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laduplessis committed Feb 15, 2019
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Expand Up @@ -4,7 +4,7 @@ \section{Tree models for unstructured populations}


\begin{figure}[!ht]
\includegraphics{figures/{EBOV-SUBBIG.BDSKYSA.BMT.relaxedclock.R20.SM.combined2}.pdf}
\includegraphics{figures/{EBOV-SUBBIG.BDSKYSA.BMT.relaxedclock.R20.SM.combined3}.pdf}
\caption{Birth-death skyline (bdsky) analysis of the 2013--2016 West African Ebola virus disease epidemic.
\textbf{(a)} The maximum clade credibility tree of the 811 sequences used in the analysis.
\textbf{(b)} The median posterior estimate of the estimated effective reproductive number ($R_e$) over time is shown in orange, with the 95\% highest posterior density (HPD) interval in orange shading. The red dotted line indicates the epidemic threshold ($R_e = 1$). If $R_e$ is below this threshold the epidemic has reached a turning point and is no longer spreading.
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