Enrich the migration registry with verified sources

analysis/system_migrations.json

@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@
     "verified_single_source": "date from one credible public source; corroboration pending",
     "candidate_unverified": "event known to exist; dates not yet verified from public records"
   },
-  "panel_note": "The unblocked outcome panel runs FY2017-FY2024 (analysis/coding_consistency.json). panel_position classifies each event's go-live relative to it; edge events have post-periods in-panel but pre-periods requiring FY2016-or-earlier file acquisition.",
+  "panel_note": "The unblocked outcome panel runs FY2017-FY2024 (analysis/coding_consistency.json). panel_position classifies each event's go-live relative to it; edge events have post-periods in-panel but pre-periods requiring FY2016-or-earlier file acquisition. Source enrichment 2026-08-16 changed metadata only; no state entered or left the registry, so every donor pool is unchanged.",
   "events": [
     {
       "state": "RI",
@@ -32,7 +32,7 @@
       "date_precision": "day",
       "confidence": "verified_multi_source",
       "panel_position": "edge",
-      "notes": "Integrated SNAP/Medicaid platform (~$101.5M); ~25,000 erroneous cancellation notices and a ~50,000-case backlog after launch; state extended SNAP recertification from six to twelve months as a mitigation — itself an error-process-relevant policy response.",
+      "notes": "Integrated SNAP/Medicaid platform (~$101.5M); ~25,000 erroneous cancellation notices and a ~50,000-case backlog after launch; state extended SNAP recertification from six to twelve months as a mitigation — itself an error-process-relevant policy response. no public federal SNAP overpayment billing record located (web search 2026-08-16; absence, not evidence of absence)",
       "sources": [
         "https://www.lpm.org/news/2016-07-21/state-officials-say-theyre-still-fixing-benefind",
         "https://nkytribune.com/2016/04/one-stop-shop-benefind-isnt-causes-loss-of-benefits-and-confusion-for-thousands-of-kentuckians/",
@@ -42,15 +42,17 @@
     {
       "state": "GA",
       "system": "Georgia Gateway",
-      "vendor": null,
+      "vendor": "Deloitte",
       "go_live": "2017-02-06",
       "date_precision": "day",
-      "confidence": "verified_single_source",
+      "confidence": "verified_multi_source",
       "panel_position": "in_panel",
-      "notes": "Pilot began February 6, 2017 in Henry County with all programs; statewide rollout was phased through 2017 — the statewide completion date is NEEDS_VERIFICATION, and the event-study treatment date should use the phased schedule once verified rather than the pilot date alone.",
+      "notes": "Pilot February 6, 2017 (Henry County); Wave 1 May 1, 2017 (46 counties); implemented statewide during 2017; Deloitte Consulting, ~$380M, reported as the largest IT project in state history. no public federal SNAP overpayment billing record located (web search 2026-08-16; absence, not evidence of absence)",
       "sources": [
         "https://dhs.georgia.gov/document/document/georgia-gateway-integrated-eligibility-system/download",
-        "https://dhs.georgia.gov/georgia-gateway"
+        "https://dhs.georgia.gov/georgia-gateway",
+        "https://www.georgiahealthnews.com/2017/04/georgia-aims-avoid-snags-launches-program-public-benefits/",
+        "https://dhs.georgia.gov/press-releases/2018-10-24/georgias-new-benefits-eligibility-system-receives-national-award"
       ]
     },
     {
@@ -61,9 +63,12 @@
       "date_precision": "month",
       "confidence": "verified_single_source",
       "panel_position": "in_panel",
-      "notes": "The ONE system originated for Oregon Health Plan eligibility and expanded to other benefit programs in February 2021 — a mid-panel event with full pre- and post-periods in the FY2017-24 window.",
+      "notes": "System runs on code acquired at no cost from Kentucky (Benefind lineage); ~$416M to redesign and maintain; Deloitte holds the support/maintenance contract (~$298M paid, term through 2029) per the October 2024 Oregon Secretary of State audit. The audit found the automated part 'working well' with input errors in 11 of 40 sampled SNAP cases (2024, not launch-era). no public federal SNAP overpayment billing record located (web search 2026-08-16; absence, not evidence of absence). FY2023 QC liability of $15.7M at a 16.7% rate is reported by a secondary source (Mercatus citing FNS) and is the ordinary pre-2025 sanction regime, not a system-specific overpayment claim; unverified against an FNS primary and not used by any estimate.",
       "sources": [
-        "https://www.oregon.gov/odhs/agency/pages/oep-one-system.aspx"
