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Enrich the migration registry with verified sources - #80

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Folds the 2026-08-16 source hunt into system_migrations.json: Oregon's ONE runs on code acquired free from Kentucky (Benefind lineage; 2024 SOS audit + OPB + OLIS), Georgia Gateway verified multi-source (Deloitte, $380M, pilot 2017-02-06 → statewide 2017), New Mexico ASPEN upgraded candidate → verified with day-precision wave dates from the legislative program evaluation, Indiana and Colorado verified as pre-panel context entries with primaries, and Kentucky/Oregon carry explicit billing-record-absence notes (searched 2026-08-16). Metadata enrichment only — no state entered or left the registry, so every donor pool and every committed estimate is unchanged; fast consumer tests pass.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

Oregon: Kentucky-code lineage, costs, and the 2024 SOS audit; Georgia:
Deloitte, wave dates, statewide 2017, multi-source; New Mexico:
day-precision 2013-14 waves from the legislative evaluation (candidate
to verified; already excluded from every pool); Indiana and Colorado:
verified pre-panel context entries (IBM/ACS 2007-09 canceled; EDS
2004-09-01); Kentucky and Oregon carry documented billing-absence
notes. Metadata only: no state entered or left the registry, so every
donor pool is unchanged.
@MaxGhenis
MaxGhenis merged commit f3562ce into main Aug 17, 2026
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MaxGhenis added a commit that referenced this pull request Aug 17, 2026
…events (#81)

* Migrations paper revision 3: figures, related work, registry-sourced events

- Wire the four committed figures (paths, placebo, window, channels)
  into the manuscript with referee-checked captions; left-align the
  channel-figure Inferential/Descriptive labels clear of the tick text.
- Add a Related work section (Peeters–Widlak administrative exclusion,
  Kane–Staiger and Goldstein–Spiegelhalter accountability measurement,
  Abadie synthetic control, Homonoff recertification) with six
  Crossref-verified bib entries.
- Rebuild the events section from the enriched system_migrations.json:
  Oregon–Kentucky code lineage + 2024 state audit, GA/NM/IN/CO rows
  upgraded to multi-source with dates and vendors, and every remaining
  [NEEDS CITATION] marker resolved (Kentucky/Oregon federal billing
  stated as searches that located no record, per the registry's
  epistemic limit).
- Referee round 5 (sol, delta-scoped): six blockers fixed — novelty
  and mechanism-identity overclaims removed, "redesigned twice"
  narrowed to what CRS/GAO carry, candidate count corrected to three,
  documented-absence phrasing corrected. Report + resolutions archived
  under paper-causal/reviews/round-5/.
- Render HTML+PDF into the app wrapper; bump wrapper to
  Revision 3 · 2026-08-17 (m3-20260817) and its test lock.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* Refresh stale input hashes in the two decomposition artifacts

PRs #73 (techdoc page notes in coding_consistency.json) and #80
(registry enrichment in system_migrations.json) changed audit metadata
after the decomposition artifacts had recorded those files' hashes, so
the raw-regeneration tests failed locally (they skip in CI, where the
raw QC cache is absent). Rerunning both decompositions reproduces
every computed value exactly; only input_hashes entries change, plus
the fixed-donor artifact re-recording its regenerated parent.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* Add a named data-availability statement

USDA FNS distributes the FY2012-24 QC public-use files and techdocs
publicly (snapqcdata.net, fns.usda.gov/snap/qc/per); the repository
commits per-file SHA-256 hashes so readers can confirm byte identity.
Notes that revision 3 leaves every quoted table value unchanged.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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