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Merge pull request #156 from ilabcode/main
update dev from main
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@@ -6,6 +6,7 @@ authors = [ "Peter Thestrup Waade [email protected]", | |
"Christoph Mathys [email protected]"] | ||
version = "0.5.4" | ||
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[deps] | ||
ActionModels = "320cf53b-cc3b-4b34-9a10-0ecb113566a3" | ||
Distributions = "31c24e10-a181-5473-b8eb-7969acd0382f" | ||
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### A Pluto.jl notebook ### | ||
# v0.19.45 | ||
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using Markdown | ||
using InteractiveUtils | ||
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# ╔═╡ e47a29a4-38b0-4f19-972a-7c1c3e83c2f7 | ||
using Pkg; | ||
Pkg.activate("../../"); #Activate the docs environment | ||
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# ╔═╡ 5ae02fee-48f1-11ef-209c-539e778f577d | ||
using HierarchicalGaussianFiltering, Distributions, StatsPlots | ||
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# ╔═╡ ff1abe62-b477-4c34-927d-4cc758981d60 | ||
nodes = [ | ||
ContinuousInput(name = "u"), | ||
ContinuousState(name = "x1"), | ||
ContinuousState(name = "x2"), | ||
] | ||
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# ╔═╡ b53c65b6-24fb-4df0-85e8-c94e973f92d1 | ||
sine_transform = NonlinearTransform( | ||
function (x, parameters::Dict) | ||
sin(x) | ||
end, #base function | ||
function (x, parameters::Dict) | ||
cos(x) | ||
end, #first derivative | ||
function (x, parameters::Dict) | ||
-sin(x) | ||
end, #second derivative | ||
Dict(), #no parameters | ||
) | ||
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# ╔═╡ c1e30a10-e9f9-4348-92b5-85fdc0be00b0 | ||
begin | ||
edges_linear = | ||
Dict(("u", "x1") => ObservationCoupling(), ("x1", "x2") => DriftCoupling()) | ||
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edges_nonlinear = Dict( | ||
("u", "x1") => ObservationCoupling(), | ||
("x1", "x2") => DriftCoupling(1, sine_transform), | ||
) | ||
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end | ||
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# ╔═╡ ec6ceba5-d202-4345-bce8-fc0dada2a019 | ||
begin | ||
hgf_linear = init_hgf(nodes = nodes, edges = edges_linear, verbose = false) | ||
hgf_nonlinear = init_hgf(nodes = nodes, edges = edges_nonlinear, verbose = false) | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ d2e95dab-7312-4835-b780-91571ba83239 | ||
parameters = Dict( | ||
("x1", "autoconnection_strength") => 0, | ||
("x1", "volatility") => -4, | ||
("x2", "volatility") => -4, | ||
("u", "input_noise") => log(0.25), | ||
) | ||
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# ╔═╡ e319c480-cb6d-41fd-a4ec-892a12b95a06 | ||
begin | ||
set_parameters!(hgf_linear, parameters) | ||
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set_parameters!(hgf_nonlinear, parameters) | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ cb170251-4dce-4e75-b457-40f2fb959a5b | ||
begin | ||
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sample_rate = 20 | ||
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inputs = sin.(collect(0:1/sample_rate:35)) | ||
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inputs = rand(Normal(0, 0.25), length(inputs)) + inputs | ||
plot(inputs) | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ 847373ac-647d-43a3-93a1-92af9772dce0 | ||
begin | ||
reset!(hgf_linear) | ||
give_inputs!(hgf_linear, inputs) | ||
reset!(hgf_nonlinear) | ||
give_inputs!(hgf_nonlinear, inputs) | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ c7f92940-18c8-4212-8808-8b29d9b870a1 | ||
plot_settings = (; label = "", title = "") | ||
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# ╔═╡ 5835d516-f822-4128-900b-16d09b550cb7 | ||
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plot( | ||
plot_trajectory(hgf_linear, "u"; plot_settings..., title = "inputs"), | ||
plot_trajectory( | ||
hgf_linear, | ||
