folder are csv files for the algorithm being ran with different hyperparameters


PLANS

  • Once the COVID-19 pandemic is over, or has virtually stopped. I will come back and evalutate my algorithm to see how well it matches up to reality, over the course of the pandemic.

SOURCES

data: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-cases

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An analysis of Italys' COVID-19 case data, and a walkthrough of how I built a Monte Carlo Algorithm to predict future deaths.

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