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6 changes: 3 additions & 3 deletions index.html
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Expand Up @@ -198,7 +198,7 @@ <h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="why-a-forecasting-challenge">Why a forecast
<div class="value-box-showcase html-fill-item html-fill-container"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewbox="0 0 16 16" class="bi bi-graph-up " style="height:1em;width:1em;fill:currentColor;vertical-align:-0.125em;" aria-hidden="true" role="img"><path fill-rule="evenodd" d="M0 0h1v15h15v1H0V0Zm14.817 3.113a.5.5 0 0 1 .07.704l-4.5 5.5a.5.5 0 0 1-.74.037L7.06 6.767l-3.656 5.027a.5.5 0 0 1-.808-.588l4-5.5a.5.5 0 0 1 .758-.06l2.609 2.61 4.15-5.073a.5.5 0 0 1 .704-.07Z"></path></svg></div>
<div class="value-box-area html-fill-item html-fill-container">
<p class="value-box-title">Total forecasts submitted to the NEON Challenge</p>
<p class="value-box-value">7339</p>
<p class="value-box-value">7357</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
Expand All @@ -215,7 +215,7 @@ <h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="why-a-forecasting-challenge">Why a forecast
<path d="M9.5 8a1.5 1.5 0 1 1-3 0 1.5 1.5 0 0 1 3 0z"></path></svg></div>
<div class="value-box-area html-fill-item html-fill-container">
<p class="value-box-title">Most recent data for model training</p>
<div class="value-box-value html-fill-item html-fill-container">2024-05-05</div>
<div class="value-box-value html-fill-item html-fill-container">2024-05-06</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -272,7 +272,7 @@ <h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="contact">Contact</h2>
</section>
<section id="acknowledgements" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="acknowledgements">Acknowledgements</h2>
<p>Thomas, R. Q., Boettiger, C., Carey, C. C., Dietze, M. C., Johnson, L. R., Kenney, M. A., et al.&nbsp;(2023). The NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 21(3), 112<e2>&lt;80&gt;&lt;93&gt;113. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.2616">https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.2616</a> <br> <br> We thank NEON for providing the freely available data and the EFI community for feedback on the design of the Challenge. This material is based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant DEB-1926388. <br> <br> Page last updated on 2024-05-07</e2></p>
<p>Thomas, R. Q., Boettiger, C., Carey, C. C., Dietze, M. C., Johnson, L. R., Kenney, M. A., et al.&nbsp;(2023). The NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 21(3), 112113. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.2616">https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.2616</a> <br> <br> We thank NEON for providing the freely available data and the EFI community for feedback on the design of the Challenge. This material is based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant DEB-1926388. <br> <br> Page last updated on 2024-05-08</p>


</section>
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion instructions.html
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Expand Up @@ -313,7 +313,7 @@ <h4 data-number="5.0.1" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="parameteric-forecast"><
<section id="ensemble-or-sample-forecast" class="level4" data-number="5.0.2">
<h4 data-number="5.0.2" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="ensemble-or-sample-forecast"><span class="header-section-number">5.0.2</span> Ensemble (or sample) forecast</h4>
<p>Ensemble (or sample) forecasts use the <code>family</code> value of <code>ensemble</code> and the <code>parameter</code> values are the ensemble index.</p>
<p>When forecasts using the ensemble family are scored, we assume that the ensemble is a set of equally likely realizations that are sampled from a distribution that is comparable to that of the observations (i.e., no broad adjustments are required to make the ensemble more consistent with observations). This is referred to as a “perfect ensemble” by Br<c3><b6>cker and Smith (2007). Ensemble (or sample) forecasts are transformed to a probability distribution function (e.g., dressed) using the default methods in the <code>scoringRules</code> R package (empirical version of the quantile decomposition for the <code>crps</code>).</b6></c3></p>
<p>When forecasts using the ensemble family are scored, we assume that the ensemble is a set of equally likely realizations that are sampled from a distribution that is comparable to that of the observations (i.e., no broad adjustments are required to make the ensemble more consistent with observations). This is referred to as a “perfect ensemble” by Bröcker and Smith (2007). Ensemble (or sample) forecasts are transformed to a probability distribution function (e.g., dressed) using the default methods in the <code>scoringRules</code> R package (empirical version of the quantile decomposition for the <code>crps</code>).</p>
</section>
<section id="example-forecasts" class="level3" data-number="5.1">
<h3 data-number="5.1" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="example-forecasts"><span class="header-section-number">5.1</span> Example forecasts</h3>
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122 changes: 61 additions & 61 deletions performance.html