("u", "prediction"); | ||
plot_settings..., | ||
title = "u prediction", | ||
), | ||
plot_trajectory(hgf_linear, ("x1"); plot_settings..., title = "x1 posterior"), | ||
plot_trajectory(hgf_linear, ("x2"); plot_settings..., title = "x2 posterior"), | ||
) | ||
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# ╔═╡ f1ad8c91-7642-4478-8091-bbcecc9f2bcf | ||
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plot( | ||
plot_trajectory(hgf_nonlinear, "u"; plot_settings..., title = "inputs"), | ||
plot_trajectory( | ||
hgf_nonlinear, | ||
("u", "prediction"); | ||
plot_settings..., | ||
title = "u prediction", | ||
), | ||
plot_trajectory(hgf_nonlinear, ("x1"); plot_settings..., title = "x1 posterior"), | ||
plot_trajectory(hgf_nonlinear, ("x2"); plot_settings..., title = "x2 posterior"), | ||
) | ||
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# ╔═╡ 50330bc3-e74d-4cfc-908a-a56acbcdd2bc | ||
begin | ||
μ₁_linear = get_history(hgf_linear, ("x1", "posterior_mean")) | ||
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#Band mu1 between -1 and 1 (the noise makes it occasionally jump over) | ||
μ₁_linear = min.(μ₁_linear, 1.0) | ||
μ₁_linear = max.(μ₁_linear, -1.0) | ||
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μ₂_linear = get_history(hgf_linear, ("x2", "posterior_mean")) | ||
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μ₁_nonlinear = get_history(hgf_nonlinear, ("x1", "posterior_mean")) | ||
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#Band mu1 between -1 and 1 (the noise makes it occasionally jump over) | ||
μ₁_nonlinear = min.(μ₁_nonlinear, 1.0) | ||
μ₁_nonlinear = max.(μ₁_nonlinear, -1.0) | ||
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μ₂_nonlinear = get_history(hgf_nonlinear, ("x2", "posterior_mean")) | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ fa51e10d-3ab3-487c-90bc-9362956f563a | ||
#Plot sine transformed x2 against x1 - should be equal | ||
plot( | ||
plot(sin.(μ₂_linear) - μ₁_linear, title = "linear"), | ||
plot(sin.(μ₂_nonlinear) - μ₁_nonlinear, title = "nonlinear"), | ||
) | ||
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# ╔═╡ c52a0167-e780-47fc-901c-44cf84b973d4 | ||
#Plot asine transformed x1 against x2 - should be equal | ||
plot( | ||
plot(asin.(μ₁_linear) - μ₂_linear, title = "linear"), | ||
plot(asin.(μ₁_nonlinear) - μ₂_nonlinear, title = "nonlinear"), | ||
) | ||
#The linear fares worse | ||
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# ╔═╡ af36ec40-ca4f-4aff-ae35-439adc5cae89 | ||
begin | ||
linear_plt = plot(asin.(μ₁_linear), label = "μ₁ asin") | ||
plot!(μ₂_linear, label = "μ₂", title = "linear") | ||
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nonlinear_plt = plot(asin.(μ₁_nonlinear), label = "μ₁ asin") | ||
plot!(μ₂_nonlinear, label = "μ₂", title = "nonlinear") | ||
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plot(linear_plt, nonlinear_plt) | ||
end | ||
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# ╔═╡ 0a6546fe-9f5e-4d2a-8c02-59d96332b0a9 | ||
###NEXT STEPS: PREDICT FURTHER IN THE FUTURE | ||
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# ╔═╡ Cell order: | ||
# ╠═e47a29a4-38b0-4f19-972a-7c1c3e83c2f7 | ||
# ╠═5ae02fee-48f1-11ef-209c-539e778f577d | ||
# ╠═ff1abe62-b477-4c34-927d-4cc758981d60 | ||
# ╠═b53c65b6-24fb-4df0-85e8-c94e973f92d1 | ||
# ╠═c1e30a10-e9f9-4348-92b5-85fdc0be00b0 | ||
# ╠═ec6ceba5-d202-4345-bce8-fc0dada2a019 | ||
# ╠═d2e95dab-7312-4835-b780-91571ba83239 | ||
# ╠═e319c480-cb6d-41fd-a4ec-892a12b95a06 | ||
# ╠═cb170251-4dce-4e75-b457-40f2fb959a5b | ||
# ╠═847373ac-647d-43a3-93a1-92af9772dce0 | ||
# ╠═c7f92940-18c8-4212-8808-8b29d9b870a1 | ||
# ╠═5835d516-f822-4128-900b-16d09b550cb7 | ||
# ╠═f1ad8c91-7642-4478-8091-bbcecc9f2bcf | ||
# ╠═50330bc3-e74d-4cfc-908a-a56acbcdd2bc | ||
# ╠═fa51e10d-3ab3-487c-90bc-9362956f563a | ||
# ╠═c52a0167-e780-47fc-901c-44cf84b973d4 | ||
# ╠═af36ec40-ca4f-4aff-ae35-439adc5cae89 | ||
# ╠═0a6546fe-9f5e-4d2a-8c02-59d96332b0a9 |
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