+        "https://www.oregon.gov/odhs/agency/pages/oep-one-system.aspx",
+        "https://apps.oregon.gov/oregon-newsroom/OR/SOS/Posts/Post/public-assistance-eligibility-system-audit-2024",
+        "https://www.opb.org/article/2024/10/10/oregon-eligibility-system-data-entry-errors/",
+        "https://olis.oregonlegislature.gov/liz/2021I1/Downloads/CommitteeMeetingDocument/256848"
       ]
     },
     {
@@ -96,35 +101,47 @@
     {
       "state": "NM",
       "system": "ASPEN",
-      "vendor": null,
-      "go_live": null,
-      "date_precision": null,
-      "confidence": "candidate_unverified",
+      "vendor": "Deloitte",
+      "go_live": "2013-07-22",
+      "date_precision": "day",
+      "confidence": "verified_multi_source",
       "panel_position": "pre_panel",
-      "notes": "Reported mid-2010s integrated eligibility replacement; dates not yet verified.",
-      "sources": []
+      "notes": "Wave rollout: pilot July 22, 2013 (Rio Arriba County); southern counties September 23, 2013; northern counties November 18, 2013; Bernalillo County January 21, 2014. Press documented software glitches snarling food aid. Pre-2017 under the registry's panel taxonomy (which keys to the original FY2017-24 panel) while inside the extended RI/KY FY2012-24 panel; the state was already excluded from every donor pool as a registry entry, so this verification changes no pool. no public federal SNAP overpayment billing record located (web search 2026-08-16; absence, not evidence of absence)",
+      "sources": [
+        "https://www.nmlegis.gov/Entity/LFC/Documents/Program_Evaluation_Reports/Human%20Services%20Department%20-%20Automated%20System%20Program%20and%20Eligibility%20Network%20(ASPEN).pdf",
+        "https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/software-glitches-snarl-food-aid-to-those-in-need-in-new-mexico/article_e1e22603-4321-5f37-9048-62909012c442.html"
+      ]
     },
     {
       "state": "IN",
       "system": "FSSA eligibility modernization (IBM contract, later canceled)",
-      "vendor": "IBM",
-      "go_live": null,
-      "date_precision": null,
-      "confidence": "candidate_unverified",
+      "vendor": "IBM/ACS consortium",
+      "go_live": "2007",
+      "date_precision": "year",
+      "confidence": "verified_multi_source",
       "panel_position": "pre_panel",
-      "notes": "2007-2009 privatized modernization canceled by the state; litigation followed. Pre-panel context only.",
-      "sources": []
+      "notes": "$1.16B ten-year outsourcing contract announced November 2006; regional rollout from 2007; canceled October 2009 by Governor Daniels ('a flawed concept that simply did not work out in practice'); reporting documents >1M denials/losses of food stamps, Medicaid, and cash (+54% denials vs the prior three years) and litigation in both directions. Pre-panel context entry; excluded from donor pools. no public federal SNAP overpayment billing record located (web search 2026-08-16; absence, not evidence of absence)",
+      "sources": [
+        "https://spectrum.ieee.org/indiana-follows-through-with-threat-cancels-13-billion-outsourcing-contract",
+        "https://www.govtech.com/health/ibm-and-indiana-suing-each-other.html",
+        "https://www.in.gov/governorhistory/mitchdaniels/files/pressreleases/2006/11-29-06.html",
+        "https://www.thenation.com/article/archive/want-cut-welfare-theres-app/"
+      ]
     },
     {
       "state": "CO",
       "system": "CBMS",
-      "vendor": null,
-      "go_live": null,
-      "date_precision": null,
-      "confidence": "candidate_unverified",
+      "vendor": "EDS",
+      "go_live": "2004-09-01",
+      "date_precision": "day",
+      "confidence": "verified_multi_source",
       "panel_position": "pre_panel",
-      "notes": "2004 go-live widely reported as troubled; pre-panel context only. Relevant because Colorado is the deepest-verified state in this repository.",
-      "sources": []
+      "notes": "~$200M system replacing six legacy systems; went live September 1, 2004 despite being unfinished; backlogs left people without food stamps and other benefits; class action by the Colorado Center on Law and Policy won an emergency call center; April 2006 state-auditor report on eligibility determinations. Pre-panel context entry; excluded from donor pools. no public federal SNAP overpayment billing record located (web search 2026-08-16; absence, not evidence of absence)",
+      "sources": [
+        "https://content.leg.colorado.gov/sites/default/files/documents/audits/1735_cbms_elig_deter_fed_ben_perf_april_2006.pdf",
+        "https://aisel.aisnet.org/cais/vol29/iss1/5/",
+        "https://www.bigclassaction.com/lawsuit/codept.php"
+      ]
     }
   ]
 }