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12 changes: 6 additions & 6 deletions search.json

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10 changes: 5 additions & 5 deletions sitemap.xml
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Expand Up @@ -2,23 +2,23 @@
<urlset xmlns="http://www.sitemaps.org/schemas/sitemap/0.9">
<url>
<loc>https://projects.ecoforecast.org/neon4cast-ci/catalog.html</loc>
<lastmod>2024-05-05</lastmod>
<lastmod>2024-05-07</lastmod>
</url>
<url>
<loc>https://projects.ecoforecast.org/neon4cast-ci/targets.html</loc>
<lastmod>2024-05-05</lastmod>
<lastmod>2024-05-07</lastmod>
</url>
<url>
<loc>https://projects.ecoforecast.org/neon4cast-ci/instructions.html</loc>
<lastmod>2024-05-05</lastmod>
<lastmod>2024-05-07</lastmod>
</url>
<url>
<loc>https://projects.ecoforecast.org/neon4cast-ci/performance.html</loc>
<lastmod>2024-05-05</lastmod>
<lastmod>2024-05-07</lastmod>
</url>
<url>
<loc>https://projects.ecoforecast.org/neon4cast-ci/index.html</loc>
<lastmod>2024-05-05</lastmod>
<lastmod>2024-05-07</lastmod>
</url>
<url>
<loc>https://radiantearth.github.io/stac-browser/#/external/raw.githubusercontent.com/eco4cast/neon4cast-ci/main/catalog/catalog.json</loc>
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10 changes: 5 additions & 5 deletions targets.html
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Expand Up @@ -257,7 +257,7 @@ <h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="sec-targets">Explore the targets and themes
<div class="tab-content">
<div id="tabset-1-1" class="tab-pane active" role="tabpanel" aria-labelledby="tabset-1-1-tab">
<p><img src="https://projects.ecoforecast.org/neon4cast-catalog/img/BONA_Twr.jpg" class="img-fluid"></p>
<p>The exchange of water and carbon dioxide between the atmosphere and the land is akin to earth’s terrestrial ecosystems breathing rate and lung capacity.<c2><a0></a0></c2></p>
<p>The exchange of water and carbon dioxide between the atmosphere and the land is akin to earth’s terrestrial ecosystems breathing rate and lung capacity.&nbsp;</p>
<p>The terrestrial flux theme challenges you to forecast the gas exchange at up to 47 sites across the U.S.</p>
<p>There are two variables and two time-steps (or duration) that you can forecast.</p>
<div class="cell">
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -733,7 +733,7 @@ <h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="minute">30 minute</h4>
<tr class="even">
<td style="text-align: left;">richness</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">P1W</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">Total number of unique &lt;U+2018&gt;species&lt;U+2019&gt; in a sampling bout for each NEON site each week.</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">Total number of unique species in a sampling bout for each NEON site each week.</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">1 year</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">~ 6 months</td>
</tr>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -972,8 +972,8 @@ <h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="minute">30 minute</h4>
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="explore-the-sites">Explore the sites</h2>
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</div>
<p><br> <br> The following table lists all the sites in the NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge. The columns with “theme” names incidate whether that site is included in that theme’s target file.</p>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -1030,7 +1030,7 @@ <h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="explore-the-sites">Explore the sites</h2>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td style="text-align: left;">BARR</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">Utqia&lt;U+0121&gt;vik NEON</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">Utqiaġvik NEON</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
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