feat : a general probabilistic forecasting interface#700

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Sir-Sloth-The-Lazy wants to merge 17 commits into

Sir-Sloth-The-Lazy:feat/probabilistic-forecasting-interface

Commits on Jul 5, 2026

feat: move training loss onto Forecaster, add probabilistic interface
Sir-Sloth-The-Lazy
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Commits on Jul 6, 2026

Address PR review: clarify scoring-rule wording, rename score_fn to score_metric
Sir-Sloth-The-Lazy
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Commits on Jul 8, 2026

Address PR review: move loss and per_var_std onto the Forecaster
Sir-Sloth-The-Lazy
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Fail fast when a forecaster is missing per_var_std it needs
Sir-Sloth-The-Lazy
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Rename ensemble_std to per_member_std, document mixture semantics
Sir-Sloth-The-Lazy
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Update neural_lam/models/forecasters/probabilistic.py

Sir-Sloth-The-Lazy
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joeloskarsson
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Leave ProbabilisticARForecaster.compute_training_loss abstract
Sir-Sloth-The-Lazy
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Require an explicit member count instead of a stored ensemble_size
Sir-Sloth-The-Lazy
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Implement ProbabilisticForecasterModule.test_step
Sir-Sloth-The-Lazy
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Commits on Jul 10, 2026